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SpaceX has asked to operate up to one million AI satellites, but their direct waste heat would barely affect global temperature; the larger climate question is what launches and mass re-entry would put into the upper atmosphere

Representative rocket lifting off through a plume of exhaust

SpaceX has formally asked US regulators for permission to operate as many as one million AI data-center satellites. That number is real. It is also an upper limit in an application, not an approved fleet, a launch schedule or evidence that one million spacecraft will actually be built.

If the full Starmind system ever existed, its direct waste heat would be too small to become a major global climate driver. The harder environmental question lies in the industrial cycle required to create and replace it: manufacturing enormous amounts of hardware, launching it through the atmosphere and eventually vaporizing much of it during re-entry.

Climate models have only begun to study satellite constellations measured in tens of thousands. A million large computing satellites would sit far beyond the scale directly tested in that literature.

The FCC has accepted an application, not approved a million launches

SpaceX filed its application on January 30, 2026. The Federal Communications Commission accepted it for public comment on February 4.

The filing seeks authority for a non-geostationary system of up to one million satellites between 500 and 2,000 kilometers altitude. The spacecraft would exchange data through optical links and connect with SpaceX’s Starlink network.

Accepting an application for filing is an administrative step. It does not mean the FCC has determined that the architecture is safe, environmentally acceptable or technically achievable. The public notice also says SpaceX plans different hardware versions across multiple orbital shells, so “one million satellites” does not describe one fixed design.

SpaceX has since presented its first AI1 design for the Starmind system. The company’s published specifications give it a 120-kilowatt average compute load, a 150-kilowatt peak and a deployed wingspan of 70 meters.

The computers’ direct heat is not the main climate problem

Computers turn almost all the electricity they use into heat. In orbit, that heat cannot leave through air or cooling water because neither is available. Large radiator surfaces must emit it as infrared radiation.

One million AI1 satellites operating at the advertised average would use about 120 gigawatts for computing. To put a strict upper bound on the direct climate effect, imagine that every watt of that heat somehow reached and was absorbed by Earth. Spread over the planet’s surface, it would average roughly 0.00024 watts per square meter.

That artificial scenario overstates the real effect because radiators can direct most thermal radiation toward deep space. Even so, its value is more than 10,000 times smaller than the IPCC’s estimate of 2.72 watts per square meter for total human-caused effective radiative forcing between 1750 and 2019.

The fleet would therefore not warm Earth simply by running hot computers overhead. Reflected sunlight, radiator orientation and the design of vast solar arrays would still need assessment, but direct compute heat is not the dominant global term.

Space solar power could avoid some terrestrial emissions

SpaceX argues that sun-synchronous satellites could collect solar energy without clouds or night-time interruptions and reject heat without chillers, cooling towers or fans. If orbital computing genuinely replaced electricity from fossil-fueled grids, it could avoid some power-sector carbon emissions and water consumption.

That benefit cannot be calculated from the one-million figure. A fair comparison would need the energy and materials used to manufacture satellites and rockets, propellant production, launch emissions, ground stations, replacement rates, failed spacecraft and the carbon intensity of the terrestrial data centers displaced.

No published life-cycle assessment yet covers SpaceX’s proposed full system. “Powered by solar energy” describes operation in orbit, not the environmental balance of building and continually replenishing the fleet.

Rocket exhaust is unusually effective high in the atmosphere

Rocket emissions are small beside global aviation, shipping or power generation by mass. Their location makes them different. Rockets inject black carbon, water vapor, nitrogen compounds, alumina and other products directly into atmospheric layers that surface pollution rarely reaches.

Black carbon absorbs sunlight and warms the surrounding stratosphere, changing atmospheric circulation and ozone chemistry. A NOAA modeling study found that a tenfold increase in hydrocarbon-rocket soot could warm parts of the stratosphere by 0.5 to 2 degrees Celsius and alter circulation. The authors stressed that soot emissions from different engines remain poorly measured.

A newer 2026 study in Earth’s Future modeled launch and re-entry emissions from the recent megaconstellation era through 2029. It found a global stratospherically adjusted forcing of about -0.0064 watts per square meter from all space missions in its scenario, with megaconstellations contributing 42 percent.

That modeled forcing is small compared with the present greenhouse-gas-driven climate imbalance, and its negative sign represents a slight cooling influence after the stratosphere adjusts. It is not necessarily good news. The same soot warms the stratosphere, changes circulation and can affect ozone. It is better understood as an uncontrolled atmospheric perturbation than as useful climate cooling.

The result also cannot be multiplied mechanically from thousands of satellites to one million. Starmind would use different spacecraft, potentially different launch vehicles and an unknown deployment cadence.

Re-entry would turn satellite material into atmospheric aerosol

Low-Earth-orbit constellations require replacement. Hardware fails, components age and atmospheric drag eventually brings spacecraft down. A million-satellite fleet with a five-year average life would imply 200,000 replacements and re-entries every year. SpaceX has not established that lifetime for the full system, but the example shows why lifespan matters as much as fleet size.

Re-entering spacecraft do not simply disappear. Heating vaporizes metals and creates particles and gases in the upper atmosphere. A 2024 global emissions inventory identified aluminum oxide as the dominant modeled metal oxide from satellites that ablate, alongside nitrogen oxides produced by high-temperature re-entry.

A 2025 atmospheric modeling study tested a scenario with 10,000 metric tons of re-entry alumina per year, a level associated with forecasts of roughly 60,000 satellites. Depending on particle size and re-entry latitude, the model produced regional temperature anomalies reaching about 1.5 degrees in the middle atmosphere and changes to polar-vortex winds.

That is not a prediction of 1.5 degrees of global surface warming. It is a modeled regional response high in the atmosphere, with large uncertainty about particle size, composition and transport. Scaling to Starmind requires basic information that is not public, especially spacecraft mass, material composition, operational life and disposal pattern.

A million is a different environmental regime

Space Daily has already examined how large Starmind spacecraft could affect ground-based astronomy. Climate and atmospheric chemistry pose a separate problem: pollution can accumulate even when each individual launch or re-entry looks small.

The most honest answer is therefore split. Direct waste heat from the orbital computers would be negligible at the global climate scale. Moving computing away from terrestrial grids might avoid emissions, but that benefit has not been demonstrated through a full life-cycle study.

The serious unknown is the launch-and-replacement machine surrounding the constellation. Existing research already finds measurable, though currently small, radiative and ozone effects from today’s much smaller space industry. A fleet approaching one million satellites would turn an emerging source of upper-atmosphere pollution into a planetary experiment without a validated model of the outcome.

The post SpaceX has asked to operate up to one million AI satellites, but their direct waste heat would barely affect global temperature; the larger climate question is what launches and mass re-entry would put into the upper atmosphere appeared first on Space Daily.

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The Bluetooth symbol on your phone is actually a thousand-year-old Viking monogram. It belongs to a Danish king who united warring tribes, and the reason his name ended up on billions of devices was never even meant to be permanent.

