High-resolution images from ESO’s Very Large Telescope and the Large Binocular Telescope reveal that the E-type asteroid (44) Nysa may be unlike any other world in the Solar System, with three connected lobes and a newly discovered satellite that could help explain how the bizarre object formed.
The post Astronomers Discover First-Ever Three-Lobed Asteroid appeared first on Sci.News: Breaking Science News.
The Moon’s far side is overturning a long-held theory, revealing that the early Solar System’s asteroid assault may have faded slowly instead of exploding in one catastrophic burst. For decades, scientists have debated whether the early Solar System endured one sudden, catastrophic wave of asteroid strikes or a much longer period of gradually fading violence. [...]Not all meteorites are created equal, and one that crashed through the roof of a New Jersey home is giving scientists a rare glimpse into the chemistry of an ancient asteroid while offering new clues to the puzzle of how life began on Earth.
On July 16, 2024, a daytime meteor streaked across the sky and produced a sonic boom as it passed south of the Statue of Liberty.
“A forensic study of the fragments revealed that they contained preserved bits from near the surface of a primitive asteroid where it experienced concentrated salty fluids—a process not previously known from this type of proto-planet world,” said lead author and meteor astronomer Peter Jenniskens of the SETI Institute and NASA’s Ames Research Center in California’s Silicon Valley in a statement.
Two years later, after analyzing fragments from the event, researchers found that the meteorite contained evidence of ancient salty fluids, complex organic chemistry, and processes that occurred on a primitive asteroid billions of years ago.
Daytime meteor (left), impact site, and a fragment of the Hillsborough meteorite (Image Credit: (A) M. Kirschner and M. Hankey, American Meteor Society; [(B) to (D)] A. Gordon/SETI Institute).The findings, published in the journal Science Advances, come from an international team led by meteor astronomer Peter Jenniskens of the SETI Institute and NASA Ames Research Center.
“Our cameras in Northford, Connecticut, and Douglassville, Pennsylvania, as well as a doorbell camera in Wayne, New Jersey, captured the meteor, and from that we measured its trajectory,” said American Meteor Society operations manager Mike Hankey.
Traveling at approximately 32,000 miles per hour (14.4 kilometers per second), witnesses from the surrounding areas, including New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania, reported seeing a bright fireball that broke apart while a part of it broke through the roof of a New Jersey residence.
“The path traced back to low in the asteroid belt,” Hankey adds.
Using footage from meteor cameras, including systems in Connecticut and Pennsylvania, researchers reconstructed the meteor’s path. The trajectory traced back to a region of the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. The space rock disappeared from view about 22 miles above the surface. Shortly afterward, weather radar at Newark Airport detected a cloud of falling debris stretching from Staten Island into New Jersey.
The homeowner acted quickly, handling the space rock with gloves and aluminum foil before placing it in a glass container to protect the material from contamination.
The meteorite was classified as a CM1/2 carbonaceous chondrite, a rare type of primitive meteorite known for containing organic compounds and evidence of water weathering.
According to researchers, the Hillsborough meteorite is only the second witnessed fall of a CM1/2 carbonaceous chondrite ever recorded. Most known CM meteorites belong to the less-altered CM2 category, while no CM1-type meteorite fall has ever been observed.
“A high fraction of compounds were the product of organic chemistry with minerals,” said organic mass spectrometry specialist Phil Schmitt-Kopplin of Technical University Munich. “We do not know if these magnesium organic compounds were contributed by brine chemistry or were simply left over from earlier impact shock processes.”
The final analysis showed tiny salt-rich pockets inside the meteorite, pointing to a formation where water once evaporated on its parent asteroid, leaving behind highly saline fluids. Scientists are comparing these minerals with samples from the asteroids Ryugu and Bennu to better understand early solar system chemistry.
These ancient salty waters may have helped protect and change the molecules needed for life before life first began. The meteorite contained carbon, nitrogen, amino acids, and other organic compounds, many of which appear to have formed through interactions between water, minerals, and carbon-rich chemistry.
