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The next AI breakthrough won’t come from bigger models, but from better data

4 June 2026 at 10:00

Artificial intelligence does not advance at the same pace across industries. It presses forward in some directions while lagging behind in others.

Spend time with today’s most advanced AI applications, and this contrast becomes obvious. In software development, AI is quickly becoming ubiquitous. It writes production-ready code, explains obscure libraries, and iterates at a pace human teams have difficulty matching.

But place that same AI model inside a complex customer support workflow or ask it to reason through a nuanced clinical scenario, and the cracks begin to show. Multi-step reasoning falters. Context gets lost. Performance drops in ways that can seem inconsistent with the model’s strengths elsewhere.

These AI models are often similar. They run on similar hardware and are often trained in similar ways. So why the mismatch in performance across tasks? The simplest explanation is also the most overlooked: data.

Software engineering benefits from an immense, structured, and highly visible digital record. Code is written in standardized languages, benefits from robust documentation, is reviewed in public forums, and is discussed at scale. That ecosystem has generated a robust and massively useful pool of training material.

Other fields often do not. For example, healthcare data is scattered across institutions, wrapped in privacy constraints, expressed in multiple modalities, and rarely ready out-of-the-box for AI training. Enterprise workflows are captured in internal systems that were never designed for training AI. Multilingual speech data varies widely in quality and representation.

This imbalance creates what I describe as “the data gap.” This is the distance between what models are capable of in theory and what they can achieve in practice, because the right data does not yet exist in usable form. Closing this data gap may be the most important—and least glamorous—challenge in AI today.

The missing pillar of AI progress

Three forces are driving the recent advances in AI: the models, the chips, and the data.

On the AI models, the field has invested heavily. Major research organizations employ thousands of researchers and scientists who are actively refining architectures, training techniques, and evaluation methods. Breakthroughs are measured in benchmark scores, conference papers, and model performance on human tasks. On the computing chips, the investment has been equally intense. Hardware manufacturers and infrastructure providers are pouring billions of dollars into building and supporting data centers that deliver faster results via large-scale training.

Yet data has not received the same institutional focus for AI development. Conversations with researchers at frontier AI labs share a similar frustration that today’s model capabilities in key use cases, such as healthcare, are limited less by architectural imagination and more by the availability of high-quality, domain-specific data. The bottleneck is not always a lack of ideas, but a lack of reliable inputs.

We are long past scraping the internet for useful data, and this path does not scale. Progress depends on building and curating datasets that reflect the complexity of true lived experience and organizational processes. That work requires both scientific rigor and research specialization in the field of data for AI.

The dataset behind every leap

The history of AI reinforces a consistent lesson: major leaps in model capability follow major leaps in the availability of quality data. From early vision systems that relied on clearly labeled images to today’s language models trained on massive text collections, each major leap has depended on access to more high-quality data.

Architectural innovation alone is rarely enough. The value of these new approaches only emerges when paired with large, structured, and representative datasets that reveal what the models can actually do in practice. Whether in vision or language, progress has depended on the painstaking work of collecting, organizing, and validating the underlying data.

Large language models illustrate this clearly. Their emergence was not just the result of better training techniques, but of access to an unprecedented volume of data. The models did not generate that data. They relied on it. That pattern raises a pressing question for the present: who is building the next generation of foundational datasets?

Across domains ranging from healthcare to audio to agentic task performance, there is no widely accepted blueprint. What constitutes a gold-standard dataset for training an AI agent to handle complex enterprise tasks? What does a clinically meaningful evaluation look like for a model that will assist in medical decision-making? How should multilingual speech data be curated to ensure broad representation and reliable performance?

These are not simple sourcing problems. They are fundamental research challenges that need to be solved.

When data is treated as a commodity

Too often, consequential data decisions are handled like procurement exercises. An organization requests “medical conversations” or “wildlife scenes,” and the request is routed to internal procurement or data sourcing teams, or to external data vendors, who assemble data that appears to match the description. The implicit assumption is that data is interchangeable, that one dataset is as good as another so long as it meets a basic specification.

Actual application suggests otherwise. Seemingly small choices about factors such as inclusion criteria, annotation standards, filtering rules, and validation protocols can dramatically alter downstream performance. Data design shapes model behavior as much as architecture does.

Three structural issues compound the problem:

  • Capacity: There are relatively few specialized teams dedicated to building domain-specific datasets at the highest level of rigor. Talent and funding have gravitated toward model development and hardware innovation. Data work often operates in the background, even though it underpins both.
  • Design: Constructing a dataset is a distinct discipline from designing a neural network. It requires expertise in experimental design, domain knowledge, and statistical validation. Expecting model researchers to simultaneously shoulder the full burden of data research, while also training and evaluating the models, overlooks the complexity of the upstream task.
  • Translation: The researchers who are requesting specific data sources to improve the models are often not the same people responsible for sourcing that data. As a result, nuances and research-backed expertise can often be missing or diluted as requests pass through layers of procurement and vendor relationships. The result can be data that meets the specification sheet, but in fact fails to advance model performance.