Pick up your phone. Open the settings. Find the small blue rectangle with the pointy angular symbol inside it, the one you have been ignoring since the first mobile device you ever owned. That specific little glyph, on the accumulated historical evidence of the past thirty years of wireless technology, is the personal monogram of a Danish king who ruled from approximately 958 to 986 AD, died in the year Halley’s Comet last returned to Earth before 1066, and has been buried in Roskilde Cathedral for the better part of a thousand years.

His name was Harald Gormsson. His nickname, according to the surviving Old Norse records, was Blåtand. Which translates directly into modern English as Bluetooth.

The whole story of how his personal monogram ended up on every wireless device on the planet is one of the more genuinely accidental facts of the modern technology industry.

The king in question

According to the official history maintained by the Bluetooth Special Interest Group, the industry consortium that owns the technology standard and runs its trademark, Harald Bluetooth was a considerably more interesting historical figure than the somewhat comic nickname suggests. Between roughly 958 and 986, he unified the previously fragmented tribes of what is now Denmark into a single kingdom, brought Norway into the same political sphere, and was responsible for the formal Christianisation of the Danes, an achievement he commemorated by carving one of the earliest known references to the country of Denmark on a runestone that still stands today in the small town of Jelling.

The nickname itself, on the surviving linguistic record, appears to have come from a physical peculiarity. He had, according to the accounts that reached the medieval Icelandic chroniclers, a prominent dead tooth that had darkened to a shade closer to grey-blue than to healthy white. In an era before dentistry, this was the kind of visible personal feature that stuck. The great unifier of Scandinavia became, in the mouths of his contemporaries and their descendants, the man with the blue tooth.

His initials, in the runic alphabet of his time, were ᚼ for the H sound in Harald and ᛒ for the B in Blåtand. In the Younger Futhark script used in tenth-century Scandinavia, those two characters look nothing like the modern Latin letters H and B. What they look like, when combined into a single glyph in what scholars call a bind rune, is the exact symbol currently sitting on every Bluetooth-enabled device in the world.

On a related note, I came across a video that dives into the effect our phones are quietly having on us. You’ve probably felt it before, but this video will put a name to the feeling:

The Toronto bar

The story of how the king’s monogram ended up on modern electronics has been recounted in detail by the person primarily responsible, an Intel engineer named Jim Kardach. According to Kardach’s own 2008 account, published in EE Times under the title “Tech History: How Bluetooth got its name”, the origin of the whole naming decision took place in a Toronto bar in late 1997.

Kardach was at the time working on short-range wireless radio at Intel. Three separate industry efforts were running in parallel. Intel had a project called Biz-RF. Ericsson had one called MC-Link. Nokia had a third called Low Power RF. All three companies were trying to build essentially the same thing, which was a small, low-power wireless standard that would let phones, computers, and peripheral devices talk to each other without cables. In late 1997, after a joint industry meeting in Toronto that Kardach later described as having gone badly, he and Ericsson engineer Sven Mattisson went out drinking together and, being history enthusiasts, started swapping stories about the medieval Scandinavian kings Mattisson had been reading about in Frans G. Bengtsson’s Viking-era novel The Long Ships.

One of the kings in the book was Harald Bluetooth. Kardach, on his own subsequent account, went home from the trip and read further, ordering Gwyn Jones’s A History of the Vikings, and found a photograph of the runestone Harald had commissioned. Harald had united the fragmented tribes of Scandinavia into a single political unit. The three technology companies, if they could ever agree on a single standard, would be uniting the previously fragmented world of consumer electronics into a single wireless protocol. The parallel was, on Kardach’s telling, too neat to ignore. He proposed the name Bluetooth as a temporary internal code name for the project.

The bind rune of Harald’s initials became the working logo. Kardach later created a PowerPoint slide showing Harald holding a mobile phone in one hand and a notebook in the other.

How it stayed

The name was not, on any of the surviving contemporary correspondence, meant to be permanent. According to both the Bluetooth SIG’s own account and Kardach’s, the intention was for the marketing departments of the participating companies to come up with a more polished official name in due course, and for Bluetooth to be quietly retired once something better arrived.

Two names were shortlisted as replacements. One was RadioWire, which was Intel’s preferred candidate. The other was PAN, which stood for Personal Area Networking. The launch of the industry consortium was scheduled for early 1998. The trademark clearance process for RadioWire dragged past the deadline. A search for PAN turned up so many unrelated uses of the acronym on the newly emerging commercial internet that its usefulness as a brand collapsed. The Bluetooth Special Interest Group was formed in February 1998, under Kardach’s temporary code name, on the understanding that the name would be replaced later.

The first Bluetooth-enabled products shipped in 1999. By then, according to a National Geographic feature on the technology’s Viking origins, the name had already acquired sufficient market recognition that rebranding would have cost more than continuing to use it. The tech press was writing about Bluetooth. Trade shows had Bluetooth banners. Product packaging was going to press. Nobody wanted to spend the money to change everything. The temporary code name became the permanent one, and the bind rune of a tenth-century Danish king’s initials became the visual identity of a wireless standard that would, over the following quarter century, be installed on more than five billion devices per year.

Kardach himself, on his own account of the whole episode, has been surprised at the trajectory ever since. He was inducted into the Bluetooth Hall of Fame for his role in the naming decision. He retired from Intel as chief power architect in 2012. And the symbol he first proposed as a working code, drawn from a book about medieval Scandinavians he happened to be reading during a badly-timed Toronto business trip, has become one of the most reproduced pieces of graphic design in the world.

None of this was meant to happen. Harald Bluetooth did not know his initials would end up in the pocket of every person on the planet. Kardach did not intend the code name to survive marketing review. The Bluetooth SIG did not plan to build a global brand around a Scandinavian pun. What connects all of these accidents is the strange gravitational pull of anything that becomes familiar quickly enough. Once a placeholder gets attached to a project long enough for the trade press to start using it, and long enough for it to appear on the sides of shipping products, the cost of changing it starts to exceed the cost of simply leaving it in place. And so, on the accumulated evidence of thirty years of consumer electronics history, the temporary becomes the permanent, and the initials of a long-dead Viking king continue to appear, every day, on the connection screen of every device you own.

Kiran Athar is not a historian or a technology industry analyst. She writes about history, technology, and the ordinary corners of modern life where the two intersect, drawing on peer-reviewed research and primary-source scholarship.

The post The Bluetooth symbol on your phone is actually a thousand-year-old Viking monogram. It belongs to a Danish king who united warring tribes, and the reason his name ended up on billions of devices was never even meant to be permanent. appeared first on Space Daily.

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The claim that a third of humanity cannot see the Milky Way comes from a 2016 atlas, and newer studies show why producing an updated global headcount is harder than it sounds

Representative starry sky above a city illuminated at night

A third of humanity cannot see the Milky Way from where they live. The statistic is real, but it needs a date and a definition attached to it.

It comes from the 2016 New World Atlas of Artificial Night Sky Brightness, not from a survey in which billions of people were asked to look up. Researchers combined satellite observations, ground measurements, a model of how light scatters through the atmosphere and population data to estimate who lived under skies bright enough to erase the galaxy’s pale band.

No newer study has yet replaced it with an equivalent global headcount. More recent research shows that artificial light at night is still changing, often quickly, but those measurements do not translate directly into a new percentage of humanity that can or cannot see the Milky Way.