“We are thrilled that nature delivered such a precious asteroid sample on our doorstep,” said curator Denton Ebel from the Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences at the American Museum of Natural History.
The recent paper, “Meteor over New York City: Brines in a primitive CM asteroid,” appeared in the journal Science.
Chrissy Newton is a PR professional and the founder of VOCAB Communications. She currently appears on The Discovery Channel and Max and hosts the Rebelliously Curious podcast, which can be found on YouTube and on all audio podcast streaming platforms. Follow her on X: @ChrissyNewton, Instagram: @BeingChrissyNewton, and chrissynewton.com. To contact Chrissy with a story, please email chrissy @ thedebrief.org.
Asteroid 44 Nysa has the weirdest shape yet seen for an asteroid, and that’s saying something.
The post Astronomers Spot Weird, Three-Lobed Asteroid with a Moon appeared first on Sky & Telescope.
Astronomers have made a surprising discovery about one of the brightest space rocks in the main asteroid belt.
With help from some of the astronomy world’s most powerful ground-based telescopes, astronomers now report new evidence that the asteroid (44) Nysa is vastly unlike most asteroids in appearance, possessing an unusual three-lobed structure.
However, that’s not all the team behind the new research says they have discovered: the object also appears to be accompanied by a previously unknown object.
According to the international team behind the discovery, the roughly 47-mile-wide asteroid Nysa is a rare variety of space object, whose uneven appearance could offer new insights into the violent collisions that played a significant role in shaping the early solar system. Belonging to a rare class of asteroids, the object may also help scientists better understand how such objects preserve material from early in the universe.
While the Nysa’s unusual shape and accompanying object, which astronomers have characterized as a small moon, are all newly-discovered features, knowledge of the asteroid’s existence goes back more than a century, and astronomers have long studied the object due to its unusually bright surface, which is believed to be rich in a translucent crystalline mineral called enstatite.
Based on past observations, astronomers suspected that the object might possess an elongated shape, composed of two connected lobes, although the object’s exact shape remained unknown.
That all changed after astronomers turned the SHARK-VIS instrument on the Large Binocular Telescope in Arizona, and the SPHERE/ZIMPOL instrument on the European Southern Observatory’s Very Large Telescope in Chile, toward the object. Doing so allowed researchers to capture the sharpest images of Nysa ever seen from Earth.
Based on those observations, astronomers have now revealed an asteroid unlike any previously seen.
Kate Minker, a Lowell Observatory astronomer and the lead author of a new paper detailing the discoveries, says the new images reveal a truly unique asteroid, in addition to offering potential clues about its formation.
“The images reveal a remarkably unusual object,” Minker said in a statement. “The most likely explanation is that Nysa is either a contact trinary, consisting of three connected components, or an extremely irregular coherent body unlike anything we’ve previously observed.”
To determine the reasons for its odd shape, the team combined the new imagery made possible with the Large Binocular Telescope’s SHARK-VIS instrument and the SPHERE/ZIMPOL with existing photometric observations obtained by other observatories around the world. The resulting data set offered Minker and her team a detailed three-dimensional model of the asteroid.
Now, the team reports that their reconstruction of Nysa points to strong evidence that it consists of three distinctive lobes, each of which is connected by more narrow regions.
Another intriguing finding from the new data is the identification of the small satellite orbiting Nysa, which the researchers have given the temporary designation of S/2026 (44) 1.
Observed during two separate campaigns, this tiny moon is believed to be only a little more than a half mile across and orbiting at least 106 miles from its host asteroid.
“We borrowed a specialized technique from another field of astronomy, known as ‘high-contrast imaging,’ to detect the small moon whose faint light was overwhelmed by the intense brightness of the primary asteroid,” said Gianluca Li Causi of the Italian National Institute for Astrophysics in a statement.
Right now, scientists believe Nysa’s unusual shape was likely the result of an ancient collision, in which fragments expelled from larger bodies were gradually reassembled over time into a single body.
