A climate shock that unfolded about 304 million years ago is offering scientists a dramatic warning about how quickly Earth’s climate system can amplify an initial temperature rise. During the Late Paleozoic Ice Age, a relatively modest increase in global temperatures appears to have triggered a much larger episode of warming, as methane released from thawing permafrost intensified the greenhouse effect. Researchers say the ancient event provides a powerful geological parallel for the climate changes occurring today.

The study, led by Le Yao of the Nanjing Institute of Geology and Paleontology with contributions from University of Cincinnati geosciences professor Thomas Algeo and international colleagues, examined a short-lived warming episode during Earth’s penultimate ice age. Their findings suggest that global sea surface temperatures eventually increased by more than 7 degrees Celsius, or approximately 12 degrees Fahrenheit. The rise was not necessarily caused by one enormous initial pulse of carbon. Instead, it may have developed through a chain reaction in which warming activated additional natural sources of greenhouse gases.

The Late Paleozoic Ice Age extended across a vast span of geological time, when large ice sheets covered parts of the supercontinent Gondwana. Although the planet was in an “icehouse” state, atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane still had the power to destabilize the climate. The newly analyzed warming event is particularly significant because it occurred under ice-age conditions rather than during an already warm greenhouse world. That makes it a valuable analog for the modern Earth, which still contains continent-scale ice masses in Greenland and Antarctica.

According to the researchers, the initial climate disturbance may have been linked to volcanic activity. Volcanic emissions can inject carbon dioxide and other gases into the atmosphere, where they absorb outgoing infrared radiation and prevent some heat from escaping into space. The warming may also have been assisted by changes in Earth’s orbit. Over long cycles, variations in orbital shape alter the distribution of sunlight across the planet, influencing the growth and retreat of ice sheets and changing the seasonal balance of solar energy.

At first, the additional carbon may have produced only a limited temperature increase. But once warming crossed a critical threshold, frozen ground in high-latitude regions began to thaw. Permafrost contains large quantities of organic carbon preserved in frozen soils. When that material becomes available to microbes, decomposition can release carbon dioxide and methane. Methane is especially powerful over shorter atmospheric timescales because, molecule for molecule, it absorbs considerably more infrared radiation than carbon dioxide, even though it remains in the atmosphere for less time.

This process can create a positive climate feedback. An initial warming causes permafrost to thaw, thawing releases greenhouse gases, and the additional gases produce further warming. That extra heat can accelerate more thawing, allowing the cycle to reinforce itself. The researchers describe the ancient event as a transient global warming episode in which a comparatively modest carbon release appears to have crossed a climatic tipping point and initiated much more extensive carbon emissions from natural reservoirs.

The geological timescale of the ancient warming is also central to the study’s relevance. Algeo said the temperature change unfolded over tens of thousands of years, with warming occurring at an average rate of roughly one-tenth of a degree Celsius per 1,000 years. Modern warming is progressing far more rapidly. Researchers have observed an increase of nearly 1 degree Celsius in global sea surface temperature over approximately the past century, a rate many times faster than the average change reconstructed for the ancient event.

The comparison does not mean that Earth is destined to repeat the precise conditions of 304 million years ago. Continents, ecosystems, atmospheric composition and ice-sheet geometry were all different in the Late Paleozoic. However, the physics of greenhouse warming and the existence of carbon feedbacks remain relevant. Ancient climate records reveal how a system that appears stable can respond nonlinearly when warming activates processes capable of releasing additional greenhouse gases.

The findings also place human history in a broader planetary context. All recorded human civilization has developed during the most recent ice age, despite the fact that the term can sound incompatible with today’s climate. In scientific usage, Earth remains in an ice age because substantial permanent ice sheets still exist in Greenland and Antarctica. The ancient warming episode matters precisely because it demonstrates that an ice age does not guarantee a permanently cold or stable climate. Even within an icehouse world, a small disturbance can trigger rapid and substantial changes when reinforcing feedbacks are engaged.

The research, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, underscores why scientists closely monitor permafrost, polar ice and other climate-sensitive carbon stores. The ancient record cannot provide an exact forecast of future warming, but it shows that Earth’s climate has repeatedly responded to carbon disturbances with amplifying feedbacks. As modern emissions continue to raise temperatures at an exceptional rate, the geological evidence offers a clear message: the danger lies not only in the carbon released directly by human activity, but also in the natural carbon sources that warming can unlock.

Subject of Research: Ancient global warming, permafrost methane feedbacks, and climate tipping points during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age

Article Title: A transient global warming event during Earth’s penultimate icehouse

Web References: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2601643123

References: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2601643123

Image Credits: Andrew Higley, University of Cincinnati

Keywords: climate change, global warming, ice age, Late Paleozoic Ice Age, permafrost, methane, climate feedback, tipping point, paleoclimate, geology, volcanic activity, Earth’s climate history

At Earth’s poles, much of the heat leaving the planet is invisible to human eyes. NASA’s two PREFIRE CubeSats are measuring that far-infrared energy directly, and a new animation built from two complete seasonal cycles shows just how differently the Arctic and Antarctic warm and cool. The Polar Radiant Energy in the Far-InfraRed Experiment began […]

The post NASA’s PREFIRE Satellites Show How the Poles Trade Heat With Space appeared first on Curiosmos.