The rise of annotation providers and reinforcement learning services has addressed part of the need. Rating model outputs, labeling text, and evaluating structured information are essential for many optimization tasks. But these activities generate data that is carefully constructed for specific, bounded purposes.

The frontier challenges in AI require more. They demand datasets derived from real human activity and organic organizational processes. Such data is complex, multimodal, and sensitive. It is rarely AI-ready by default. And converting it into reliable training and evaluation material is a scientific undertaking.

The need for scientific rigor for the AI data layer

If high-quality data is a central bottleneck, then scientific rigor is part of the solution. Just as leading model-builders have dedicated research labs and hardware has dedicated development ecosystems, the data layer for AI requires focused, scientifically-grounded institutions.

This means engaging directly with core questions like dataset design, evaluation methodology, and quality control. The conversation cannot end at volume; it must address data structure, representativeness, and expert validation.

Dataset construction must be approached as experimental design. Protocols must be documented and validated. Evaluation frameworks must test whether the dataset truly reflects the intended applications.

The field also requires standards and benchmarks that reflect real-world complexity, not simplified proxies. In healthcare, for instance, evaluating a system intended for clinical assistance with generic question-and-answer tests is insufficient. Real-world clinical environments involve multimodal inputs and contextual judgment. Benchmarks must reflect that reality if they are to function as meaningful gates before deployment.

Quality measurement is another crucial frontier. Finance relies on standardized metrics such as credit scores to assess risk. AI lacks an equivalent for datasets and benchmarks. Developing clear methodology to quantify dataset quality and evaluation reliability brings clarity to model assessment.

The criteria for evaluating a multilingual audio library will differ from those of a multimodal oncology dataset. Yet the underlying principle remains constant. Better models require better-defined, better-measured data.

The risks of getting it wrong

As AI systems move closer to high-stakes deployment, weak data practices carry tangible risks.

Benchmarks cannot be created with the same data that is used for training—that’s giving the test answers to the model ahead of time. Scaling data volume without prioritizing data quality and selection diminishes model performance gains, and can even bias against or omit underrepresented populations. These are methodological challenges, and ones that must be solved.

The rigor required at the data layer may not attract headlines. It does not typically lend itself to dramatic product launches. Yet the data layer for AI is foundational to trust, safety, and sustained progress for all AI progress.

An ecosystem for the data era

No single organization can resolve the data gap alone. What is needed is an ecosystem of AI data labs and research groups, each focused on different domains and challenges but united by a commitment to scientific discipline. These institutions would collaborate with model researchers and domain experts who would tackle challenges such as dataset contamination, factuality, groundedness, de-identification, international representation, and bias. They would design benchmarks that mirror real-world complexity rather than simplified abstractions.

AI’s trajectory will not be determined solely by larger models or faster chips. It will be shaped by the datasets we construct, the standards we adopt, and the rigor we apply at the foundation. The uneven frontier we see today reflects an uneven data landscape. Bridging the gap requires deliberate, research-driven dataset design.

If we want AI systems capable of operating reliably in clinical contexts, navigating enterprise workflows, and functioning responsibly across languages and cultures, we must treat data for AI as a first-class scientific endeavor.

AI models have their research labs. AI chip-builders have their fabrication plants. AI data needs institutions of equal seriousness and ambition.

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New Tech Forum provides a venue for technology leaders—including vendors and other outside contributors—to explore and discuss emerging enterprise technology in unprecedented depth and breadth. The selection is subjective, based on our pick of the technologies we believe to be important and of greatest interest to InfoWorld readers. InfoWorld does not accept marketing collateral for publication and reserves the right to edit all contributed content. Send all inquiries to doug_dineley@foundryco.com.

NASA-Funded Study Shows Wildfire Smoke’s Hidden Ozone Toll

4 June 2026 at 19:01
5 Min Read

NASA-Funded Study Shows Wildfire Smoke’s Hidden Ozone Toll

Canadian wildfire smoke carried carbon monoxide — a building block of ground-level ozone — thousands of miles downwind in June 2023.
Credits:
NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center

Wildfire smoke is stoking a new challenge for cleaner air. A NASA-supported study published Thursday found that, over the last decade, wildfires have worsened ground-level ozone pollution across much of the contiguous United States, creating unhealthy air far from active flames.

Wildfires have become an increasingly important contributor to ground-level ozone, or smog, across much of the United States, researchers report June 4 in the journal Science. Nationally, fires offset nearly four years’ worth of ozone-control gains, with larger setbacks in the West and Midwest.

Smoke often is associated with the soot, ash, and other fine particles that make the air look hazy. But wildfires also emit gases such as carbon monoxide, which can help form surface ozone in sunlight when other pollutants are present. Surface ozone is an invisible pollutant harmful to human health, plants, and crops. As smoke plumes travel and mix with other pollution, those reactions can drive ozone increases hundreds or even thousands of miles from active fires.