There are other possibilities, too. One theory holds that Nysa could be a victim of a cosmic hit-and-run incident, resulting from a collision with a much larger asteroid at some point in the very distant past—possibly billions of years ago.
Minker and her team hope that future observations of the asteroid and its newly discovered moon will provide further insights and eventually allow astronomers to calculate Nysa’s mass and density more accurately.
Doing so could ultimately bring to light which of the competing scenarios about its formation is most likely to be accurate, and ultimately, it could elevate Nysa to a small—but quickly growing—class of unusual asteroids that may preserve a record of the catastrophic conditions in our solar system, which helped shape it during its very earliest periods.
The team’s new paper, “Unmasking (44) Nysa: Evidence for a trilobate structure,” was recently uploaded to the arXiv.org preprint server.
Micah Hanks is the Editor-in-Chief and Co-Founder of The Debrief. A longtime reporter on science, defense, and technology with a focus on space and astronomy, he can be reached at micah@thedebrief.org. Follow him on X @MicahHanks, and at micahhanks.com.
The Chicxulub impact not only plunged Earth into an impact winter but also produced a dust blanket that later overheated the planet, according to new research from Purdue University and the University of Colorado, Boulder.
The post Dinosaur-Killing Asteroid Didn’t Just Strike Earth, Its Dust Cloud Cooked It appeared first on Sci.News: Breaking Science News.
New analysis of dust deposits left after the massive asteroid hit Earth around 66 million years ago suggests the event created a thick, worldwide dust blanket that drove heat down toward the planet’s surface, resulting in global wildfires.
The researchers behind the new study said the evidence for a post-impact dust blanket and resulting heat wave adds new fuel to the debate about what role, if any, the Chicxulub asteroid played in their extinction, by suggesting most unsheltered animals would have died instantly.
While scientists agree that a massive chunk of space rock slammed into Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula 66 million years ago, they have continued to debate the event’s impact on the end of the dinosaurs‘ reign. Still, the timing of the two events, and the evidence for a mass extinction of animals incapable of seeking the necessary shelter to survive the asteroid’s impact, has led most to connect the two events to some degree.
Further studies of the impact have shown that the event’s immense heat and pressure vaporized a massive amount of rock, resulting in a huge cloud of dust and rock vapor high into the Earth’s atmosphere. As some of that dust condensed into tiny rock ‘spherules’ and slammed back into the surface, the friction between them and the air generated a corresponding heat pulse.
According to the authors of the new study, many theories suggested that this heat pulse acted like a planetary-wide broiler, including “radiating enough heat to sizzle thin-skinned animals without shelter,” but not enough for plants to suddenly burst into flames. The team said that this result temporarily caused researchers to move away from the idea that the immediate impact event caused the dinosaur’s extinction rather than a longer, more drawn-out event.
Now, after years of new ideas, the team said that a 2023 discovery once again changed the debate, leading to their new proposal.
According to the team’s statement, the 2023 discovery involved a layer of “extremely fine post-impact dust” that could have formed from rock vapor that did not condense into spherules.
“It reinvigorated my interest in what happened to the leftover vapor,” explained Brandon Johnson, a planetary scientist at Purdue University and lead author of the study detailing the new theory, “that’s where this work started.”
To determine what effect such a post-impact dust layer might have had on dinosaurs and other terrestrial animals, the team plugged the new data into previous simulations of the Chicxulub event. Johnson and colleagues especially wanted to know how the dust layer would boost Earth’s retention and release of heat energy generated by the falling rock spherules.
After running several simulations, the team determined that the dust layer would have increased the surface heat by 3.5 times compared to an event that only included the falling spherules. Unlike earlier models, this new version with the dust layer included showed that the heat pulse would have been enough to “kill animals and start spontaneous forest fires.”
“We’re in the realm where we might be essentially killing off everything within that first hour or two,” Johnson explained.
Notably, the researcher said his team’s concept is not unlike alternative extinction theories that credit a global post-impact winter for the eventual mass extinction of dinosaurs and other lifeforms.
“It seems counterintuitive,” Johnson said, “but actually it’s the same effect.”