The one-third figure was published in 2016

The New World Atlas was published in Science Advances by Fabio Falchi and an international team. Its headline results were stark: more than 80 percent of the global population lived under light-polluted skies, while more than 99 percent of people in the United States and Europe did.

The threshold for losing the Milky Way was higher than the threshold for merely experiencing some artificial skyglow. Under the atlas model, the galaxy was hidden from more than one-third of humanity, including about 60 percent of Europeans and nearly 80 percent of North Americans.

Space Daily reported those findings when the atlas appeared. The number has remained in circulation because the atlas is still the most complete population-weighted global estimate of this specific loss.

Researchers mapped skyglow rather than counting people looking up

The atlas used low-light observations from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite aboard the Suomi NPP satellite. Those measurements showed light emitted upward from towns, roads and industrial areas.

A propagation model then estimated how that light would scatter through a standard clear atmosphere and return toward an observer as skyglow. Thousands of calibrated measurements made on the ground were used to check the model. Finally, the brightness map was combined with population data.

The result was not a prediction for every night. Clouds can amplify urban skyglow, while moonlight, haze, snow, altitude, season and the observer’s eyesight can all change what is visible. The atlas instead described modeled clear-sky conditions at the zenith using consistent assumptions, which made places comparable.

A zoomable version maintained by the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences shows how light from cities spreads beyond their built boundaries. A person can live well outside a city center and still look through its luminous dome.

A later study used human eyes as sensors

Satellite instruments are excellent at mapping emitted light, but they do not see the night exactly as a dark-adapted person does. A 2023 study approached the problem from the ground.

Researchers analyzed 51,351 naked-eye observations submitted to the Globe at Night citizen-science project between 2011 and 2022. Participants compared the stars they could see with a sequence of charts under cloudless, moonless conditions.

The study found that the decline in visible stars at the observed locations was consistent with artificial sky brightness increasing by 7 to 10 percent per year in the human-visible band. Its central estimate was 9.6 percent.

That does not mean every place on Earth brightened by 9.6 percent each year. The observations were concentrated in Europe and North America and were biased toward inhabited locations. The authors explicitly noted that the sample did not represent the average distribution of either land area or global population.

It therefore cannot be applied to the 2016 total like compound interest to produce a new global headcount.

Why a satellite can miss light that hides stars

The difference between satellite and naked-eye trends is partly about direction. An orbiting sensor mainly detects light traveling upward. Skyglow is the result of light scattering back down toward people on the ground, and horizontally emitted light can make a large contribution.

Color matters too. The widely used VIIRS day-night instrument is relatively insensitive to shorter blue wavelengths. Human night vision is more sensitive to that part of the spectrum, and blue light scatters efficiently in the atmosphere. A city switching from orange sodium lamps to broad-spectrum white LEDs can therefore change the visible sky in ways the satellite record does not fully capture.

This does not make satellite measurements wrong. It means upward radiance and the brightness perceived by a person looking at the sky are related but different quantities.

A 2026 analysis found both brightening and dimming

A separate Nature study published in 2026 analyzed more than 1.16 million daily satellite images from 2014 through 2022. It found a net 16 percent rise in global artificial-light radiance over that period.

The global total concealed movement in both directions. Brightening added radiance equivalent to 34 percent of the 2014 baseline, while dimming elsewhere offset 18 percent. Urbanization and electrification drove many increases, especially in Asia, while energy policy, conflict, economic disruption and lighting changes produced reductions in other regions.

The authors also stressed that their satellite measurement was not the same as downward skyglow. It was especially sensitive to upward light after midnight within a limited range of wavelengths. That makes it valuable for tracking how Earth’s illuminated surface changes, but it still cannot provide an updated Milky Way visibility percentage by itself.

The old estimate may be dated, but it is not obsolete

It is reasonable to suspect that the 2016 figure is now conservative in many growing urban regions. Ground observations show stars disappearing faster than earlier satellite trends suggested, and the 2026 analysis found a net rise in emitted light. Yet some places have dimmed, and the world’s population has moved as well as grown.

The defensible statement remains precise: the best global atlas found that more than a third of humanity lived where artificial skyglow hid the Milky Way under its modeled conditions. Newer work shows continued and uneven change, not a replacement population fraction.

Space Daily recently examined what losing routine access to a star-filled sky may mean psychologically. The measurement story adds a quieter lesson: we cannot protect what we do not measure carefully.

The good news is that skyglow is not permanent contamination. The US National Park Service recommends using light only where and when it is needed, choosing fully shielded fixtures, keeping output to the minimum necessary and favoring warmer colors. Unlike many environmental changes, turning down unnecessary light can improve the view that same night.

The post The claim that a third of humanity cannot see the Milky Way comes from a 2016 atlas, and newer studies show why producing an updated global headcount is harder than it sounds appeared first on Space Daily.

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Some babies are born with a mysterious blue-grey mark across their lower back — a birthmark legend has linked to the descendants of Genghis Khan, but science offers a very different explanation for where it comes from.

My two daughters were born less than two years apart, and yet only one of them arrived with a faint blue-grey patch spread across her lower back. My older daughter had it from her first day. My second daughter, born this past July, doesn’t have it at all. Same parents, same city, same general recipe, and one very visible difference between them before either one could hold up her own head.

I didn’t think much of it with my first until a nurse mentioned it by name almost in passing, the way you’d mention a birthmark anyone in the ward had seen a hundred times before. It’s common enough to have its own clinical shorthand and, unfortunately, its own history of being misread as something it isn’t.

What that mark actually is

The medical explanation has nothing to do with bruising, injury, or anything that happened during delivery. Cleveland Clinic explains that the marks form when “some melanocytes, the cells that give skin its color, don’t move to the surface of the skin as they normally do” while a baby is still developing in the womb. Instead of migrating up into the outer layers of skin the way they usually do, a cluster of them gets left behind deeper down, and the tissue above them scatters light in a way that reads as blue-grey rather than brown or tan. Nothing is wrong with the skin. The pigment cells are simply parked in the wrong layer.

These marks are also, by every account, completely harmless. Cleveland Clinic is blunt about it: the birthmarks need no treatment and tend to fade on their own as a child grows, with many fading substantially within the first year and the majority gone somewhere between ages six and ten, though larger or darker patches can occasionally last into adulthood.

The name people reach for, and the legend that comes with it

Search for this mark online and the Genghis Khan story comes up almost immediately, the idea that it marks out the bloodline of the Mongol Empire, passed down through the centuries to anyone who carries it. It’s a good story, and it’s almost entirely a modern piece of internet folklore rather than a documented belief with any real age to it.

The actual history behind the clinical name is stranger and less flattering. It traces back to the 1880s and a German physician named Erwin Bälz, who was working in Japan at the time and documented the mark in Japanese infants. He borrowed the label from an outdated racial classification system from the century before, one that had lumped a wide range of Asian and Indigenous populations together under the single, since-abandoned category of the “Mongolian race.” The name was never really about the nation of Mongolia or any specific bloodline. It was a leftover from a scientific framework doctors gave up on generations ago, which is exactly why dermatology has been quietly moving away from it. A 2021 review in the medical journal Cureus put the broader principle plainly: “Terms that stigmatize a culture, region, people, country, communities, and ethnic group should be replaced by their more descriptive counterparts,” which is why you’ll increasingly see the mark called congenital dermal melanocytosis or a slate-grey nevus in clinical settings instead.

