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New Analysis Confirms the Universe is Still Expanding, Refuting Controversial 2025 Claims and Prompting Immediate Response

11 June 2026 at 14:55


A new study has taken a fresh look at a late 2025 Yonsei University study claiming the universe’s expansion is stalling out and instead has found that the universe is still expanding as previously believed.

Led by researchers from the University of Southampton, the team behind the new analysis acknowledged the scientific value of the 2025 team’s work, noting that their calculations were not wrong but lacked the additional data needed to confirm the universe’s expansion rather than refute it.

The lead author of the 2025 study, Dr. Chul Chung, told The DebriefΒ that he and his colleagues β€œhave already submitted our response to Wiseman, Riess et al. 2026 on May 14,” adding that the paper, β€œStill accelerating: age bias correction in supernova cosmology is robust to host-progenitor age mapping,” has also been posted on arXiv.

β€œThe abstract summarizes the two main issues we identify in Wiseman et al., so I think it provides a concise overview of our position,” Chung told The Debrief.

Challenging Universal Expansion

According to a statement announcing the findings, scientists first confirmed the universe’s expansion was accelerating in 2011, a discovery that won astrophysicists Professor Adam Riess and Professor Brian Schmidt the Nobel Prize in Physics. Since that discovery, cosmological models have incorporated this accelerating expansion, with experiments on dark matter and dark energy attempting to explain it.

Then last year, a separate team of astronomers announced that a new analysis of stellar phenomena indicated that the universe was no longer expanding. Adding to the controversy was the team’s claim that dark energy may not exist, citing the lack of concrete evidence for a universe undergoing accelerating expansion.

According to the Southampton-led team behind the new study, the 2025 study suggested that previous methods used to measure the universe’s expansion, such as measuring supernovae, β€œwere fundamentally flawed.”

β€œThis points to a time-varying dark energy and a universe that is no longer accelerating, representing a potential paradigm shift in cosmology if confirmed,” explained Professor Chul Chung, co-lead author on the study, in a 2025 email to The Debrief.

The claims sent shockwaves through the scientific community, a result that the researchers note could have dismantled the Nobel Prize-winning team’s historic findings, and β€œnearly three decades of astronomical progress.”

When discussing the 2025 team’s work, the lead author of the new study, Dr Phil Wiseman, said the team’s findings and the resulting debate were not necessarily incorrect. Instead, the Southampton researcher said it was primarily a result of a scientific understanding.

β€œThe previous and well-accepted measurements were, in fact, fine and our current understanding of the fate of the universe remains robust.”

Recalculating Galaxy Masses and White Dwarf Star Ages Reestablishes Expansion

In their reanalysis, the Southampton-led team recalibrated the original data to account for variables not in the original study. According to Wiseman, these included β€œdifferent host environments and populations.”

For example, the research team looked at Type 1a supernovae, which are violet, extremely bright explosions of white dwarf stars. The authors of the 2025 study claimed that this class of supernova had β€œdifferent maximum brightness,” which had tricked astronomers into thinking the cosmos was accelerating, when their analysis said it was actually slowing down.

When they took a fresh look at the data, the Southampton team found that they had incorrectly estimated the age of these stars. The new study also says the 2025 team didn’t account for the mass of the galaxies hosting these cosmological phenomena, which they described as β€œa standard correction used in modern cosmology to prove accuracy.”

When his team factored those data points in, Wiseman said the evidence for a stalling expansion was not supported. Instead, the researcher observed that β€œthe evidence for cosmic acceleration remains remarkably consistent.”

In their reply on ArXiv, the Yonsei University team said the new research failed to factor in two variables of their own, adding that β€œwhen these two effects are consistently combined in computing the redshift-dependent magnitude correction, the final correction, and hence the resulting cosmological impact, remain largely unchanged,” from the original 2025 calculations.

β€œExtraordinary Claims Require Especially Careful Testing”

When discussing the new study’s findings, Southampton Professor Mark Sullivan highlighted the benefits of scientific review, noting that β€œthis is how progress is made.”

β€œAlthough this idea did not turn out correct, it has opened up new ways of thinking about how supernovae explode and how we can measure dark energy more accurately,” the researcher added.

Paper co-author, Dr Brodie Popovic agreed, noting that the 2025 study provided astronomers a good opportunity to β€œgo back over all of our assumptions,” adding that β€œit turns out, yes, we do understand this stuff, and we’re accounting for it in our cosmology measurement.”