The research compared the idea to how an insulated mug can keep hot coffee hot and iced coffee cold.
“Once the spherules finished falling and the fires petered out, massive dust clouds could have blocked warmth from the Sun for years to decades and caused a global winter,” the authors explained.
When discussing how the team’s findings might affect the ongoing debate about dinosaur extinction, Johnson said the work seems to offer strong support to the impact extinction theory.
“This work of ours supports this idea that it really is the impact that was devastating to terrestrial life and caused the mass extinction,” the researcher explained.
Although the team suspects that the global fires caused by the dust amplified the heat wave, they point out that a more complete geological record would likely be needed to provide confirmation. Alfio Alessandro Chiarenza, a paleontologist at University College London who was not involved with this study, said researchers could find a record of global wildfires, but “we just don’t have it so far.”
“It would be great to figure out which animals survived right at the impact and what their biological features were,” Chiarenza added. “This could finally tell us why some animals made it when others, like the dinosaurs, didn’t.”
The study “Heat and wildfires during the K-Pg mass extinction enhanced by fine dust” was published in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences.
Christopher Plain is a Science Fiction and Fantasy novelist and has spent the last six years as Associate News Editor and Head Science Writer at The Debrief. Follow and connect with him on X, learn about his books at plainfiction.com, or email him at christopher@thedebrief.org
The Hoba meteorite smashed into the Earth, but look around it, and you won't see any crater.The near-Earth object (875163) 1998 SH2, which is currently classified as an asteroid, has revealed a hidden identity: it’s actually a comet in disguise, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Astronomy.
The post Puzzling Near-Earth Asteroid Turns Out to Be Comet with Weak Tail appeared first on Sci.News: Breaking Science News.
By analyzing nickel isotopes preserved in the 66-million-year-old debris left by the Chicxulub impact, researchers conclude that the asteroid responsible for Earth’s last mass extinction most likely belonged to an exceptionally rare class of primitive meteorites called carbonaceous chondrites of the Ornans type (CO chondrites).
The post Dinosaurs May Have Been Wiped Out by ‘Oddball’ Space Rock appeared first on Sci.News: Breaking Science News.
The culprit may have been an unusually dry relic from the outer solar system.Last summer, astronomers were observing the near approach of a space object believed to be an asteroid that had been tracked since its discovery in 1998. However, in a surprising development, the object failed to appear where it was predicted to be after decades of observations.
Now, a team of researchers reports in a new study that this mysterious orbital body is no asteroid at all, but instead may be an elusive class of space objects that scientists are still working to fully understand.
The research, published in the journal Nature Astronomy, identifies the newly suspected reasons for this unexpected “dark” twist in the developing story of 1998 SH2, a celestial body once thought to be a common space rock that is now upending past thinking on how to protect Earth from potential impact risks.
Since its discovery in 1998, the object designated 1998 SH2 has been monitored by astronomers continuously, providing close to three decades of observations that inform us about its orbit, leaving what researchers thought would be little room for surprises.
That all changed last August as the anticipated return of 1998 SH2 approached. Based on radar observations, the object appeared to be absent from its expected orbital path—a mystery that initially baffled astronomers.
Eventually, once the near-Earth object was spotted again by Brazil’s Southern Observatory for Near Earth Asteroids Research, it had moved significantly beyond its expected path. But what could account for such an unusual display?
Now, according to Jet Propulsion Lab and CalTech researcher Davide Farnocchia and colleagues, 1998 SH2 was likely steered off course as a result of jets of gas escaping from beneath the object’s surface—a phenomenon known as weak cometary outgassing—meaning that the suspected asteroid is actually probably a type of comet.
However, unlike most comets, this one showed none of the typical characteristics astronomers associate with them, including a glowing tail or coma. This helped to explain the confusion over its initial classification, and additional observations of layered composite imagery did finally reveal these features, albeit faintly.
This confirmation that the object was indeed releasing material meant that 1998 SH2 was a rare variety of space objects known as dark comets, enigmatic bodies whose subtle behavior falls somewhere between comets and asteroids.