Why it shows up on some babies and not others

None of that explains why my older daughter has it and her sister doesn’t, but the biology does. The marks are simply far more common in babies with more heavily pigmented skin. Cleveland Clinic notes they turn up more often in babies of Asian, Black, or Hispanic ancestry, though any baby, of any background, can be born with one or without one. It comes down to how much melanin a particular baby’s skin was already producing and exactly how much of it got trapped on the way to the surface, a small, essentially random variation in a process every fetus goes through. Two children from the same two parents can land on different sides of that variation the same way they can end up with different eye colors or different amounts of hair at birth.

A small irony sits in my own case. I grew up in Central Asia, not far at all from the region the outdated name technically points to, and my husband is Chilean, which puts a decent amount of Indigenous Latin American ancestry somewhere in our daughters’ family tree as well. Both backgrounds are commonly cited as ones where this mark shows up often. And it still only showed up in one of our two children. Shared ancestry raises the odds. It doesn’t hand down a guarantee, and it certainly doesn’t sort itself along any bloodline neat enough to make a good legend.

The one clinical detail worth knowing

The part of this that actually matters for a new parent isn’t the legend, it’s a practical one: these marks are frequently mistaken for bruises, and that mistake has occasionally triggered real child-abuse investigations for entirely innocent families. Physicians have known about this risk for decades. Writing in the journal Contemporary Pediatrics back in 1999, a team of dermatologists advised that “to minimize confusion, it is wise to document the presence and location of Mongolian spots in the patient record,” so that a mark noted at birth doesn’t get mistaken for a fresh injury months or years later by someone seeing a child for the first time. Most hospitals do exactly this now as a matter of routine. It’s worth asking about if you notice one on your own newborn and nobody brings it up first.

What I make of it now

No hidden meaning explains which of my daughters has the mark and which one doesn’t, no ancestral message waiting to be decoded. It’s melanocytes settling in slightly different places during two otherwise very similar pregnancies, nothing more mystical than that. What I do find worth sitting with is how easily a mark like that gets a legend attached to it, and how the real explanation, the quieter, more mechanical one, tends to arrive later and get repeated far less often. My older daughter’s mark is already noticeably lighter than it was a year ago. It will likely be gone before she’s old enough to ask me what it was, and when she does, I’d rather have the real answer ready than the one that just sounds better in a headline.

The post Some babies are born with a mysterious blue-grey mark across their lower back — a birthmark legend has linked to the descendants of Genghis Khan, but science offers a very different explanation for where it comes from. appeared first on Space Daily.

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In 1859, a solar storm now called the Carrington Event induced currents so strong in North American telegraph lines that operators disconnected their batteries and kept sending messages on the geomagnetic current alone, while auroras lit up the sky over Cuba and Hawaii

In 1859, a solar storm now called the Carrington Event induced currents so strong in North American telegraph lines that operators disconnected their batteries and kept sending messages on the geomagnetic current alone, while auroras lit up the sky over Cuba and Hawaii

On the morning of 2 September 1859, telegraph operators along the Boston-to-Portland line unplugged their batteries, watched the acid-slick terminals go dark, and kept sending messages anyway. The wires were carrying a current the sky was pushing through them. For roughly two hours, the storm itself ran the telegraph.

The event that made this possible had begun the previous day, when English amateur astronomer Richard Carrington, sketching sunspots through a filtered telescope at his private observatory in Redhill, saw two beads of intense white light flare above a complex sunspot group and fade within five minutes. Roughly seventeen and a half hours later, a coronal mass ejection slammed into Earth’s magnetic field. According to the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, that night skies from the Rocky Mountains to Panama glowed brightly enough for people to read newsprint by aurora alone.

Auroras were reported over Cuba, over Jamaica, over Hawaii, over Colombia. Gold miners in the Rockies got up and cooked breakfast, thinking dawn had come early.

What the operators actually did

The telegraph network of 1859 was the most sophisticated communications system humans had ever built — tens of thousands of kilometres of copper strung on wooden poles across North America and Europe, powered by wet-cell batteries at every station. It was also, unintentionally, the world’s first planetary-scale antenna for geomagnetic current.

When the coronal mass ejection compressed Earth’s magnetic field, the rapid change induced voltages along any long conductor lying roughly east-west. The longer the wire, the bigger the induced current. Telegraph lines were exactly that: long, conductive, and grounded at both ends.

Contemporary accounts of the storm record what followed. Machines sparked. Paper caught fire. Some keys clacked out garbled text on their own. On the Boston-to-Portland line, the two operators on duty — never named in the surviving transcript, which was printed in the Boston Evening Traveller — realised their batteries were fighting the induced current rather than adding to it. They disconnected the batteries. The line kept working.

Space Daily has previously covered the Boston-Portland exchange in detail, including the transcript-style back-and-forth in which the two men agreed the auroral current was steadier than their own.

How big the storm actually was

The Carrington Event remains the most intense geomagnetic storm ever directly recorded. Estimates of its energy vary wildly depending on what is being measured — the flare itself, the coronal mass ejection, or the ground-level magnetic disturbance — but the Yahoo News summary of contemporary reconstructions puts the released energy on the order of 17 billion one-megaton nuclear bombs. That figure is a rhetorical benchmark rather than a measurement, but it points at the right order of magnitude.

More useful is the transit time. Most coronal mass ejections take three to four days to cross the 150 million kilometres between the Sun and Earth. The Carrington ejecta did it in roughly 17.6 hours. That implies a bulk speed above 2,000 kilometres per second, meaning the plasma cloud arrived while its magnetic field was still coherent and aggressive.

A 2024 paleomagnetic reanalysis suggests the storm was even more powerful than the nineteenth-century instruments could capture. IFLScience’s summary of that reanalysis notes that some of the magnetograph traces from 1859 were pinned against their stops — the needles had physically reached the end of their travel and could measure no further.

Why auroras reached Cuba and Hawaii

Auroras form when charged particles funnelled along Earth’s magnetic field lines slam into the upper atmosphere at roughly 100 kilometres altitude, exciting nitrogen and oxygen atoms. The colours — green from oxygen at lower altitudes, red from oxygen higher up, blue and purple from nitrogen — depend on which atoms are being hit and how hard.

Normally the field lines that carry these particles anchor near the magnetic poles, which is why the aurora borealis is a high-latitude phenomenon. During a severe geomagnetic storm, the entire auroral oval expands equatorward. The stronger the storm, the further south (or north, in the southern hemisphere) the glow reaches.

For the Carrington Event, the oval expanded so far that observers in Havana logged red auroras overhead. In Honolulu, the sky reportedly went blood-red. Ship captains in the Caribbean noted the phenomenon in their logs. This is the signature of an extreme storm: not just bright aurora at the usual latitudes, but aurora somewhere it has never been seen before.

The physics behind the wires is the same whether the conductor is a telegraph line in 1859 or a high-voltage transmission cable in 2026. A changing magnetic field induces a voltage in any conductor sitting inside it. Long, grounded conductors accumulate the biggest voltages because the induced electric field integrates over the length of the wire.