Federal forecasters are monitoring three areas of potential cyclone formation in the Atlantic basin.

The calving event marked the largest loss of floating ice in over a decade.

Researchers used quartz from fossilized wood to trace how Europe developed. A polished piece of fossilized wood may look like little more than a decorative stone, yet the quartz inside it can preserve the history of an entire region for hundreds of millions of years. Geologist Dr. Steffen Trümper of the University of Münster and [...]

California is likely looking at a winter of storm surge and coastal flooding.

A newly published study reports that tropical cyclones were far more common during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age than many climate reconstructions have suggested. Led by Yan, Macarewich, Jiang, and colleagues, the work appears in Nature Communications (2026) and reframes how Earth’s cold interval coexisted with warm-water storm systems.

The researchers investigated geological signatures linked to extreme marine events, combining stratigraphic evidence with climate-model constraints. Their goal was to distinguish ordinary seasonal variability from the kind of widespread, repeated disturbances that characterize tropical cyclone belts.

A key technical advance in the study is the integration of paleoclimate boundary conditions with storm-resolving dynamical reasoning. Instead of treating cyclone activity as a simple function of temperature alone, the team considered large-scale patterns that govern where warm oceans can persist long enough to power rotating storms.

The results point to an expanded region of conditions favorable for cyclogenesis. Even though the planet was globally in an ice-age mode, ocean–atmosphere coupling—driven by uneven heat storage, changing circulation, and shifting storm tracks—likely enabled tropical systems to form across parts of the tropics more frequently than expected.

The authors describe “widespread” activity, implying that cyclone impacts were not limited to rare episodes. This interpretation aligns with the idea that cooling did not fully suppress tropical cyclone energetics; rather, it altered the geography and intensity distribution of storm-prone environments.

Using the preserved sedimentary record, the study connects storm activity to repeated depositional pulses. Those pulses, they argue, reflect basin-scale disturbance rather than local weather anomalies, strengthening the case for frequent tropical cyclone events during this interval.

From a broader perspective, the findings have implications for how we understand resilience and feedbacks in past climates. If cyclones continued to thrive under ice-age background states, then tropical extremes may persist through major global reorganizations.

The study’s viral potential is clear: it challenges an intuitive narrative that “ice ages mean calm tropics,” and replaces it with a more nuanced picture in which warm-water dynamics and circulation shifts can sustain storminess despite global cooling.

Below are the details available from the provided text:

Subject of Research: Tropical cyclone activity during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age.

Article Title: Widespread tropical cyclone activity during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age.

Article References: Yan, Q., Macarewich, S., Jiang, N. et al. Widespread tropical cyclone activity during the Late Paleozoic Ice Age. Nat Commun (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-75609-1

Image Credits: AI Generated

DOI: 10.1038/s41467-026-75609-1

Rising mantle temperatures and two heat surges may explain why some Hawaiian volcanoes grew exceptionally large. A 3500 km (2200 mile) trail of volcanoes records the Pacific plate’s slow passage over the Hawaiian hotspot. Instead of cooling through time as geologists have generally expected, the mantle plume beneath this chain appears to have warmed by [...]

Human activity is draining oxygen from marine waters, and it's past time to take this crisis seriously.

Climate change is being driven largely by the greenhouse gases we've pumped into the atmosphere, which trap more of the Sun's energy there. That added energy increases the odds of extreme events: longer, more intense heat waves and droughts, interspersed with excessive precipitation. But these sorts of events have happened in the past—how can we tell if any given weather disaster has been made more likely by the climate?

It's a question with implications for everything from building codes to disaster preparedness. And there's some good news: According to a report released by the US National Academies of Science on Thursday, the field of climate attribution is growing increasingly mature and can answer some questions for us with far greater confidence than it could just a decade ago. The report also notes that there are still important limits and suggests steps to address them.

Overall, this makes it clear that climate attribution is normal, mainstream science. And the fossil fuel industry views that as a problem, as it could make it easier to hold companies liable for damages. This has triggered a backlash that has Republicans in Congress and state governments threatening the National Academies' funding.

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© Zhen Li

Climate change is being driven largely by the greenhouse gases we've pumped into the atmosphere, which trap more of the Sun's energy there. That added energy increases the odds of extreme events: longer, more intense heat waves and droughts, interspersed with excessive precipitation. But these sorts of events have happened in the past—how can we tell if any given weather disaster has been made more likely by the climate?

It's a question with implications for everything from building codes to disaster preparedness. And there's some good news: According to a report released by the US National Academies of Science on Thursday, the field of climate attribution is growing increasingly mature and can answer some questions for us with far greater confidence than it could just a decade ago. The report also notes that there are still important limits and suggests steps to address them.

Overall, this makes it clear that climate attribution is normal, mainstream science. And the fossil fuel industry views that as a problem, as it could make it easier to hold companies liable for damages. This has triggered a backlash that has Republicans in Congress and state governments threatening the National Academies' funding.