One of the more concerning aspects of the discovery involves 1998 SH2’s unexpected orbital shift, which presents the question of whether other suspected asteroids might turn out to be dark comets. If so, could any of these shifty space objects pose a risk to Earth?
Fortunately, Farnocchia and his colleagues say there is currently no indication that 1998 SH2 poses an impact threat to Earth in the foreseeable future. Still, the team’s findings do have important implications for planetary defense, since their findings underscore the possibility that additional near-Earth objects currently classified as asteroids may turn out to be hidden comets.
Given the unpredictable orbital shifts and changes in acceleration these objects display, challenges associated with identifying and tracking them could complicate long-term impact forecasts, and influence how future deflection missions are designed.
Fortunately, the team’s study also highlights beneficial findings, which include the possibility that a hidden population of dark comets could potentially resolve questions about how water was delivered throughout the early solar system, eventually making its way to a young planet Earth billions of years ago.
Additionally, such possibilities could help to explain past observations of enigmatic objects like ‘Oumuamua, the first confirmed interstellar object, whose detection in 2017 and unexplained acceleration during subsequent observations have fueled scientific debate over its origins for many years.
Farnocchia and his colleagues’ new paper, “Non-gravitational acceleration indicative of cometary activity of near-Earth object,” appeared in Nature Astronomy.
Micah Hanks is the Editor-in-Chief and Co-Founder of The Debrief. A longtime reporter on science, defense, and technology with a focus on space and astronomy, he can be reached at micah@thedebrief.org. Follow him on X @MicahHanks, and at micahhanks.com.
The Chinese Tianwen-2 mission has captured the first imagery of a space object that some astronomers are calling Earth’s “quasi-moon.”
The object was captured in images released by the China National Space Administration (CNSA), after its Tianwen-2 spacecraft reached the tiny asteroid 469219 Kamoʻoalewa. Initially discovered in 2016, the asteroid became the target of a sample return mission launched by China on 28 May 2025.
Officially the CNSA’s second mission under its Planetary Exploration of China Program, Tianwen-2 aims to return close to 100 grams of samples from the surface of the small object.
Quasi-moons are the name astronomers have for small, very distant objects that do not impact our planet’s tides or possess other characteristics associated with our primary moon.
These objects are nonetheless considered moon-like because they remain in our celestial neighborhood for extended periods, providing unique opportunities for studying near-Earth objects (NEOs) like asteroids, and the impact things like solar radiation and gravity have on them.
Although Kamoʻoalewa (also known as asteroid 2016 HO3) is the most well-known of Earth’s quasi-moons, it is one of seven that are currently known to astronomers. Kamoʻoalewa’s orbit is technically also around the Sun, rather than Earth, although its synchronized path keeps it locked closely to Earth’s orbit, thereby justifying its recognition as a “quasi-satellite.”
The object’s size and distance make it an ideal target for studying NEOs, and China leaped at the opportunity with the CNSA’s Tianwen-2 mission.
The Tianwen-2 spacecraft is currently nearing 20 kilometers from the 130 to 330-foot space rock, according to a statement CNSA released on Monday.
Along with a mission update, the CNSA also released new images, which are the first to officially document the object’s appearance. According to current mission timelines, Tianwen-2 will remain in the vicinity of 469219 Kamoʻoalewa until next April, and by sometime in November 2027, its return capsule is expected to reach Earth.
After its study of 469219 Kamoʻoalewa, Tianwen-2 will then make its way with the aid of a gravity assist in the direction of the comet 311P/PANSTARRS, arriving in its vicinity by January 2035.
“Going forward, the probe will gradually conduct more detailed scientific explorations to obtain information on the asteroid’s shape, material composition, and internal structure,” read the CNSA’s statement on Monday.
The agency said its ongoing collection of information will help to provide “support for preparations for sampling,” and the spacecraft will spend the next several months conducting reconnaissance of the asteroid before its sample collection begins, which will combine high-speed maneuvers with the deployment of a specialized robotic arm.