Solar storms, as Space Daily has explored elsewhere, do not attack people directly. They attack long metal. In 1859, the only long metal humans had strung across continents was telegraph wire, and there were only a few tens of thousands of kilometres of it. Today’s grid, pipelines, rail signalling systems and undersea cables constitute a target surface millions of times larger.

That is why the same physical event, replayed on modern infrastructure, would look nothing like sparking telegraph paper. It would look like transformers cooking themselves from the inside as DC-like induced currents saturate their iron cores.

What the same storm would do now

The most cited worst-case assessment comes from the US National Research Council’s 2008 report on severe space weather events. That report estimated recovery from a modern Carrington-class event could take four to ten years and cost trillions of dollars, with the damage concentrated in extra-high-voltage transformers that are custom-built, expensive, and made by only a handful of manufacturers worldwide.

Space physics researcher Vincent Ledvina, quoted in the All That’s Interesting piece, describes a Carrington-class event as potentially “one of the most economically devastating natural disasters to affect planet Earth”.

Not everyone agrees the picture is that bleak. Grid operators in the United States have been under FERC rules since 2014 requiring geomagnetic disturbance planning. Some transformer designs are more tolerant than others. And the geometry of the storm — which hemisphere gets hit at what local time — matters enormously. A hit at the wrong hour could be catastrophic; the same magnetic pulse a few hours earlier or later, geometrically misaligned with the major grids, would be far less destructive.

The best modern measurement of a Carrington-class event comes not from Earth but from a spacecraft that happened to be in the wrong place at the right time. In July 2012, a coronal mass ejection of comparable magnitude to the 1859 storm erupted from a region of the Sun that had rotated just past the Earth-facing line. The ejecta missed Earth. It hit NASA’s STEREO-A spacecraft squarely.

STEREO-A’s instruments were built to measure exactly this sort of plasma cloud. They survived the encounter and returned detailed data on the shock front, the magnetic field orientation, and the particle energies. Reconstructions suggest that had the eruption occurred a week earlier, with Earth in the firing line, the induced ground currents would have exceeded the 1859 event.

The May 2024 G5 storm — the strongest to hit Earth in more than two decades — was, on Ledvina’s assessment, roughly an order of magnitude weaker than Carrington. Auroras reached Florida and southern Europe. Some GPS-guided tractors in the American Midwest were knocked off-line during planting season. The grid held.

Proposed defences, from prosaic to exotic

Most of the practical mitigation work is unglamorous: adding neutral-current-blocking capacitors to transformer neutrals, hardening spare-transformer stockpiles, refining space-weather forecasts so operators can shed load or reconfigure grids before a storm arrives. The Space Weather Prediction Center at NOAA runs continuous monitoring and provides the alerts that grid operators act on.

Then there are the more ambitious proposals. A 2026 paper in the journal Space Weather, summarised on Hackaday’s coverage of the concept, proposes what its authors call StormWall: releasing a cloud of neutral alkali-metal gas at geosynchronous orbit ahead of an incoming coronal mass ejection. The gas gets ionised by the storm plasma, and in the process absorbs — the paper’s simulations suggest — up to fifty per cent of the storm’s coupling energy before it reaches the magnetosphere.

The mass required is not small. The simulation called for 384,048 kilograms of gas, which the authors estimate as roughly six Starship launches to GEO. Whether that is feasible depends on assumptions about Starship’s eventual payload capacity that remain, in 2026, unproven at scale.

What the 1859 record does and does not tell us

The Carrington Event is the calibration point for every modern space-weather risk model. It is also a single data point. Discover Magazine’s overview notes the estimated recurrence interval is roughly once every 500 years, but that figure comes from ice-core nitrate spikes and tree-ring carbon-14 anomalies with wide uncertainty bars. Some paleomagnetic studies suggest even more powerful storms may have occurred in 774 CE and 993 CE, both detected as radiocarbon spikes rather than direct observations.

What the 1859 record does not tell us is what happens when a storm of that magnitude hits a civilisation that runs on transformers, semiconductors and just-in-time logistics. The Boston-to-Portland operators had the option of unplugging their batteries and carrying on. A modern grid operator watching geomagnetically induced currents climb through a substation’s neutral does not have that option. The transformer either holds or it does not, and if it does not, the replacement is on a barge from South Korea.

NPR’s Short Wave segment on the current solar maximum notes that Cycle 25 has already produced stronger activity than forecasters expected, though nothing yet approaching 1859.

The Sun is currently near the peak of that cycle. Activity will decline over the next few years toward solar minimum around 2030, then climb again. A Carrington-class event is not tied to the peak — the 1859 storm actually occurred as Cycle 10 was descending — so the elevated risk window is not neatly bounded.

Somewhere on the visible disc of the Sun tonight, a sunspot group is being tracked by half a dozen space-weather forecasting centres. Most such groups produce nothing more than routine flares. Occasionally one produces a coronal mass ejection that misses Earth by a few degrees of solar longitude. The 1859 event happened because one group, at the right moment, pointed itself squarely at the third planet and let go. The wires were waiting.

The post In 1859, a solar storm now called the Carrington Event induced currents so strong in North American telegraph lines that operators disconnected their batteries and kept sending messages on the geomagnetic current alone, while auroras lit up the sky over Cuba and Hawaii appeared first on Space Daily.

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Psychology says the person in the friend group who never seems to need anything isn’t low-maintenance, they learned in childhood that having needs was the fastest way to become inconvenient

Psychology says the person in the friend group who never seems to need anything isn't low-maintenance, they learned in childhood that having needs was the fastest way to become inconvenient

Walk into any kitchen where a group of old friends has gathered, and you can spot them within ten minutes. The kettle is going, someone is loudly relitigating a bad date, someone else is asking whether the wine in the fridge is open. And then there is the quiet one at the end of the counter, refilling everyone else’s glass, remembering who takes oat milk, laughing at the right moments, needing absolutely nothing. They are the easiest person in the room. They are also, often, the most misunderstood.

The group has a name for this person. Low-maintenance. Chill. The reliable one. Sometimes it is said with affection and sometimes with a kind of relief, as though the rest of the group is grateful not to have to worry about them. What almost no one says out loud is that the person in question rarely worries about themselves in front of others either. They have made a lifelong practice of being the one who does not need much. And that practice, in most cases, started long before adulthood.

The friend who never asks for anything is usually the friend who learned not to

Psychologists who study attachment have a specific term for the pattern behind this. It is called avoidant attachment in childhood, and it often shows up in adulthood as a dismissive-avoidant style. According to clinical research summarised by psychologist Lisa Firestone, roughly 30 percent of people carry some version of this pattern, and it tends to develop when a child does not consistently feel safe, seen, or soothed by the adults raising them.

The child adapts by becoming what Firestone calls pseudo-independent. They meet their own needs, because depending on someone who keeps failing to respond is more painful than going without. Over time, they stop registering the needs at all. It is easier to feel nothing than to feel repeatedly disappointed.

By adulthood, this looks like competence. The person is efficient, self-contained, warm in a slightly reserved way. They rarely ask for favours. They rarely complain. When something is wrong, they process it privately and present the group with the finished thought. Everyone assumes this is temperament. Often it is training.