Read full article

Comments

© Zhen Li

A new study in Nature Communications reports that subducting slabs can become effectively “stalled” for long periods—not simply due to mantle temperature or plate motion, but because distinct rock assemblages within the downgoing plate alter how the slab interacts with the surrounding mantle. Using geophysical constraints combined with thermodynamic modeling, the researchers argue that slab dynamics depend on whether the slab interior is dominated by hydrated ultramafic lithologies or by comparatively dry basaltic components.

The central finding is that wet harzburgite—an olivine-rich, ultramafic rock—can sustain slab stagnation by promoting hydration-related weakening processes and controlling the timing and location of mineral transformation. In parallel, the team shows that dry basaltic slab assemblages can also contribute to stagnation, but through a different pathway: by limiting certain water-driven reactions while still maintaining a mechanically coherent, slow-moving interface at depth.

According to the authors, the fate of volatiles is the key variable. As the slab descends, pressure and temperature drive phase changes and dehydration reactions. These reactions can either increase or decrease the effective viscosity and friction along plate boundaries, shifting the balance between slab pull and mantle resistance. Where hydration is sustained, water remains available to weaken lithospheric portions that would otherwise become too rigid to decouple.

In the wet harzburgite scenario, dehydration and metamorphic reactions are predicted to sustain zones of reduced strength within the slab, preventing it from sinking efficiently into the lower mantle. This creates a feedback loop: slower descent limits thermal loss, which in turn preserves conditions that keep the weakening processes active.

In the dry basaltic scenario, the model emphasizes that even without abundant water, basaltic mineralogy can maintain mechanical coupling over a broader depth range. The study suggests that dry assemblages may delay the development of decoupling horizons, thereby prolonging stagnation until the slab eventually transitions to a different rheological regime.

The researchers also connect their results to the observed diversity of subduction-zone behavior, where some slabs advance smoothly while others appear to linger at mantle depths. By treating rock composition explicitly rather than assuming uniform slab properties, the work offers a framework for interpreting why similar plate boundary geometries can yield markedly different slab lifetimes.

Crucially, the analysis links mineral stability, dehydration partitioning, and viscosity contrasts into a single physical narrative. This moves slab “stalling” away from a purely geometric explanation and toward a lithology-driven process that can be tested against seismic signatures.

The findings will likely influence how future models incorporate water budgets and rock types in subduction simulations. If validated by geophysical observations, the wet-versus-dry assemblage distinction could become a practical lever for predicting which slabs will stagnate and for how long.

In short, the study portrays slab stagnation as a sustained state maintained by the contrasting rheological effects of hydrated harzburgite and comparatively dry basaltic materials, reshaping our understanding of how deep Earth water and rock chemistry govern plate evolution.

Subject of Research: Subduction zone dynamics and slab stagnation mechanisms

Article Title: Slab stagnation sustained by wet harzburgite and dry basaltic slab assemblages.

Article References: Shi, D., Shen, Y., Zhao, R. et al. Nature Communications (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-75639-9

Image Credits: AI Generated

DOI: 10.1038/s41467-026-75639-9

Keywords: slab stagnation; subduction; wet harzburgite; dry basaltic assemblage; dehydration; mantle rheology; volatiles; mineral transformations

A new analysis revisits the Great Barrier Reef’s past losses of Acropora corals, showing that reef decline was not only a modern story of warming oceans. Using historical ecological records alongside climate-linked environmental data, the study links earlier episodes of Acropora mortality to shifting variability in ocean conditions—factors that can amplify heat stress even before today’s extremes fully arrive. The findings suggest that the reef’s vulnerability has deep roots, shaped by how the atmosphere and oceans interact over time.

The researchers focus on Acropora, a genus that forms structurally complex habitats and supports high biodiversity. When these branching corals die, the consequences cascade: shelter and food sources shrink, juvenile recruitment becomes harder, and reef recovery slows. Their approach connects mortality signals across time to measures of climate variability, aiming to distinguish natural swings from persistent human-driven pressures.

Clues come from patterns consistent with stress events driven by warmer-than-usual water, altered temperature dynamics, and changing conditions that influence coral physiology. Importantly, the work frames these stressors as interacting rather than acting alone. Climate variability can raise the frequency and severity of harmful conditions, while human impacts provide chronic background stress that reduces coral resilience.

The study emphasizes that anthropogenic impacts—such as local water-quality degradation and other human pressures—can intensify the damage caused during climate-driven heat or disturbance events. In this view, the reef does not simply “survive” or “collapse” based on temperature alone; it fails when multiple stressors converge, tipping corals past thresholds for survival and regrowth.

This “multi-stressor” model matters for forecasts. If past mortality aligns with periods of heightened climate variability, then future reef risk depends not only on long-term warming trends but also on how variability evolves. That means management strategies must be tuned to both the climate signal and the local pressures that determine how quickly corals can bounce back after shocks.

The authors also highlight that historical mortality patterns can function like a preview of likely future dynamics. Instead of treating recent bleaching as the first chapter, the analysis portrays a longer timeline of stress accumulation. The reef’s trajectory, they argue, reflects a system that has repeatedly been strained and partially recovered—until cumulative impacts made recovery less complete.

With the Great Barrier Reef facing intensifying marine heatwaves, this work adds urgency to climate mitigation and local conservation. It suggests that reducing human pressures can buy time by strengthening coral tolerance, even as global temperatures continue to rise. In viral science terms, the message is clear: the reef’s past predicts its future—and human actions can still change the ending.

