Investigation reveals regulator let firms off the hook on cleanup bonds despite backlog that will take decades to clear
When Christiaan van Woudenberg moved to Erie, Colorado, in 2007, he never imagined he would become an anti-fracking activist. He simply thought he was buying his dream home – a four-bedroom with a panoramic mountain view, 30 minutes north of downtown Denver.
Then, in 2014, the drilling started. Oil and gas rigs sprang up, some just 800ft (240m) from his bedroom window. The dream turned to nightmare: loud noises rumbled all night long, and the air stank like exhaust. Neighbors started getting headaches and nosebleeds, and Van Woudenberg developed new respiratory issues. He kept his windows shut and worried about his daughters going outside.
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© Composite: Rita Liu/The Guardian/Getty Images/Civitas/Chevron/OXY
© Composite: Rita Liu/The Guardian/Getty Images/Civitas/Chevron/OXY
© Composite: Rita Liu/The Guardian/Getty Images/Civitas/Chevron/OXY
Earth has many unique features for a planet, such as a magnetic field, a large moon, and plate tectonics. It’s also the only planet we know of that harbors life. These facts form the basis of the Rare Earth hypothesis, which posits that we haven’t found aliens because other planets in the Galaxy probably don’t have all the right conditions for life.
Another characteristic of Earth is that about 30% of its surface is land and about 70% is ocean. Recently, Columbia University Assistant Professor David Kipping investigated whether the proportion of Earth’s surface covered by dry land versus ocean, or its land fraction, is another reason Earth is habitable not only for simple single-celled organisms, but also for intelligent species like humans.
To test this hypothesis, Kipping created 4 statistical models of planets with different land fractions that intelligent aliens could potentially evolve on. First, he created an equation to describe the likelihood that a planet in its star’s habitable zone has a particular land fraction, known as a probability distribution. Kipping weighted this probability distribution toward the extreme ends, making it more likely that a planet would be covered by a single huge landmass or a single vast ocean than by a mix of both, as on Earth.
Kipping then incorporated this land fraction probability distribution into his statistical models to calculate the probability that a random planet will have that land fraction and host intelligent life. The 4 scenarios Kipping tested were: 1) that intelligent life is more likely to emerge on land-dominated planets, 2) that it’s more likely to emerge on ocean-dominated planets, 3) that it’s more likely to emerge on planets with roughly equal amounts of land and ocean, and 4) that its emergence is independent of a planet’s land fraction.
As a first step in determining the kinds of planets intelligent aliens would tend to emerge on, Kipping used each model to predict the probability that intelligent life would emerge on a planet with the same land fraction as Earth. He then compared these probabilities by calculating the ratios between each value. Because Earth is the only known planet with intelligent life, a model that predicted a greater probability for humanity’s existence on Earth would be more likely to reflect reality.
Kipping considered it strong evidence that a given model was more realistic than another if the ratio between 2 of them was greater than 10, meaning one model was 10 times more likely to predict the existence of Earth and humanity. Kipping found that no comparison of any 2 models passed this threshold. However, the models assuming that intelligent life prefers ocean-dominated planets or planets with a land-ocean balance were 2.5 and 3 times more likely to predict the existence of humanity than the model assuming that intelligent life prefers land-dominated planets. Additionally, the model assuming that intelligent life prefers a land-ocean balance was always more likely to predict humanity than any other model, though marginally.
Kipping also addressed whether finding more planets with intelligent life would affect which model was deemed most realistic, for example, if scientists discovered conclusive evidence of life on Mars in its distant past. Here, Kipping identified 2 complications. First, it’s uncertain how much of Mars’s surface was once covered by water – some estimate it had a land fraction as high as 81%, while others estimate it was as low as 25%. Second, proving that Mars once had life would not prove it once had intelligent life.
Regardless, Kipping reran the models assuming that ancient Mars had a land fraction comparable to Earth’s. Adding this second data point produced ratios similar to those in the earlier Earth-only calculations, meaning it still didn’t make any single model 10 times more likely to predict the existence of humans and Martians, respectively.
Kipping then took the 10-times threshold and reversed the calculations to find what conditions would exceed it. In doing so, he calculated that astronomers would need to find 14 other planets with intelligent life and known land fractions to robustly determine whether intelligent life is more likely to occur on desert planets, ocean planets, balanced planets, or without bias.