What actually happens in the child’s nervous system

The clearest picture of this pattern comes from a study designed in the 1970s by Mary Ainsworth, and it still holds up. In her Strange Situation experiment, a child plays with a parent in a room, the parent leaves, and the child’s response to the reunion is observed. A securely attached child gets upset when the parent leaves and seeks comfort when they return. An avoidant child appears unbothered when the parent leaves and does not seek comfort when they come back.

The catch is what the heart monitor shows. The avoidant child shows physiological signs of distress the entire time the parent is gone. The distress is there. It has simply been separated from any outward request for help. As contemporary attachment research puts it, the internal working model formed in these early years quietly guides expectations of self and others for decades afterward.

Translate that into a friend group in your thirties or forties. The person who never seems to need anything is not calm. They are regulated at the surface and activated underneath. The performance of being fine is so old and so practiced that even they cannot always tell the difference anymore.

The specific belief that keeps the pattern running

What the child learned was not simply that adults are unreliable. The child learned something more corrosive, which is that having needs made the adult withdraw further. So the needs themselves became the problem. Firestone describes the internal script bluntly: the child begins to believe they are not worth paying attention to, and disconnects from their wants to avoid the shame of them going unmet.

That belief does not evaporate at eighteen. It shows up at brunch, at group chats, at the office. It shows up as the friend who insists they are fine while going through a divorce. It shows up as the colleague who quietly absorbs an unreasonable workload and only mentions burnout after they have already accepted a job somewhere else.

The core conviction is not that other people are cruel. It is that having a need, out loud, is the fastest way to become inconvenient. And no one wants to be the inconvenient one.

Why this looks like a virtue from the outside

Culture rewards the low-maintenance friend. They get invited more, complained about less, and praised for being easy. In a world where many people are quietly carrying some form of insecurity, the person who asks for nothing feels like a gift.

But the reward system is part of the trap. Every time the friend group praises the quiet one for being so easy, it confirms the original lesson: your value here is your lack of need. This is how the pattern survives into middle age. It is being reinforced by the very relationships that are supposed to make the person feel safe.

It is worth saying plainly. Being easygoing is not the same as being avoidantly attached. Plenty of secure people are also low-drama. The difference is whether the person could ask for something if they needed to, and whether they would trust the room to respond. The avoidant friend usually cannot, and does not.

How it shows up in romantic relationships

The friend-group version is the softer face of the pattern. The romantic version is where it tends to break things. A February 2025 piece in Forbes on attachment and partner selection notes that people with a dismissive style tend to hold positive views of themselves and negative views of others, which reads at first like confidence but functions like a wall.

In a relationship, this looks like the partner who is present but somehow unreachable. They plan the holidays. They remember birthdays. They are physically there. And yet a partner can spend years feeling as though there is a room in the house they have never been allowed into. When the more expressive partner asks for closeness, the dismissive partner reads the request as neediness, dramatics, too much.

What makes it hard to name is that the dismissive partner is not consciously withholding. They are running the same program they ran at four years old, which is: notice nothing, need nothing, do not give the other person a reason to pull away. The tragedy is that this is often exactly what causes the other person to pull away.

The physical cost of never being inconvenient

Suppressing a need is not free. The nervous system still registers the want, still fires the stress response, still processes the disappointment. It just does so silently. Over time, this shows up as vague physical symptoms, sleep problems, low-grade resentment that has nowhere to go, and a strange sense of loneliness in rooms full of people who love you.

The loneliest people in midlife are often not the ones without partners or children. They are the ones surrounded by people who only know the version of them that shows up when everyone else needs something. The low-maintenance friend is often that person. Beloved, and unknown.

Why the pattern can pass to the next generation

Attachment researchers have found that the way a parent processes their own history matters more than what happened to them. If we do not make sense of and feel the full pain of our past, we are much more likely to repeat it. The parent who was raised in an emotional desert and never grieved that fact tends to raise a child in a slightly greener version of the same one.

The findings extend into how people build families in the first place. A study covered by Scientific American found that attachment style may even influence how many children people end up having, with insecure patterns correlating with different family sizes than secure ones. The influence runs deeper than most people realise.

This is not a life sentence. It is a pattern that responds to attention. But it does not respond to willpower or to being told to open up more. It responds to a slow rebuilding of the belief that a need, expressed out loud, will not cost the person the relationship.

What a secure version of this friend actually looks like

Descriptions of what secure attachment looks like in children tend to emphasise a specific balance. The child explores confidently and comes back for comfort when they need it. They do not have to choose between independence and closeness. They get both.

In adulthood, the secure version of the low-maintenance friend is still calm, still competent, still not prone to drama. But when something is genuinely hard, they say so. They do not perform crisis, and they do not perform fineness either. They tell one or two people what is going on, they let those people help, and they trust that the friendship will not shrink because of it.

The difference is small on the outside and enormous on the inside. One version is regulating alone in a room full of people. The other version is actually with them.

Signs the pattern is running, in a friend or in yourself

A few markers show up consistently. The person can list what everyone else in the group is going through, but goes vague when asked about their own life. They deflect care by redirecting the conversation. They apologise for taking up time before saying anything hard. When someone offers help, they refuse it reflexively, then feel a private flash of resentment that no one pushed harder.

Descriptions of the dismissive-avoidant style in adult partnerships often note this reflex specifically. The person genuinely believes they are protecting others by not burdening them, while the others often feel shut out by exactly this protection.

A more painful version of the same wiring, sometimes called fearful-avoidant attachment, involves wanting closeness intensely and pulling away from it in the same breath. The internal experience is exhausting. The external presentation, again, often looks like someone who simply does not need much.

How the pattern actually loosens

The change does not come from a dramatic disclosure. It comes from small experiments in being slightly more inconvenient than usual, and noticing that the room does not empty out. Saying, out loud, that you had a hard week. Asking a friend to come with you to an appointment. Letting someone drive you home when you could have taken a cab. These sound trivial. For someone whose nervous system was trained to hide need, they are not.

Firestone’s clinical work emphasises building what she calls a coherent narrative, which is essentially the ability to tell the story of what happened to you as a child without collapsing into it or dismissing it. People who can do this tend to raise more securely attached children, and tend to form warmer adult relationships, regardless of what they started with.

The friend group rarely notices the shift at first. What they eventually notice is that the quiet one at the end of the counter is talking a little more about themselves, asking for the thing they actually want, letting someone else refill their glass for a change. It looks like a personality change. It is closer to a homecoming.

A last thought about the person who never seems to need anything

If someone in your life fits this description, the useful move is not to interrogate them or to praise them harder for being so easy. It is to ask specific questions and to stay in the room when the answer is slow. What was hard about this week. What would actually help. What would you want if you thought you were allowed to want it. Then wait.

The person who learned early that having needs made them inconvenient did not choose that lesson. They inherited it from a room that could not hold them. A different room, decades later, can teach a different lesson. It just has to be willing to keep asking, and to mean it.

The post Psychology says the person in the friend group who never seems to need anything isn’t low-maintenance, they learned in childhood that having needs was the fastest way to become inconvenient appeared first on Space Daily.