Subject of Research: Great Barrier Reef coral (Acropora) mortality
Article Title: Past Acropora mortality on the Great Barrier Reef linked to climate variability and anthropogenic impacts.
Article References: Clark, T.R., Leonard, N.D., Jupiter, S.D. et al. (2026). Commun Earth Environ. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03800-9
Image Credits: AI Generated
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-026-03800-9

A new study published in Communications Earth & Environment reports that central Tibet’s rugged mountain architecture was not built in a single burst. Instead, it was shaped by long-lived crustal shortening that persisted after a major ocean closed during the Cretaceous period—when the Bangong–Nujiang Ocean shut down and the surrounding plates collided.

The research team, led by Zhang, Liu, Lin, and colleagues, examines how tectonic forces transferred through the region during and after ocean closure. Their central finding is that shortening did not simply end when the ocean vanished. Rather, the continental collision continued to drive deformation well beyond the immediate collision event, helping sustain mountain growth over extended geological time.

To reach this conclusion, the authors combine regional tectonic constraints with structural observations that reflect how stress and strain were distributed through the Tibetan crust. They interpret the evolving patterns of deformation as evidence for sustained compression, including the way different crustal levels responded to continued convergence.

The study frames the Bangong–Nujiang Ocean closure as a pivotal tectonic switch: once the ocean disappeared, the mechanical coupling between continental blocks increased. That change allowed compression to remain effective, promoting ongoing uplift and crustal thickening in central Tibet.

Importantly, the paper links this sustained shortening to the broader development of Tibetan topography. Rather than treating uplift as a short-lived response to a single collisional moment, the results support a scenario in which post-closure tectonics kept feeding the mountain belt for millions of years.

By addressing the timing and persistence of shortening, the work helps refine how geologists explain the thick crust beneath Tibet and the coexistence of active deformation with long-term structural inheritance. The authors suggest that the region’s growth reflects both the closure of an ocean basin and the prolonged geodynamic consequences of that closure.

The findings also carry implications for how future modeling efforts should represent continental collisions. They highlight that plate-tectonic reorganizations can create enduring mechanical conditions, sustaining deformation even after the most dramatic phase of convergence has passed.

With the DOI link and citation tied to the 2026 publication, the study—understood through its title and approach—offers a clear, data-driven narrative: central Tibet’s rise reflects sustained shortening following Cretaceous ocean closure, shaping a mountain system that kept growing long after the ocean was gone.

Subject of Research: Tectonics and mountain growth in central Tibet following the Cretaceous closure of the Bangong–Nujiang Ocean

Article Title: Sustained shortening following Cretaceous Bangong–Nujiang Ocean closure shaped central Tibetan mountain growth.

Article References: Zhang, B., Liu, S., Lin, C. et al. Communications Earth & Environment (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03830-3

Image Credits: AI Generated

One of the central features of plate tectonics is the formation of new crust at mid-ocean ridges. Part of the spreading process that drives continents apart, it was arguably the discovery of these ridges that drove widespread acceptance of plate tectonics as a theory. Thanks to decades of exploration, we now have a good picture of what the crust that forms at the site of spreading looks like. But we still have an incomplete idea of how its features are actually produced.

In other words, we have a good idea of the outcome of the process, but not a detailed picture of the process itself.

That is starting to change. In 2024, a team of French scientists was able to remotely monitor a major event on the border between the Australian and Antarctic plates, only two months after they installed equipment on the ocean floor. Their data shows that most of the spreading occurred in a relatively short time window, and some key events happened without any obvious seismic activity.

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In a groundbreaking study challenging prevailing assumptions about climate policy, German politicians appear to underestimate public support for climate action, suggesting a disconnect that could shape future legislative efforts. This research, recently published in Communications Earth & Environment, involved a comprehensive survey of over 6,000 German political figures combined with two robust population samples, shedding new light on the perceptions of climate-related public opinion within political domains.

The study’s core methodology involved contacting 6,074 German politicians via official email addresses between September and November 2024. These emails invited recipients to participate in a concise, five-minute online survey on “Trends in German Society,” deliberately omitting any direct reference to climate change in an effort to reduce bias. Despite the considerable size of the outreach, the overall final completion rate after stringent data cleaning—including a threshold where respondents completing less than half of the survey were excluded—yielded 1,599 high-quality responses. This cohort formed the backbone of the political sample for in-depth analysis.

Respondents were first provided a clear, scientific definition of global warming to ensure a consistent understanding across participants. This standardization was essential for eliciting valid attitudes relating to perceived problem awareness, policy acceptance, and willingness to engage in financial contributions toward climate mitigation efforts. The survey asked about politicians’ perceptions of how problematic the average German citizen finds climate-damaging behaviors and the corresponding desire for government intervention to reduce such actions. This dual focus aimed to assess both the perceived societal concern and the appetite for political support in addressing climate issues.

One of the critical findings centers on the perceived public acceptance of climate policies. Politicians were queried about communication and informational initiatives, the imposition of taxes on environmentally harmful products and behaviors, as well as stricter laws and regulations. Results indicated that politicians systematically underestimated the level of public support for each type of intervention, revealing a sizable perception gap that may influence hesitancy or delay in implementing ambitious policies.