Following their collection, the samples will be delivered to a recovery site in the Gobi Desert after dropping into Earth’s atmosphere in November 2027.
Micah Hanks is the Editor-in-Chief and Co-Founder of The Debrief. A longtime reporter on science, defense, and technology with a focus on space and astronomy, he can be reached at micah@thedebrief.org. Follow him on X @MicahHanks, and at micahhanks.com.
As the United States of America celebrated its 250th birthday on terra firma with fireworks displays this weekend, two Asian countries made some splashes of their own farther from Earth.
On Sunday, an aging Japanese spacecraft named Hayabusa2, which completed its initial sample-return objective more than half a decade ago, found success with an extended mission that saw the vehicle fly by a peanut-shaped asteroid named Torifune.
Hours later, the Chinese space agency released images from a spacecraft, Tianwen-2, arriving at its target asteroid following a journey of 1 billion km. At this small asteroid, the Chinese spacecraft will attempt to retrieve samples and return them to Earth late next year.
© JAXA
The Hayabusa2 spacecraft completed its flyby of the asteroid Torifune over the weekend, according to a statement issued by Japan’s space agency.
The intrepid Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) probe’s visit marks one of the closest approaches a spacecraft has ever made to a distant asteroid, and follows Hayabusa2’s successful 2020 mission to return samples from the asteroid Ryugu.
Information obtained during the flyby, which occurred on Sunday, may help to provide new insights into both the composition of these ancient space rocks drifting through our solar system, as well as how to defend our planet if one large enough to pose a significant risk were ever to make its way here.
At approximately 6:30 p.m. Japan Standard Time on Sunday, Hayabusa2 passed the asteroid while traveling at speeds approaching 5 kilometers per second.
The recent achievement comprises part of the probe’s extended mission, which will include a future visit to the small asteroid 1998 KY26, which is expected to occur in 2031.
Over the weekend, the spacecraft’s flyby of Torifune helped to showcase Hayabusa2’s orbital guidance systems, as well as its ability to monitor asteroids and collect data to aid in the protection against potentially dangerous near-Earth objects (NEOs) before they become a threat, the Japanese Times reported.
Fortunately, asteroids with life-threatening potential only reach the Earth every few hundred years on average, and none currently being monitored by space agencies around the world are believed to represent any imminent threat.
One of the most difficult aspects of flybys like the one on Sunday involves the speeds at which spacecraft are moving, which can make avoiding a collision with the asteroid complicated. This is partly because of their dark coloration, which prevents visual confirmation of their location until just days before the flyby occurs, leaving only a small window for planning and preparation.
In a statement, Japan’s space agency said that these difficulties mean “that the flyby operation is similar to orbit-inducing technologies used to collide a spacecraft with an asteroid.”
If such technologies were to be used for planetary defense in the future, such a direct collision would be the goal, thereby aiming to set any potentially dangerous NEOs off course and keep Earth out of their line of fire.
In addition to the probe’s 2031 visit to 1998 KY26, JAXA officials say that additional opportunities for future reconnaissance will be likely, and that Sunday’s flyby served as an important dress rehearsal in that regard.
Additionally, data obtained from the flyby will be useful in helping JAXA officials and other space agencies around the world to know what to expect should a planetary defense effort become a requirement at any time in the future.
Once Hayabusa2 reaches 1998 KY26 in the early 2030s, it will mark the first time a spacecraft has engaged in close-range explorations of such an asteroid, which is currently estimated to be approximately 30 meters in diameter.
Additional details about the Hayabusa2 mission can be found at JAXA’s website.
Micah Hanks is the Editor-in-Chief and Co-Founder of The Debrief. A longtime reporter on science, defense, and technology with a focus on space and astronomy, he can be reached at micah@thedebrief.org. Follow him on X @MicahHanks, and at micahhanks.com.
When you think of an asteroid impact, you’re probably imagining something like the cataclysmic event that nearly wiped out the dinosaurs. In an astonishingly rare event, a rock the size of the island of Manhattan could come hurtling from deep space towards Earth and destroy the world.