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In September 1983, a Soviet lieutenant colonel named Stanislav Petrov sat in a bunker south of Moscow watching his early-warning screens light up with five incoming American missiles, and instead of phoning it up the chain he decided the computer was lying and waited — a judgment call that historians now credit with preventing a retaliatory nuclear launch

In September 1983, a Soviet lieutenant colonel named Stanislav Petrov sat in a bunker south of Moscow watching his early-warning screens light up with five incoming American missiles, and instead of phoning it up the chain he decided the computer was lying and waited — a judgment call that historians now credit with preventing a retaliatory nuclear launch

Just after midnight on 26 September 1983, an alarm sounded inside the Serpukhov-15 command bunker south of Moscow. A satellite feed from the Soviet Union’s new early-warning system, Oko, reported that the United States had launched a nuclear missile. Within minutes it reported four more. The officer on duty, Lieutenant Colonel Stanislav Petrov, had a screen in front of him with the word LAUNCH in Cyrillic, a bank of phones connecting him to the Soviet high command, and roughly the length of a coffee break to decide whether the warning was real.

He decided it wasn’t. He picked up the intercom to the operations duty officer and reported a system malfunction.

He was guessing.

Soviet bunker command console

What the screen actually said

The Oko constellation was Moscow’s answer to the American Defense Support Program satellites: a ring of spacecraft in highly elliptical orbits designed to spot the infrared bloom of a US intercontinental ballistic missile the moment its engines lit. The system had gone operational only months earlier. According to a HistoryExtra account of the incident, Petrov knew Oko was new and relatively untested, and that fact was doing quiet work in the back of his mind as the alarm escalated.

Protocol was unambiguous. A confirmed launch detection went up the chain immediately. From there, the Soviet doctrine of the day — launch on warning — would have compressed the decision window to minutes. The general staff would consult, wake Yuri Andropov if he wasn’t already awake, and either sit on the report or authorise a retaliatory salvo of hundreds of warheads at American cities and silos.

Petrov’s job was not to make that decision. His job was to pass the alert along cleanly, quickly, and without editorial. He did not do his job.

Why he thought the computer was lying

Two things nagged at him. The first was arithmetic. A genuine American first strike, in the Soviet threat models of 1983, would look like a wall — hundreds of missiles arriving in a coordinated wave designed to destroy Soviet retaliation capability before it could launch. Five missiles was not a decapitation strike. Five missiles was almost a taunt. As The Guardian noted in its obituary, Petrov reasoned that the shape of the attack made no strategic sense.

The second was the ground picture. Soviet over-the-horizon radars could not see American missiles until they crested the earth’s curvature, and at that moment those radars were showing nothing. Waiting for confirmation from ground radar meant burning the warning window down to almost zero. If the satellites were right and he waited, the Soviet Union would have only minutes to respond, and possibly not even that.

He waited anyway.

The room, the phones, the interval

The Serpukhov-15 bunker was not a small room with one man at a desk. It was a full command post, staffed with duty officers and analysts, and Petrov later described the atmosphere in the minutes after the first alert as loud and physically disorienting. The alarm was audible. Screens flashed. Junior officers around him were shouting numbers.

He held the intercom. He listened to the ground-radar operators reporting nothing. He counted the missiles as Oko reported them: one, then four more.

According to NPR’s account of the night, Petrov later said he had a funny feeling in his gut. That was the phrase he used. It is not the phrase military historians prefer. It is, however, the phrase that survived.

He reported a system malfunction to the operations duty officer. The report he filed said false alarm.

early warning satellite

What had actually happened

Investigators reconstructed the fault over the following weeks. The Oko satellites had been positioned to look at the horizon rather than straight down at American silo fields, a design choice that reduced background noise from Earth’s own thermal emissions. But it made the system vulnerable to a specific optical trick: sunlight at a shallow angle, reflecting off high-altitude clouds above North Dakota, hit the satellite’s infrared sensor with the same signature as a rocket exhaust.

Five reflections, five “missiles.” A weather artifact, dressed up by a young algorithm as the end of the world.

The engineers who built Oko later patched the system to cross-check any launch detection against geostationary satellite data before triggering the top-level alert. That patch existed because of the night Petrov spent staring at the screen.

How close it actually came

Historians and former Soviet officers have argued for decades about how close the world really came to launch. Petrov did not have his finger on any button. He was one node in a decision chain that included the general staff, the defence minister, and ultimately Andropov himself, and each of those nodes could in principle have declined to authorise a strike even if Petrov had passed the warning up.

But context mattered. Three weeks earlier, a Soviet Su-15 interceptor had shot down Korean Air Lines Flight 007 over Sakhalin, killing 269 people including a US congressman. Washington’s rhetoric had turned incandescent. Andropov, ill and paranoid, had spent the previous year convinced the Reagan administration was planning a genuine first strike, and had ordered the KGB to hunt for evidence of it under a programme codenamed RYaN. The Soviet posture in September 1983 was hair-trigger by design.

A warning delivered up that chain, into that room, on that night, would not have been filed and forgotten. Whether it would have produced a launch order is unknowable. That it might have is why the story persists.

What happened to Petrov afterwards

He was not decorated. He was interrogated. His superiors were embarrassed — the malfunction pointed at design failures in a system the Soviet military had just spent enormous sums fielding, and honouring the officer who exposed it would have been an implicit indictment of the engineers and generals who signed off on it. Yuri Votintsev, then commander of Soviet missile-defence forces, privately praised Petrov’s judgment and mentioned an award. The award never came.

Petrov was reprimanded on paperwork grounds: his log entries from the night were incomplete. He was reassigned to a less sensitive post and took early retirement in 1984, in part because the stress of the incident had contributed to a nervous breakdown. He lived out the rest of his life in a small apartment in Fryazino, a satellite town outside Moscow, on a modest pension, growing potatoes.

The incident stayed classified until the late 1990s, when Votintsev published a memoir mentioning it. Western journalists tracked Petrov down. He gave interviews reluctantly. He never claimed to have saved the world, and got irritated when interviewers tried to write him as a hero. He said he was doing his job — that his job included judgment, and that judgment had told him the computer was wrong.

He died in May 2017, aged 77, of pneumonia. A German friend, Karl Schumacher, found out months later, when he called that September to wish Petrov a happy birthday and was told by Petrov’s son that his father had already died. According to later reporting on the incident, the delay in the news reaching the wider world was itself a kind of coda: the man who may have prevented the end of civilisation had died without anyone outside his family noticing.

Why the story keeps getting retold

Space Daily has looked before at what Petrov’s night reveals about human judgment against automated systems, and at a similar moment aboard a Soviet submarine during the Cuban Missile Crisis, when Vasili Arkhipov refused to authorise a nuclear torpedo launch against American destroyers. Both stories share a shape: a single officer, a broken or misleading input, a rule that says escalate, and a person who declines.

The engineering point buried in the Petrov story is worth pulling out. Oko was not a bad system in principle. It did what it was designed to do — detect the infrared plume of a rising ballistic missile — and it did so within its physical envelope. The failure was in the confidence with which its output was treated. The Soviet doctrine of launch on warning assumed the satellites would only ever be wrong in one direction, missing real attacks. It did not adequately model what would happen when the satellites reported an attack that wasn’t there.