Additional layers of the survey explored perceived willingness among citizens to contribute financially to climate action. Two specific metrics were used: the number of people believed to be willing to donate 1% of their household income monthly toward climate causes, and the expected amount of microdonations from a hypothetical €1 earned by survey participation. The politicians’ conservative estimates in these financial willingness measures contrasted with actual data derived from representative surveys of the German population, underscoring a potential underappreciation of public commitment.

Complementing the political survey, two population samples were simultaneously analyzed. The first was a nationally representative online cohort of 1,034 German residents aged 16 and older, recruited through the professional survey company Kantar. This sample’s data helped benchmark real public attitudes toward climate problem awareness, governmental support desires, and acceptance of policy measures. The second incorporated 1,000 participants from the global Gallup World Poll, representing a broad cross-section of the German populace, further reinforcing the validity of the findings.

The population samples consistently demonstrated higher levels of problem recognition and stronger endorsement for governmental action on climate change than the political respondents presumed. Notably, willingness to financially support climate initiatives was markedly higher among the general public than politicians estimated. This disparity points toward a systemic underestimation within the political elite regarding their constituents’ readiness for meaningful climate policies.

Such findings hold significant implications for political decision-making. By misjudging the public’s attitudes, legislators and party leaders may refrain from advancing or supporting robust climate legislation for fear of voter backlash or electoral risk. This dynamic could partly explain the sluggish pace of climate policy adoption in Germany despite mounting scientific urgency and popular concern.

The study also incorporates demographic variables from the political cohort—party membership, mandate level, government versus opposition status—but the perception gap in climate support appears pervasive across these strata. The researchers carefully mitigated selection biases by anonymizing survey topics and limiting survey length to encourage participation, thus strengthening the generalizability of their conclusions.

Moreover, the research underscores a broader phenomenon in democratic governance: the critical importance of accurate awareness of public opinion among policymakers. Misperceptions can skew policy priorities and stall necessary systemic transformation, especially in deeply divisive or complex issues such as climate change. This study contributes empirical evidence to the discourse, advocating for enhanced communication channels and feedback mechanisms between citizens and their elected representatives.

The implications extend beyond Germany, serving as a cautionary tale for democracies worldwide. As climate crises accelerate, aligning political perceptions with grassroots realities is paramount to fostering effective, timely policy responses. Future research might explore interventions that improve politicians’ insight into public sentiment or measure the impacts of corrected perceptions on policy enactment.

Researchers also highlight the need for continuous, high-resolution public opinion tracking using varied methodologies, including direct surveys with policymakers and general population samples. This multi-angle approach ensures robust cross-validation and prevents siloed misunderstandings from dampening political momentum on urgent environmental challenges.

By revealing that German politicians substantially undervalue public backing for climate action, this study challenges political assumptions and calls for strategic reforms in policymaker engagement with constituents. Increased awareness of genuine public support could embolden policymakers to champion ambitious climate initiatives, potentially reshaping Germany’s environmental trajectory.

The convergence of rigorous survey methods, large sample sizes, and thorough demographic controls lends significant credibility to these revelations. Ultimately, bridging the gap between political perception and public reality represents a critical step to unlocking proactive climate governance capable of meeting the demands of planetary stewardship.

As Germany positions itself as a leader in climate policy, this study’s insights serve as a powerful reminder that public opinion is not only a metric but a dynamic resource to be understood and harnessed. Greater transparency and dialogue between politicians and citizens might unlock untapped political will, enhancing collective climate action efficacy.

In conclusion, the evidence points to a pervasive issue: political misjudgment of climate support that risks impeding crucial policy advancements. Addressing this perceptual shortfall may catalyze transformative environmental legislation, aligning political action with the robust enthusiasm evident among the German populace.

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Subject of Research: Public perceptions of climate action support among German politicians compared to the general population

Article Title: Public support for climate action is underestimated in the German political domain

Article References:
Sevincer, A.T., Hostlowsky, L., Styhler, F. et al. Public support for climate action is underestimated in the German political domain. Commun Earth Environ 7, 543 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03721-7

Image Credits: AI Generated

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03721-7

NASA’s Commercial Satellite Data Acquisition program (CSDA) announced contract awards with eight commercial satellite data providers offering a range of data types to support the agency’s Earth science research and application goals.  

The CSDA program On-Ramp 2 Multiple Award contract is a firm-fixed-price indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity (IDIQ) multiple-award contract with a maximum cumulative value of $476 million and a performance period through November 2028.

The CSDA IDIQ contract includes an on‑ramp provision that allows NASA to periodically reopen the solicitation, giving new vendors the opportunity to submit proposals. This mechanism also enables existing CSDA vendors to propose new data products, whether newly developed or derived from new instruments, that were not available during the original proposal period.