On the contrary, asteroids are generally leftover debris from the primordial solar system that didn’t become part of a larger body, like a planet or moon, and they’re not particularly rare. Scientists estimate that there are about 1 billion asteroids and comets classified as near-Earth objects, or NEOs. NEOs are generally much smaller than the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs. They range from weakly held-together piles of rubble 200 meters (700 feet) across, to the minuscule 2024 BX1, approximately 44 centimeters (17 inches) across.
For several decades, astronomical surveys of the sky have looked for these asteroids. NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) Fireball and Bolide Database has records of over 1,000 incidents of objects colliding with our planet since the mid-1990s. Among these is a set of 11 objects that scientists detected before they hit Earth, known as imminent impactors. Finding imminent impactors allows scientists unique opportunities to study the smallest building blocks of the solar system, enabling them to learn more about asteroid composition, structure, and history.
A team of scientists recently conducted a study on how the newly built Vera Rubin Observatory could detect more imminent impactors before they strike Earth. They examined the CNEOS Fireball and Bolide Database impact records spanning February 1, 1994, to January 1, 2026, for records of the asteroids’ coordinates, velocities, and the energy they released at the time of collision.
They found that 343 NEOs met this criterion, including 5 known imminent impactors. Using these recorded data, they reconstructed the objects’ pre-impact characteristics. The team predicted the asteroids’ orbital paths from the recorded coordinates and velocity. Assuming the objects were spherical, they estimated the size from velocity and impact energy. From this information about the asteroids’ state before impact, the team could then simulate whether the Rubin Observatory would have detected them.
When small asteroids hit Earth, they mostly burn up in the atmosphere, producing a bright flash that is relatively easy to spot compared to when they are in space. The Rubin Observatory can see objects up to 10 billion times dimmer than the brightest star in the night sky, Sirius. To predict if the Rubin Observatory can detect dim NEOs, the team used the solar system simulator SORCHA. SORCHA takes an observatory’s specifications and the physical properties of the NEOs and uses these to determine whether the observatory could detect them. It also estimates the measured sizes and speeds of the NEOs, and predicts when the observatory would have seen them.
At the Rubin Observatory, an imminent impactor is considered discovered if it’s observed at least 3 separate times over 15 days before hitting Earth. So this team applied this same criterion to their simulation. They found that of their 343 impactors, SORCHA estimated that the Rubin Observatory would have discovered 14 of them before impact.
They also found that SORCHA predicted 4 additional impactors that could have been observed at least once, potentially allowing scientists to search other telescope data for evidence of their existence in pre-collision images. Based on these results, the team estimated that the Rubin Observatory could find 4% of all objects longer than 1 meter (3 feet) before they hit Earth. This percentage of discovery translates to 1 to 2 imminent impactors detected every year, at least double their current discovery rate.
The ability to more consistently find imminent impactors would allow researchers to study the smallest pieces of the solar system in detail and to draw general conclusions about the properties of objects that could potentially collide with Earth. This would also allow scientists to more accurately calculate the orbits of imminent impactors, determine where more meteorites land to recover them, and keep tabs on the extremely rare but more hazardous large impactors for planetary defense initiatives. So, humanity can learn more about the ancient solar system, and hopefully avoid going the way of the dinosaurs while doing so!
The post How many asteroids can we detect before they hit Earth? appeared first on Sciworthy.
More than two decades have passed since geologists first identified an unusual circular structure buried beneath the North Sea, and now scientists say new evidence could finally solve the mystery.
New research has confirmed that the feature, known as the Silverpit Crater, was likely formed by an asteroid impact as much as 46 million years ago. The discovery ends years of speculation about the mysterious feature’s origins, much of which debated whether the circular structure had been caused by volcanic activity or shifting underground salt deposits.
The research was led by researchers at Heriot-Watt University in Edinburgh and published in Nature Communications.