Kipping concluded that he can’t yet definitively state whether there is something special about Earth’s land fraction when it comes to producing intelligent species. However, Earth’s existence would suggest that intelligent life is unlikely to favor extreme desert planets, so the Milky Way probably isn’t filled with Tatooines and Jakkus. And while his analysis doesn’t debunk the Rare Earth hypothesis, it does undermine the argument that Earth’s ocean size explains why Earth is rare.
The post Is Earth’s water why intelligent life evolved here? appeared first on Sciworthy.
Nour Haydar speaks with Christopher Knaus about the BHP files – the cache of internal documents leaked to the Guardian and the ABC’s Four Corners – which show that the world’s biggest miner has war-gamed ways to massively delay decarbonisation
Additional audio in this episode was sourced by Financial Times Live
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© Composite: Victoria Hart/Guardian
© Composite: Victoria Hart/Guardian
© Composite: Victoria Hart/Guardian
Exclusive: Mining giant says technology is not yet advanced enough to run a fully electrified fleet but experts say it is hooked on federal fuel tax credits
Revealed: the internal BHP memo that slammed the brakes on world’s biggest miner’s climate push
Read more from the BHP files investigation here
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BHP has continued to spend hundreds of millions of dollars buying diesel trucks in the Pilbara despite internal documents suggesting it would increase emissions and be “misaligned” with its decarbonisation goals.
The mining giant is Australia’s biggest consumer of diesel and trucks are its biggest single source of diesel emissions. Replacing the fleet with battery-electric trucks is considered a critical step in the multinational’s efforts to decarbonise.
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© Composite: Guardian
© Composite: Guardian
© Composite: Guardian
While Westminster’s attention is focused on Andy Burnham and Makerfield, another pivotal byelection is taking place in Scotland’s north-east
The coming byelection in Makerfield, from where Andy Burnham aspires to make rapid progress towards Downing Street, is perhaps the most consequential in British political history. But the decision by the Scottish National party’s former Westminster leader, Stephen Flynn, to relocate to Holyrood means that another pivotal contest is taking place more than 350 miles to the north. If Makerfield is a test case for Mr Burnham and Labour’s ability to see off Reform UK, Mr Flynn’s old constituency of Aberdeen South is on the frontline of the increasingly fraught politics of North Sea oil.
Labour, despite finishing second in the 2024 general election thanks largely to anti-Tory tactical voting, will not be expecting much this time round. The ramifications of Donald Trump’s reckless war in Iran have exposed Britain’s ongoing vulnerability to fossil-fuel-related energy shocks, highlighting the practical benefits of moving to a green economy. But the knock-on effects of the closure of the strait of Hormuz have also been a gift for the Scottish Conservatives and Reform, who are framing the byelection as a local referendum on reviving oil and gas production beyond Westminster-imposed limits.
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© Photograph: Iain Masterton/Alamy
© Photograph: Iain Masterton/Alamy
© Photograph: Iain Masterton/Alamy
Grattan Institute calls on Labor to set policies that will further reduce the use of gas in order to meet net zero targets
After more than a half a century of growth, the use of gas in Australia has peaked in all sectors and entered a “structural decline”. But use will need to fall fast to meet climate targets, according to new research from an influential thinktank.
The Grattan Institute warned the government had failed to acknowledge the decline and instead needed policies to further reduce gas use and avoid the need for expensive carbon capture technologies to meet net zero targets.
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© Photograph: Manfred Gottschalk/Getty Images
© Photograph: Manfred Gottschalk/Getty Images
© Photograph: Manfred Gottschalk/Getty Images
Australia is pioneering a revolution in home renewables and battery use, proving what is possible with the right policies
The timing was rich with symbolism. As intense heatwaves pummelled Europe and Asia, and oil markets around the world leapt and sputtered, the two big chimneys of one of Australia’s largest power stations were being demolished. Meanwhile, the Australian energy minister was holding a media conference to hail a fall of up to 10% in the benchmark electricity price in parts of the country.
Quietly, and with surprisingly little fanfare from the rest of the world, Australia is pioneering a revolution in home renewables and battery use, proving what is possible with the right policies. The country was already one of the global leaders in domestic solar power, with panels on one in three homes. It also remains, however, a major contributor to the climate crisis through its vast fossil fuel exports. But it is batteries that are giving Australia a new burst of speed.