Newly Added Contract Holders

Vendor	Sensor
HydroSat	Thermal Infrared Visible and Near-Infrared (VNIR)
Ororatech	Thermal Infrared – Medium Wavelength Infrared (MWIR) and Long Wavelength Infrared (LWIR)
ImageSat	Optical Multispectral Instrument (MSI)
Satlantis	Optical MSI / Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions
Kuva Space	Hyperspectral – VNIR and Short Wavelength Infrared (SWIR)
Wyvern	Hyperspectral – VNIR
Orbital Sidekick	Hyperspectral – VNIR and SWIR
Muon Space	Global Navigation Satellite System – Radar (GNSS-R)

Current CSDA Contract Holders with New Products

Vendor	Sensor
Airbus	Optical MSI / Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR)
ICEYE	SAR
GHGSat	GHG Emissions
Planet Labs	Optical MSI / Hyperspectral
PlanetiQ	Global Navigation Satellite System – Radio Occultation (GNSS-RO)
Tomorrow.io	Microwave Sounder

“NASA’s Earth science community relies on a diverse suite of observations from spaceborne, airborne, and in situ assets to better understand our changing planet,” said CSDA Project Manager Dana Ostrenga. “The commercial providers added through this latest CSDA contract on-ramp complement NASA’s existing Earth observation capabilities and our current portfolio of commercial partners, expanding the range of data available for evaluation and use. Together, these observations provide researchers with a more comprehensive view of Earth’s atmosphere, land, oceans, cryosphere, and solid Earth, helping advance scientific discovery and applications that benefit our communities.”

Following issuance of the contract awards, the selected vendors’ data products will be made available to authorized CSDA data users via the Satellite Data Explorer (SDX), CSDA’s web-based data discovery and data access tool that allows approved users to search, discover, access, task, and download the data the program has acquired from its commercial partners.

The Vendor Selection Process

The award process begins with the CSDA issuing a request for proposals that is posted on Sam.gov, the U.S. government’s official system for managing federal contract proposals. Interested companies then submit proposals to enter into an IDIQ contract with CSDA. A Solicitation Evaluation Board is formed to determine whether the proposals are competitive and meet the CSDA’s technical requirements for continuous observations, orbit platforms, and data that aligns with NASA Earth Science Division (ESD) goals. The CSDA makes its selections from the proposals that meet the requirements and then submits them to NASA leadership for approval. Once approved, the contracts are then awarded and the companies are able to get their data evaluated by CSDA. Once the evaluations are complete, the commercial data providers can then compete for competitive task orders through CSDA.

About the CSDA Program

NASA’s Earth Science Division (ESD) established the CSDA Program as the agency’s central mechanism for identifying, acquiring, and evaluating commercial Earth observation (EO) data. The program augments NASA’s and partner agencies’ Earth-observing capabilities by acquiring commercial satellite data that offer higher spatial resolution, increased revisit frequency, complementary measurement capabilities, and taskable observations. To learn more about the program, its commercial partners, data evaluation process, and more, visit the CSDA website.

Become an Authorized Data User

Commercial data discoverable through the SDX is made available to CSDA authorized data users. To become an authorized user, fill out the CSDA Program Data Authorization Form. Note: Use of SDX also requires an Earthdata Login.

A new study suggests Antarctic ice loss may be reliably projected over the next several decades. Scientists say the next 30 to 50 years could be a crucial period for understanding and preparing for Antarctic ice loss and its impact on rising sea levels. A new study published in Nature and led by Monash University [...]

In the urgent and multifaceted battle against climate change, understanding the psychological pathways that drive individual and collective action is crucial. Recent research underscores governmental efficacy—not merely as a political concept but as a psychological catalyst—as a pivotal determinant in galvanizing public engagement with climate initiatives. This insight shifts the paradigm from traditional economic or policy-driven explanations to a deeper recognition of how people’s belief in government competence fundamentally shapes climate-related behaviors and attitudes.

Climate change, as a global crisis, demands robust cooperation between citizens, governments, and institutions. Governments worldwide often attempt to implement policies and programs aimed at reducing carbon emissions, promoting renewable energy, and enhancing sustainability. However, such measures frequently encounter public skepticism or apathy. The research conducted by Goldwert, Sabherwal, and Vlasceanu highlights that the perception of government efficacy—that is, the public’s confidence in the government’s ability to enact meaningful change—acts as a critical psychological mechanism enabling or hindering climate action.

At its core, governmental efficacy is a psychological construct reflecting the belief that governmental bodies possess the competence, resources, and willpower to address climate crises effectively. This belief influences individuals’ propensity to participate in climate activism, adopt environmentally friendly behaviors, and support pro-environmental policies. The study reveals that when people trust that their government can and will perform decisively and competently on environmental issues, they feel empowered and are more motivated to contribute to the collective effort.

Moreover, the research draws on extensive psychological theory and behavioral science frameworks to explain how perceptions of governmental efficacy impact motivation. Notably, the role of self-efficacy—the belief in one’s own ability to effect change—is intertwined with collective efficacy regarding governments. When governments demonstrate efficacy, they enhance citizens’ sense of personal and collective agency, creating a feedback loop that fosters more dynamic participation in climate solutions.

The authors intricately explore how different dimensions of governmental efficacy influence climate engagement. These include the perceived transparency of government actions, accountability mechanisms, the clarity of communication regarding climate policies, and the tangible outcomes of implemented measures. Each of these dimensions works collectively to nurture a sense of trust and effectiveness, which is indispensable for sustaining long-term climate action.

