Have Oil Prices Already Peaked? Three Things to Know
An oil price rally has been evasive even though the Strait of Hormuz is largely closed and inventories are falling sharply. The oil market is dealing with a temporary supply disruption on top of a structurally bearish backdrop. BloombergNEF’s oil price modeling reflects the possibility that Brent futures have already peaked just above $104 per barrel, or are close to peaking, when measured on a monthly average basis. Once the shock effect starts to fade, attention is likely to shift back to slowing demand growth and rising supply.