In a salute to the Sagan Standard established by astronomer Carl Sagan, which says β€œextraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence,” Reiss seemed to celebrate the new findings that reestablish his original work by quipping that β€œextraordinary claims require especially careful testing.”

With the accelerating expansion of the universe seemingly reestablished, at least for now, Dr Wiseman said: β€œwe can get back to trying to understand what dark energy actually is, rather than wondering if it exists at all.”

β€œThankfully we have averted this crisis, but the mystery about why the universe is still accelerating in size remains,” he added.Β 

The study β€œStill Accelerating: Type Ia supernova cosmology is robust to host galaxy age evolution” was published in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society.

Christopher Plain is a Science Fiction and Fantasy novelist and Head Science Writer at The Debrief. Follow and connect with him on X, learn about his books at plainfiction.com, or email him directly at christopher@thedebrief.org.

A Universe Without Dark Energy? Mathematicians Challenge Standard Cosmology

10 June 2026 at 12:22
Dark Matter Particles Astrophysics ConceptNew mathematical research suggests dark energy may not be needed to explain the accelerating expansion of the universe, challenging the foundations of the standard cosmological model. Mathematicians are questioning whether dark energy is actually responsible for the universe’s accelerating expansion. In a new study published in Proceedings of the Royal Society A, researchers at the [...]

Getting a Peek of Kitt Peak National Observatory

23 January 2026 at 17:00

KPNO

After AAS 247 in Phoenix, Arizona, AAS Nova Editor Kerry Hensley and I had the chance to travel about 150 miles south for a tour of Kitt Peak National Observatory.

A Window into Kitt Peak

Located 60 miles southwest of Tucson, Kitt Peak National Observatory (KPNO) resides on a mountain top within the Tohono O’odham Nation reservation. Founded in 1958, Kitt Peak is home to nearly two dozen active telescopes ranging in wavelength coverage and scientific objectives. Ronald Proctor, Lori Allen, and Jacelle Ramon-Sauberan, all serving in crucial roles for the observatory, led our tour around the mountain.

Windows Center Lobby

The Windows On the Universe Center’s lobby exhibit displaying the Tohono O’odham language with words describing the land and astronomy. Jacelle Ramon-Sauberan, the Tohono O’odham Nation Education Liaison, is seen to the left. [KPNO/NOIRLab/NSF/AURA/R. Proctor; CC BY 4.0]

Our visit began in the new Windows on the Universe Center β€” the first science center inside of a telescope. Situated inside the retired McMath-Pierce Solar Telescope, the Windows Center takes visitors through exhibits exploring the universe, the telescope’s original control room, and the observatory’s connection to the Tohono O’odham Nation.

The center’s lobby introduced visitors to the beautiful land KPNO calls home. Working with Tohono O’odham linguists, Jacelle, the observatory’s Tohono O’odham Nation Education Liaison, curated the lobby exhibit that features the native language and the Nation’s connection to astronomy and the observatory. The science center serves as an educational resource and place of cultural exchange, expanding the relationship between the observatory and the Tohono O’odham Nation.Β 

Astronauts

Apollo astronauts in the control room of the McMath-Pierce Solar Telescope in 1964. [United States Geological Survey; CC BY 4.0]

After walking through an introduction to the universe exhibit, visitors enter the original control room of the telescope. Mirrors across the room’s ceiling focus the Sun’s light onto table screens where visitors can observe the Sun in real time without burning their eyeballs. In addition to observing the Sun, the solar telescope allowed astronauts in the 1960s to view a projection of the Moon’s surface and plan their landing site for the Apollo 11 mission. Visitors can stand in the same place and witness the instruments that made the moon landing possible.

At the end of the Windows Center is a Science On a Sphere Theater β€” a spherical display system that allows visitors to see planets, stars, moons, and even large-scale structures of the universe in 3D. Featuring multiple programs, the theater takes visitors through the universe and displays data collected right there on the mountain!

WIYN

The WIYN 3.5-meter telescope at sunset. [KPNO/NOIRLab/NSF/AURA/P. Marenfeld; CC BY 4.0]

A WIYN for Exoplanetary Science

Though not typically open to the public for tours, our next stop took us to the WIYN 3.5-meter telescope. This telescope is operated and owned by the WIYN Consortium, a partnership between the University of Wisconsin, Indiana University, NSF’s NOIRLab (National Optical-Infrared Astronomy Research Laboratory; formerly NOAO), Pennsylvania State University, and Princeton University. Operating since 1994 with a strong collection of instruments, WIYN has observed galaxies near and far, stars across their lifetimes, and exoplanets tugging on their host stars.