Additionally, the research proffers that diminished confidence in government efficacy can have a demobilizing effect, breeding cynicism and disengagement. This dynamic is particularly salient in regions or countries where political instability, corruption, or historical failures undermine trust in public institutions. In such contexts, grassroots movements and non-governmental organizations often struggle to compensate for the psychological vacuum left by ineffective governance structures.

In transcending the usual discourses surrounding climate action, this research brings psychological determinants to the forefront. It suggests that increasing governmental efficacy perception is not solely a task for policymakers but also for communicators, educators, and community leaders. Strategic public engagement that transparently showcases government capabilities and ethical commitments can foster this efficacy perception, transforming passive observers into active participants.

The implications of this study extend to international climate policy frameworks, where nations’ commitments and track records are scrutinized by citizens and global observers alike. High-profile failures to meet targets or opaque governance breeds disillusionment. Conversely, governments that effectively communicate both their successes and challenges—and engage citizens in problem-solving—can inspire broader public confidence and support.

Furthermore, this psychological perspective has ripple effects on innovation and technology acceptance in climate mitigation. When citizens trust their governments’ ability to manage the complexities of new technologies—such as carbon capture, geoengineering, or renewable infrastructure—they are more likely to endorse and adopt these innovations. This psychological endorsement is crucial for scaling emerging climate solutions from experimental phases to widespread societal integration.

The authors also delve into the nuanced relationship between governmental efficacy and media narratives. Media representations not only shape public perception but also reflect and influence political accountability. Transparent and factual media coverage that highlights government efficacy in climate matters can amplify motivation for individual and collective action, while sensationalism or misinformation can erode these perceptions.

From a policy standpoint, the research advocates for governance models that prioritize transparency, inclusivity, and responsiveness. Collaborative governance, which involves stakeholders across sectors and levels, tends to enhance perceptions of efficacy by distributing responsibility and fostering shared ownership of climate goals. Such models not only bolster democratic legitimacy but also improve policy resilience through diversified input and adaptive capacities.

This study also explores the temporal dynamics of governmental efficacy. Short-term successes in climate policy can provide critical psychological boosts, fostering sustained engagement. Yet, it is the consistency of governmental performance and communication over time that cements long-range trust and motivation. This insight supports sustained investment not only in technical capacity but also in institutional stability and ethical governance.

Given the rising tide of climate anxiety and eco-paralysis among populations worldwide, the authors emphasize the transformative power of reinforcing governmental efficacy. In psychological terms, this approach combats helplessness and despair by cultivating hope and agency, critical emotions necessary for lasting behavioral change.

As climate change continues to present complex and evolving challenges, the integration of psychological perspectives like governmental efficacy into environmental strategies can significantly amplify their effectiveness. By recognizing and nurturing this vital pathway, societies can unlock new levels of climate engagement, ensuring that policies and initiatives do not languish in public disinterest but instead become powerful catalysts for collective transformation.

Ultimately, the research by Goldwert, Sabherwal, and Vlasceanu offers a compelling, empirically grounded narrative that elevates the psychological mechanisms underpinning climate action. It opens fresh avenues for research and practice, suggesting that tackling climate change is as much about fostering belief in collective competence as it is about technical innovation or legislative frameworks. This paradigm encourages a holistic understanding that intertwines governance, psychology, and social dynamics in the deeply interconnected quest for a sustainable future.

Subject of Research: Psychological pathways linking governmental efficacy to climate action

Article Title: Governmental efficacy is a key psychological pathway to climate action

Article References:
Goldwert, D., Sabherwal, A.C., & Vlasceanu, M. Governmental efficacy is a key psychological pathway to climate action. Commun Earth Environ (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03743-1

Image Credits: AI Generated

In the dense and biodiverse expanse of the Brazilian Amazon, the interplay between human activity and ecological systems has long shaped the epidemiology of vector-borne diseases. Recent research delves into how the agrarian economy and socioenvironmental contexts are critical determinants of disease co-occurrence patterns in this pivotal region. This investigation illuminates the complex network of factors influencing vector-borne illnesses, shedding light on how environmental modifications and economic activities intertwine to affect human health.

Vector-borne diseases, illnesses transmitted by organisms such as mosquitoes, ticks, and other arthropods, represent a significant burden in tropical regions worldwide. The Amazon Basin, renowned for its vast tropical rainforest and intricate ecosystems, harbors multiple pathogens that cause diseases like malaria, dengue, Chagas disease, and leishmaniasis. However, it has been increasingly evident that these diseases do not occur in isolation but rather exhibit notable patterns of co-occurrence that hinge on intertwined environmental and socioeconomic factors.

The study conducted by Barbosa, Lana, Dal’Asta, and colleagues offers a groundbreaking analysis by mapping disease co-occurrence in relation to various agrarian economic practices and socioenvironmental variables across the Brazilian Amazon. By integrating epidemiological data with land use, climatic, and demographic information, the researchers constructed a multifaceted framework to explore how agricultural modalities and human livelihood strategies modulate disease dynamics.