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© Photograph: Hollie Adams/Reuters
© Photograph: Hollie Adams/Reuters
© Photograph: Hollie Adams/Reuters
In Hawaii, ocean trash — including old fishing nets — is being recycled to cover roads. The process is experimental, but it shows promise as a way to deal with a growing pollutant: plastic.
Paving with plastic is being done elsewhere, such as Missouri and Texas. But Hawaii is the first state to try adding marine debris. Its islands currently face a unique exposure to trashed plastic. It comes from discarded fishing gear, but also tourist wastes. There’s even some plastic released from the Great Pacific Garbage Patch.
So far, people have pulled 90 metric tons (roughly 200,000 pounds) of plastic trash from the Pacific Ocean. More than one metric ton (2,200 pounds) of fishing nets alone have been used in paving Hawaiian roads.
One key question is whether the pavement’s wear and tear might shed microplastics — tiny bits of this embedded trash.
“We’re extremely concerned about the shedding of plastics or other chemicals into the environment,” says Jennifer Lynch. This can expose people and animals to toxic plastic additives. Lynch is a chemist. She heads the Center for Marine Debris Research at Hawaii Pacific University in Honolulu.
Her team shared its findings March 22 at the American Chemical Society (ACS) meeting in Atlanta, Ga.
Lynch’s center runs a Nets-to-Roads program. Researchers collect and sort plastic and other marine debris gathered from beaches. Then they pick out waste made with polyethylene (Pah-lee-ETH-ih-leen). It’s a durable plastic found in such things as milk jugs, yogurt containers and fishing nets.
The Hawaii team sends the waste and nets to the U.S. mainland. There they get shredded and ground up. Then the materials come back to Hawaii. At a facility on the island of Oahu, they’re mixed with other ingredients to make asphalt. That’s the black, gooey stuff made from petroleum that’s often used to pave roads.
Once loaded onto trucks, this hot mix was used to cover stretches of road on the southwestern side of the island, Lynch says.
Three experimental strips went down in 2022. One had a section of traditional asphalt mixed with a rubber called styrene-butadiene-styrene. That rubber adds durability and flexibility. Ground marine waste and the rubber were added to a second batch. A third contained the marine waste and asphalt but no rubber.
Eleven months later, researchers collected road samples. They wanted to test it for escaping microplastics before taking the project to more roads, Lynch explains. They exposed the samples to conditions that mimic what might release microplastics. For example, they modeled stormwater running off a road or gravelly dust being swept from the road by traffic.
Water and dust from pavement with ocean trash contained amounts of microplastics similar to what was seen from samples of the asphalt with no plastic, says Jeremy Axworthy. He’s a marine biologist who worked on the program. He presented the team’s results at the ACS meeting.
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Phase two of this program launched in 2024. It tested five types of pavement, including combos with and without rubber and plastic. Some contained ground-up fishing nets. Others contained other plastic trash. Data on which performed best should be available soon.
Bill Buttlar directs the Mizzou Asphalt Pavement and Innovation Lab. It’s at the University of Missouri in Columbia. He’s impressed with the program. Still, he notes that Hawaii’s roads face different challenges than those on the U.S. mainland. Hawaii’s tropical climate brings heavy rains. And volcanic activity there causes the ground to constantly shift, which can crack roads. “The main challenge to scaling this is getting the recipe right,” Buttlar says. “What works in Hawaii may be a little different than what works in the [U.S.] Midwest.”
© Robin Utrecht/ANP, via Alamy
Clean power remains essential. But until it arrives, Britain must stop LNG made scarce by the Iran war setting gas and electricity prices
The US-Israel war on Iran will drive household energy costs in Britain to their highest level in two years over the summer. This has given fresh impetus to calls for the energy secretary, Ed Miliband, to change course. The cabinet minister is vulnerable because he promised cheaper bills if Britain embraced his clean, green power plan.
Critics, including Labour’s former prime minister Sir Tony Blair, are circling. Yet Mr Miliband ought to ignore the naysayers. Until global carbon emissions, including Britain’s, are reduced to net zero, the planet will continue to fry and temperature records will continue to be broken.
Do you have an opinion on the issues raised in this article? If you would like to submit a response of up to 300 words by email to be considered for publication in our letters section, please click here.