“NASA Earth observations, along with ground monitoring networks, help reveal air quality risks from wildfires that can cross state lines, giving air quality managers better decision-making information as wildfire smoke affects more communities,” said John Haynes, manager of NASA Earth Action’s Health and Air Quality program at the agency’s Headquarters in Washington. “This is a strong example of NASA science serving communities here in the U.S.”

Building a clearer ozone picture

High in the atmosphere, ozone shields Earth from harmful ultraviolet radiation. Near the ground, however, ozone can irritate lungs, worsen asthma and other respiratory diseases, and increase health risks for children, older adults, outdoor workers, and people with existing health conditions.

To track surface ozone changes, researchers turned to deep learning, a form of artificial intelligence that finds patterns across large datasets. They used it to build a first-of-its-kind dataset estimating daily surface ozone from 2003 to 2024 on a kilometer-by-kilometer grid — about 0.6 miles on each side — across the contiguous U.S. The work received support from NASA’s Health and Air Quality program and other NASA grants.

The scientists combined data from about 1,000 ground-based air quality stations with atmospheric model data, weather information, wildfire pollution data, and satellite-derived information, including products from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instruments.

Smoke from Canada’s 2023 wildfires spread across North America. Tan to deep red colors show smoke intensity, estimated from black carbon in NASA’s GEOS-FP model.
NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio (SVS) and NASA’s Global Modeling Assimilation Office (GMAO)

Their analysis revealed two distinct periods. From 2003 to 2015, U.S. ground-level ozone generally declined as emissions of ozone-forming pollutants decreased. After 2015, however, those gains slowed or reversed in many places. By comparing estimated ozone levels with scenarios that removed wildfire influence, the researchers found that pollution from wildfires was a main factor in that shift.

Without the wildfire contribution, ground-level ozone in the Midwest, for example, would likely have continued to decline. Instead, wildfires erased about 5.3 years’ worth of ozone-control progress since 2015.

“People in the Midwest may think fires burning far away will not affect them,” said the study’s corresponding author Jun Wang, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Iowa in Iowa City. “But once wildfire pollution is in the air, it can move across regions. Pollution from one place can affect air quality in another.”

Measuring the health toll

The study also found that wildfire-driven ozone increased exposure to unhealthy air and likely contributed to premature deaths. Premature deaths associated with long-term wildfire-related ozone exposure in the U.S. increased by an estimated 318 deaths per year after 2013, with the post-2013 average 46% higher than in the previous decade. The researchers calculated premature deaths using average lifespan, ozone exposure estimates, and population density.

The 2023 Canadian wildfires showed how widely those risks can spread, with smoke-driven ozone increases stretching across the Midwest and into parts of the Northeast and South. Overall, from 2022 to 2024, wildfires exposed an additional 43 million people in the U.S. to conditions that did not meet current federal air quality standards for ozone, the researchers estimated.

Capturing that national picture is difficult from ground monitors alone. Ground monitors remain the backbone of U.S. air quality tracking, but they do not cover every community. NASA’s scientifically validated satellite observations and models help researchers and agencies see air quality patterns across states, regions, and fire seasons.

That broader air quality work includes newer missions such as TEMPO (Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution). Launched in 2023, TEMPO is NASA’s first mission to use a space-based spectrometer to provide hourly daytime measurements of air quality over North America. Its view is sharp enough to distinguish pollution patterns, including surface ozone, across areas only a few square miles wide, a major improvement over earlier satellites.

Together, these capabilities help researchers and agencies see smoke-related ozone patterns that might otherwise be harder to detect, especially in rural and remote areas.

The work also points toward a practical use of NASA science during fire season. Wang’s team has used NASA support to develop FireAQ, a decision-support system that brings satellite observations, model forecasts, and fire and aerosol products into weekly briefings with state and local air quality officials. The goal is to help officials see where smoke-related pollution may move next and give communities better information.

About the Author

Emily DeMarco

Emily DeMarco

Writer/Editor (IV), Earth Science Division

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Last Updated
Jun 05, 2026
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‘Happiness is not just about GDP’: ambitious plan or utopia?

4 June 2026 at 07:28

Some will question its credibility – but the alternative future to the one imagined in the Global Justice Report is far more bleak

In our increasingly dystopian world, who wouldn’t want to at least be open to a utopian antidote? The Global Justice Report, published on Thursday, outlines how to build a prosperous, equitable world within safe planetary boundaries. It’s a push from the modern eco-socialist left in a global battle for ideas that will shape the future.

Based on past social achievements and future energy transformation, it indicates that the overwhelming majority of people on the planet could, by the end of the century, work less and earn more – while keeping temperatures down and avoiding much of the current destruction of nature. It is an ambitious, comprehensive and upbeat plan, and a stronger argument around which to build a political campaign than abstract goals of net zero or decarbonisation.

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© Photograph: Emmanuel Croset/AFP/Getty Images

© Photograph: Emmanuel Croset/AFP/Getty Images

© Photograph: Emmanuel Croset/AFP/Getty Images

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