One of the most compelling insights emerging from this research is the pivotal role agrarian economies play in shaping vector habitats and human-vector interactions. Agricultural activities, ranging from subsistence farming to extensive cattle ranching, transform the landscape in ways that can either amplify or mitigate vector proliferation. For instance, deforestation and land clearing for agriculture often create breeding grounds for mosquitoes by generating stagnant water pools, while simultaneously disrupting natural predator populations that help control vector species.

Moreover, the socioeconomic context of rural communities—encompassing aspects such as housing quality, access to healthcare, education levels, and income—profoundly influences vulnerability to vector-borne diseases. Poor infrastructure and limited resources hinder effective disease prevention and treatment, escalating the risk of infection and complicating public health responses. The researchers underscore that social inequities intersect with environmental changes to intensify disease co-occurrence, reinforcing the notion that health outcomes in the Amazon cannot be disentangled from broader societal patterns.

Importantly, the co-occurrence of multiple vector-borne diseases in the same geographic and demographic spaces introduces unique challenges for surveillance, diagnosis, and management. Overlapping symptomatology and co-infection potential complicate clinical decision-making, while co-transmission by shared or distinct vector species demands integrated vector control strategies. The study’s nuanced approach highlights how tailored interventions must consider the local agrarian economies and socioenvironmental backdrops to effectively disrupt transmission cycles.

The analysis further integrates spatial-temporal modeling techniques to detect hotspots of disease co-occurrence. These mathematical and computational models, employing advanced geostatistical methods, reveal dynamic patterns aligning with seasonal changes, land-use shifts, and population movements. Such data-driven insights facilitate the prioritization of resources toward areas most susceptible to simultaneous outbreaks, providing a robust tool for public health planning.

Beyond pointing out correlations, the researchers propose mechanisms by which agrarian economies precipitate ecological alterations favoring vector adaptation. For example, cattle ranching often promotes water storage and drainage systems, which inadvertently become breeding sites for vector mosquitoes, while crop cultivation could affect microclimate conditions conducive to vector survival. These ecological cascades underscore the need for interdisciplinary research, combining epidemiology, ecology, economics, and social sciences.

The Brazilian Amazon, a hotspot of both biodiversity and infectious diseases, thus exemplifies the intricate feedback loops between human economic activity and ecosystem health. As the global climate shifts and land-use change accelerates, understanding the socioenvironmental determinants of disease distribution assumes critical importance. This research not only advances scientific comprehension but also has major policy implications—highlighting sustainable agricultural practices and socioeconomic improvements as dual levers to reduce the burden of vector-borne diseases.

The possibility of co-infections and their synergistic effects on morbidity is another hallmark finding. Patients living in agrarian settings characterized by poverty and environmental degradation often face exposure to multiple pathogens simultaneously. The immune system’s response to co-infection may alter disease severity and treatment outcomes, posing a public health conundrum that demands integrated diagnostic approaches and targeted therapies.

Encouragingly, the research paves the way for community-based participatory strategies that align disease control with livelihood enhancement. Recognizing local knowledge and integrating agricultural best practices with vector management can potentiate sustainable interventions. For example, modifying irrigation practices to minimize stagnant water or improving housing conditions can substantially reduce vector habitats while supporting agricultural productivity.

Sustainability emerges as a key theme, emphasizing that controlling vector-borne disease co-occurrence transcends medical interventions. Policies fostering economic diversification, education, and infrastructure development are integral to disrupting the pervasive cycles of infection. The researchers advocate for cross-sector collaboration encompassing health agencies, agricultural planners, environmental managers, and local stakeholders to forge resilient systems adaptable to evolving ecological and social landscapes.

As Brazil grapples with competing pressures of economic development and environmental conservation, this research underscores the necessity of nuanced approaches that balance agrarian growth with health. It reveals that unchecked agrarian expansion without attention to socioenvironmental variables could exacerbate disease risks, indicating a path toward integrated, eco-health oriented policy frameworks.

The study also calls attention to the potential impact of climate variability, which synergizes with agrarian and socioenvironmental factors to influence vector ecology. Changes in precipitation, temperature, and seasonality may alter the geographic range and population dynamics of vectors, further complicating disease control. This underscores the urgency for adaptive monitoring systems that incorporate climatic data to anticipate and mitigate emerging threats.

In conclusion, this pioneering research presents an intricate tapestry of how agrarian economies and socioenvironmental contexts shape vector-borne disease co-occurrence in the Brazilian Amazon. By weaving together ecological, economic, and social threads, it provides a powerful lens through which to understand and address infectious disease challenges in one of the world’s most complex biomes. The implications reach far beyond the Amazon, offering global lessons in navigating the nexus of agriculture, environment, and health in a rapidly changing world.

Subject of Research: Vector-borne disease co-occurrence influenced by agrarian economy and socioenvironmental contexts in the Brazilian Amazon

Article Title: Vector-borne disease co-occurrence is shaped by agrarian economy and socioenvironmental contexts in the Brazilian Amazon

Article References:
Barbosa, M., Lana, R.M., Dal’Asta, A.P. et al. Vector-borne disease co-occurrence is shaped by agrarian economy and socioenvironmental contexts in the Brazilian Amazon. Commun Earth Environ (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03619-4

Image Credits: AI Generated