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© Photograph: Loop Images Ltd/Alamy
© Photograph: Loop Images Ltd/Alamy
© Photograph: Loop Images Ltd/Alamy
As summers become hotter, air conditioner sales are booming. If you’re looking to invest, here’s what to consider
When a heatwave struck the UK this week, Jon Connorton, a software developer, began monitoring temperatures inside his east Hampshire terrace house. With some rooms reaching close to 40C, it was time to deploy the air conditioner. “We just wheel it out in emergencies,” he said. “We were having trouble sleeping.”
Connorton and his wife have a portable air conditioner. These plug-in devices cool interior air by removing heat from it and blowing that heat outside, typically via a large hose slung from a window or door.
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© Photograph: LeoPatrizi/Getty Images
© Photograph: LeoPatrizi/Getty Images
© Photograph: LeoPatrizi/Getty Images
Datacentres used 22% of country’s electricity last year, pushing up household bills, study suggests
Energy demand by datacentres in Ireland has added hundreds of euros to household electricity bills in a pattern that could be replicated across Europe, according to a report.
Ireland’s growing number of datacentres last year used 22% of the country’s electricity, more than all urban homes combined, according to the Central Statistics Office. The equivalent figure in the US and UK is 6%.
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© Photograph: Sergio Azenha/Alamy
© Photograph: Sergio Azenha/Alamy
© Photograph: Sergio Azenha/Alamy
Energy specialists say abandoning net zero and increasing oil and gas drilling would cause more instability for Britons
Abandoning net zero and drilling for more oil and gas in the North Sea would be a massive setback for the UK and would not help the economy, leading experts have said in response to claims by the former prime minister Tony Blair.
“This is a bizarre intervention to make during the worst May heatwave on record and when the Iran crisis is providing yet more evidence of the enormous costs of oil and gas,” said Ed Matthew, the UK programme director at the E3G thinktank. “Clean energy is cheaper energy – it protects our bills from prices skyrocketing, its running costs are virtually zero, and it doesn’t cause climate change which threatens economic collapse ... The government should ignore Blair’s ideological nonsense and focus on what works.”
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© Photograph: Christopher Furlong/Getty Images
© Photograph: Christopher Furlong/Getty Images
© Photograph: Christopher Furlong/Getty Images
With early tests suggesting the presence of crude oil, the Caribbean island has begun to debate whether it could justify becoming a producer
Jamaica is closer than ever to drilling for oil. Tests on samples from the seabed off the Caribbean island’s south coast earlier this year identified hydrocarbons, which suggest the presence of crude oil below ground.
Jamaica imports all its fuel, which costs about $1.5-2bn (£1.1bn-1.5bn) annually, depending on global oil prices. It is a persistent drag on an economy that generated $4.3bn from tourism, its biggest earner, in 2024.
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© Illustration: Eleanor Shakespeare
© Illustration: Eleanor Shakespeare
© Illustration: Eleanor Shakespeare
More Americans are using small solar panels in their back yards or balconies as a clean way to cut their electric bills
If you feel like your electricity bill just keeps climbing, you aren’t imagining it. Since 2020, US residential energy prices have surged by about 30%, making power the largest household energy expense behind gasoline, according to the US Energy Information Administration.
But for residents like Alex Curtis, the days of feeling powerless against rising costs are coming to an end. Curtis is waging a war on his electric bill, and his new weapon of choice is a lightweight, thin-film solar panel.
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© Photograph: Climate Central
© Photograph: Climate Central
© Photograph: Climate Central
About 400 million years ago, the population of plants with vein systems for transferring water and nutrients, called vascular land plants, exploded. Soon thereafter, rocks from some continental magmas showed notable shifts in their chemical compositions. Geologists have suggested that these magma changes happened worldwide, but some argue that the data might be biased because some geographic regions have more samples to analyze than others. A new research team recently tested whether these magmatic changes occurred on a global scale, versus in isolated mountain belts or volcanic islands.
Geologists use the chemistry of rocks formed from magma to understand a magma’s history. In particular, a mineral called zircon that forms from cooling magma preserves chemical clues about where the magma came from and what it interacted with. To test whether magma changes were global or local, the authors needed data ranging from the equator to the poles. Continents have shifted over the past 400 million years, so scientists use the latitude a rock had when it formed, called its paleolatitude, to compare samples from different parts of ancient Earth. To understand magma histories worldwide, the team used publicly available chemical data from zircons in magmatic rocks that formed across a wide spread of paleolatitudes.