Combining high-resolution seismic imaging, microscopic analysis of rock samples, and computer simulations, the team behind the new study says their assessment offers the strongest evidence yet that Silverpit represents one of Earth’s relatively rare ancient impact features that have survived throughout time.
The three-kilometer feature, which lies approximately 700 meters (2,300 feet) beneath the floor of the southern North Sea, and close to 80 miles off the Yorkshire coast, has long perplexed geologists. Several larger concentric ringlike structures encircle the primary feature, comprising about 12 miles, and since its discovery in 2002, geologists have remained divided over what might have caused it.
Some argued that the weird feature possesses the unmistakable hallmarks of a hypervelocity impact; others maintained that more conventional geological explanations could better account for the circular structure.
Now, after nearly a quarter of a century of debate, the new research appears to finally put the debate over this North Sea enigma to rest.
“New seismic imaging has given us an unprecedented look at the crater,” said lead author Dr. Uisdean Nicholson, a seismologist with Heriot-Watt University. Of even greater intrigue, the researchers identified microscopic “shocked” quartz and feldspar crystals recovered from an oil exploration well at the same depth as the crater floor.
“We were exceptionally lucky to find these,” according to Nicholson, who called the team’s work “a real ‘needle-in-a-haystack’ effort.”
“These prove the impact crater hypothesis beyond doubt, because they have a fabric that can only be created by extreme shock pressures,” Nicholson said, making them among the strongest lines of evidence available to researchers for confirming ancient impact sites.
By reconstructing the ancient impact event that shaped the Silverpit feature, the team now believes that an asteroid roughly 160 meters wide struck the North Sea at a low angle after approaching from the west. The resulting collision produced the main crater, while launching massive volumes of stone and seawater to levels of up to 1.5 kilometers—the resulting tsunami would have exceeded 100 meters in height.
This ancient impact is still dwarfed when compared to the likes of Mexico’s Chicxulub Crater, which was created by an asteroid that struck our planet 66 million years ago, now widely believed to be responsible for the extinction of the dinosaurs. While smaller by comparison, the Silverpit impact would still have unleashed enormous destructive energy across the surrounding region.
The team’s work also adds to the accumulation of impact features known to scientists, which are relatively rare, despite thousands of asteroids reaching the surface of our world over the last several billion years. However, over such long periods, other geological processes such as erosion, plate tectonics, and volcanic activity have erased most of the remaining evidence of these collisions.
Presently, there are only around 200 impact craters that are known to exist on land, and another few dozen that have been detected beneath Earth’s oceans.
Altogether, while the mystery of Silverpit has now been solved, the new research does more than merely settle a debate: it allows seismologists a deeper look at how asteroid impacts reshape planetary surfaces.
Such knowledge, while improving scientists’ understanding of Earth’s past, could also help provide potentially crucial data for future planetary defense efforts by helping scientists refine models of future impact hazards.
The team’s recent study, “Multiple lines of evidence for a hypervelocity impact origin for the Silverpit Crater,” appeared in Nature Communications.
Micah Hanks is the Editor-in-Chief and Co-Founder of The Debrief. A longtime reporter on science, defense, and technology with a focus on space and astronomy, he can be reached at micah@thedebrief.org. Follow him on X @MicahHanks, and at micahhanks.com.
The discovery of all five nucleobases on Ryugu strengthens the idea that life’s molecular ingredients formed in space before reaching Earth. A new study reports that samples from the asteroid Ryugu contain all five fundamental nucleobases, the molecular “letters” of life. Tiny asteroid grains can preserve chemical clues about the ingredients that may have helped [...]A process called ‘hot bottom burning’ helped scientists determine the age of 3I/ATLAS.
The main-belt asteroid Donaldjohanson, a heavily cratered fragment born from a catastrophic breakup 155 million years ago, appears to wobble through space while preserving clues to the migration of water-rich worlds in the early Solar System, according to a new analysis of images and data from NASA’s Lucy spacecraft.
The post Asteroid Donaldjohanson is Wobbly, Peanut-Shaped Object with Watery Past, Scientists Say appeared first on Sci.News: Breaking Science News.
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