Lexi at WIYN

Me, Lexi Gault (AAS Media Fellow), in front of the WIYN 3.5-meter telescope. I have used WIYN’s SparsePak spectrograph to collect data for my dissertation research! [AAS Nova/Kerry Hensley]

WIYN’s newest instrument, NEID (pronounced β€œNOO-id”), has been advancing exoplanetary science since its first light in early 2020. Derived from the word meaning β€œto see” in the Tohono O’odham language, NEID is a high-resolution spectrograph that uses the radial velocity method to detect exoplanets. As a planet orbits its host star, its gravitational pull induces a wobble in the star, and NEID can detect these wobbles with unprecedented precision. This instrument allows astronomers to find exoplanets that were previously undetectable.

The partnership between public and private universities and a government institution was the first of its kind. Through this consortium, hundreds of undergraduate and graduate students have conducted research with WIYN, and the telescope’s suite of instruments have enabled early career astronomers to explore the universe both near and far.

Mysteries of Dark Energy at Mayall

We concluded our tour at the Mayall 4-meter Telescope, the tallest telescope dome on the mountain at a staggering 18 stories high. This iconic telescope saw first light in 1973, and at the time, was the second-largest (in diameter) telescope in the world. Originally built for wide-field optical and infrared studies of the universe, the Mayall has enabled decades of critical scientific research.

Mayall dome

The Mayall dome across the mountain as seen from inside the WIYN dome. [AAS Nova/Lexi Gault]

Mayall is now home to the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI), the most powerful multi-object survey spectrograph in the world. The DESI survey measures the impact of dark energy on the expansion of the universe through creating the largest ever 3D map of the universe. Mapping the distances to hundreds of millions of galaxies, DESI has revolutionized cosmology and enabled groundbreaking research into the origins of the universe.Β 

From the telescope’s massive dome, to the busy DESI control room, to the gallery floor with a nearly 360 degree view of the surrounding desert, the Mayall offers visitors a unique glimpse into Kitt Peak’s history and its future. While WIYN is a hidden gem, the Mayall 4-meter Telescope is open to the public for tours daily, so you can experience the exciting era of research and discovery at KPNO.Β 

Visit Kitt Peak

Interested in getting a peek yourself? KPNO is open to the public daily with multiple tour types to choose from, including both daytime and nighttime visits! Plan your visit to Kitt Peak here.

The post Getting a Peek of Kitt Peak National Observatory appeared first on AAS Nova.

Black Hole Superradiance Search for Dark Photons

7 March 2025 at 02:43
Since 2015, black holes have gained attention in astronomy, particularly regarding their potential role in discovering elusive dark matter particles like dark photons. Superradiance, a theoretical process, could theoretically boost these particles' energies near black holes. However, the absence of observed superradiance raises questions about dark matter's complexity and the validity of existing cosmological theories.

Dark Photons and the Illusion of Dark Matter

5 March 2025 at 04:59
Dark matter is equated to the metaphor of the Emperor's new clothes. Dark photons and other hypothetical particles are fictitious constructs used to explain phenomena without concrete evidence, underlining that current astrophysical models are flawed and nonsensical.

Should Biblical Creationists Believe in Dark Matter and Dark Energy?

25 February 2025 at 04:53
I question the acceptance of Dark Matter and Dark Energy by biblical creationists, suggesting they are problematic placeholders for undiscovered physics. The arguments for their existence are challenged by alternative cosmological models and criticisms of observational methodologies, calling for a re-evaluation of accepted astrophysical tenets.

Is the Big Bang Pure Fiction?

1 February 2025 at 05:34
How much of cosmology is fiction? What are the fudge factors. How much is being fudged. Are there insurmountable problems with our current model of big bang cosmology?

Dark Energy May Not Exist | New Insight on the Cosmic Web?

12 January 2025 at 23:03
Big bang cosmology faces unresolved problems with the standard Ξ›CDM model needing unknown fudge factors. A new timescape cosmology, where time passes faster or slower in voids and filaments of the cosmic web, may resolve the Dark Energy problem, but it indicates a need to rethink the foundations of cosmology.

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