Chemical elements with the same number of protons but different numbers of neutrons are called isotopes with different masses. To discern how plants influenced magma, the researchers analyzed 2 different isotope signals preserved in the zircons. The first isotope signal comes from the ratio of the heavy to light oxygen isotopes, which increases when sediment mixes into magma. Scientists refer to this value as δ18O, pronounced “delta 18-O.”
The second isotope signal comes from the element hafnium, denoted Hf. Geologists use hafnium to estimate how long ago magmas melted and separated from the mantle. Zircon contains 2 Hf isotopes, one of which is stable and one of which is produced by radioactive decay. Because this decay happens over billions of years, the ratio between the 2 Hf isotopes over time shifts only slightly. Geologists express these tiny differences using a shorthand called εHf, pronounced “epsilon hafnium,” which shows how much a magma’s Hf signature has changed from Earth’s original mantle. Lower εHf values indicate magmas that incorporated older crustal rock, while higher εHf values reflect mantle sources.
The researchers found that δ18O values increased as εHf values decreased in these zircons. They concluded that this trend indicates increasing amounts of land-derived sediment in magmas, corresponding with the evolution of land plants. They suggested that land plants altered the ancient landscape, changing how sediments weathered and moved over land.
To explore this pattern in detail, the team focused on the Andes Mountains, a region that preserves a long history of magmatic activity across a long span of space and time. Using a database, they accessed isotope data from zircon samples collected in the Andes Mountains by dozens of other research groups. These samples covered 32 degrees of modern latitude and 520 million years of Earth’s history, offering a broad window into how magma chemistry changed during that time.
They found that zircons older than 450 million years had no relationship between their εHf and δ18O values. However, in zircons younger than 450 million years, δ18O increased as εHf decreased. The researchers saw this pattern in magmas that formed along the edge of the continent, where one tectonic plate sinks below the other, called a subduction zone. They also saw this pattern in magmas that formed inland, away from the subduction zone, around 200 million years ago during the breakup of the supercontinent Pangaea.
They found similar results in published zircon isotope data from igneous rocks in China, the Caribbean, Antarctica, Madagascar, and Tasmania. Zircons from each region showed the same relationship as zircons in the Andes. Since paleolatitude can also reflect ancient climate, the researchers compared the ratio of εHf and δ18O, written as εHf/δ18O, with paleolatitude to test whether ancient climate zones influenced magma chemistry. They found no link between paleolatitude and εHf/δ18O.
With these results in mind, the researchers concluded that the relationship between εHf and δ18O shifted worldwide after vascular land plants evolved. They argued that as plants spread across the continents, their roots accelerated the breakdown of rocks. This accelerated weathering produced large amounts of sediment that washed into ocean basins and was eventually subducted into the mantle, forever changing the chemistry of magma formed there. They suggested that this chain of events illustrates how life on Earth’s surface can drive changes deep within the planet.
The post Plants changed the chemistry of magmas appeared first on Sciworthy.
Property owners’ lack of motivation due to ‘split incentive’ is main reason rental properties are missing out on energy upgrades, research finds
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Renters make up nearly a third of Australian households yet many are missing out on energy upgrades – such as insulation, appliances and rooftop solar – that could slash their power bills and improve home comfort.
The problem, according to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), is landlords’ lack of motivation.
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© Photograph: David Mariuz/AAP
© Photograph: David Mariuz/AAP
© Photograph: David Mariuz/AAP
Outrage as leaked documents reveal mining giant’s backsliding on commitments to slash emissions
Read more from the BHP files investigation here
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The independent senator David Pocock says leaked BHP documents show that the mining giant is “laughing” at Australia’s key climate policy while pocketing hundreds of millions of dollars through a generous diesel tax break.
An exclusive investigation based on documents leaked to by the Guardian and the ABC show BHP has scrapped a project to significantly reduce global emissions, delayed vast renewables projects in the Pilbara and war-gamed options to push the electrification of its polluting diesel truck and train fleets into the next two decades.
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© Photograph: Lukas Coch/AAP
© Photograph: Lukas Coch/AAP
© Photograph: Lukas Coch/AAP
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