Every early-warning architecture built since has had to reckon with the same asymmetry. The American BMEWS radars in Greenland famously mistook the rising moon for a Soviet ICBM salvo in October 1960, and the fix there was similar in spirit to what Oko needed: cross-checking, corroboration, redundancy across sensor types. The North American Aerospace Defense Command has publicly discussed multiple false alerts in the 1970s and 1980s that were caught before they reached the level of a launch order.

The number to remember

Five. The system reported five American missiles. Not one, which might have been dismissed as a rogue launch or a test gone wrong. Not four hundred, which would have matched the Soviet mental model of a genuine first strike and would probably have been believed. Five — a number small enough to be plausibly a glitch, large enough to be plausibly a warning shot, and squarely inside the gap where a human being had to decide which.

Petrov decided glitch. He was right. If Oko had reported a single missile, or a hundred, the story ends differently — either dismissed at a lower level, or believed at a higher one. It was the specific number, and the specific man watching the specific screen at 00:15 Moscow time, that made the incident hinge.

He kept the intercom in his hand. He did not press it up the chain. The clouds over North Dakota drifted east. The sun climbed. The satellites recalibrated. The morning shift arrived at Serpukhov-15 to find their new early-warning system had, overnight, tried to end the world, and a middle-aged engineer with a headache had told it no.

The post In September 1983, a Soviet lieutenant colonel named Stanislav Petrov sat in a bunker south of Moscow watching his early-warning screens light up with five incoming American missiles, and instead of phoning it up the chain he decided the computer was lying and waited — a judgment call that historians now credit with preventing a retaliatory nuclear launch appeared first on Space Daily.

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In 1966, the Soviet chief designer behind Sputnik, Gagarin’s flight, and the entire early space program died during routine surgery, and only then did the world learn his name was Sergei Korolev — for a decade Moscow had referred to him in print only as the Chief Designer, because the KGB feared the CIA would have him killed

In 1966, the Soviet chief designer behind Sputnik, Gagarin's flight, and the entire early space program died during routine surgery, and only then did the world learn his name was Sergei Korolev — for a decade Moscow had referred to him in print only as the Chief Designer, because the KGB feared the CIA would have him killed

On 14 January 1966, a 59-year-old man died on an operating table at a Moscow hospital during what had been scheduled as a routine procedure to remove a bleeding polyp from his intestine. Two days later, the Soviet newspaper Pravda ran an obituary with a photograph, and hundreds of millions of readers learned, for the first time, the name of the man who had built Sputnik, launched Yuri Gagarin, and beaten the United States to almost every early milestone of the space age.

His name was Sergei Pavlovich Korolev. Until that obituary, Soviet newspapers had only ever called him Glavny Konstruktor — the Chief Designer.

For roughly a decade, one of the most consequential engineers of the twentieth century had been, by state policy, an anonymous title. Gagarin knew him. Khrushchev knew him. The workers at the Baikonur Cosmodrome knew him. The Central Intelligence Agency did not.

The secrecy, and why Moscow kept it

The practice was not a rumour or a later embellishment. Fordham University historian Asif Siddiqi, whose NASA-published Challenge to Apollo: The Soviet Union and the Space Race, 1945–1974 remains the standard English-language account of the program, has said that a Soviet newspaper reader in the early 1960s would have encountered only Korolev’s title, never his name. The show Star City, a recent Apple TV series, dramatises the practice literally: a character is referred to throughout as the Chief Designer, and the production notes confirm the naming was drawn from the historical record rather than invented for effect.

The scale of the anonymity is easier to grasp by inversion. Wernher von Braun, Korolev’s American counterpart at Marshall Space Flight Center, appeared on the cover of Time and gave televised interviews explaining the Saturn rocket family. Von Braun’s face and voice were part of the American story. Korolev’s were state secrets.

When Gagarin flew on 12 April 1961, the world saw the cosmonaut. It did not see the man who had designed the R-7 rocket carrying him, chosen the launch window, and stood in the bunker at Baikonur listening to the countdown.

The official reasoning, as Soviet-era veterans of the program have described it since, was straightforward: a named Chief Designer was a targetable Chief Designer. The Soviets wanted him anonymous, on the view that if he became known, both his life and the space program would be at risk.

Whether the CIA would in fact have moved against Korolev is a claim that historians treat cautiously. What is documented is that Soviet security services behaved as if that risk were real, and that the anonymity was maintained with unusual discipline across state media, scientific publications, and Nobel Prize correspondence. The Nobel Committee reportedly asked, more than once, for the name of the person responsible for Sputnik so a prize could be awarded. Khrushchev is said to have replied that the achievement belonged to the entire Soviet people. No name was given. No prize followed.

The National Review obituary essay marking the fiftieth anniversary of his death notes that the same secrecy that shielded Korolev also denied him the international recognition his American rival received in life. Von Braun died in 1977 as a public figure. Korolev died in 1966 as a title.

Sergei Korolev portrait

Who Korolev actually was

He was born in 1907 in Zhytomyr, in what is now Ukraine — a fact that has become politically charged in recent years, with the Russian Foreign Ministry publicly disputing Ukrainian claims on his legacy as recently as 2023. He trained as an aeronautical engineer in Moscow and Kyiv, worked on early liquid-fuel rocket research in the 1930s, and in 1938 was arrested during Stalin’s Great Purge on fabricated charges of sabotage.

He was sent first to a gold-mining camp in Kolyma, one of the harshest sites in the Gulag system, where he lost most of his teeth to scurvy and nearly died. He was later transferred to a sharashka — a prison design bureau where technically skilled prisoners worked on military aviation projects under guard. He was not formally rehabilitated until 1957, the same year Sputnik went up.

The man who launched the space age had, twenty years earlier, been beaten by NKVD interrogators and left to freeze in a labour camp. Sputnik’s insistence on a 1-watt transmitter loud enough for ham operators worldwide to hear was Korolev’s doing — he wanted ordinary people, not just governments, to know the object was up there.

The R-7, Sputnik, and the run of firsts

The rocket that made all of it possible was the R-7 Semyorka, originally designed as an intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying a thermonuclear warhead to the continental United States. On 4 October 1957 a modified R-7 placed Sputnik 1 into orbit. On 3 November 1957 it lofted Laika. On 12 April 1961 it carried Gagarin. The same fundamental design, in updated form, still launches Soyuz crews to the International Space Station today — the longest-serving orbital launch vehicle family in history.

Between 1957 and 1966, Korolev’s bureau delivered the first artificial satellite, the first animal in orbit, the first human in orbit, the first woman in orbit (Valentina Tereshkova, 1963), the first multi-crew spacecraft (Voskhod 1, 1964), and the first spacewalk (Alexei Leonov, March 1965). A BBC Sky at Night Magazine profile of Korolev notes that this run of firsts was compressed into less than a decade, driven by a single bureau operating under a single technical director whose name the public was not permitted to know.

Gagarin, according to accounts published after Korolev’s death, referred to him in private simply as SP — the initials of his first name and patronymic. Even the cosmonauts used the euphemism.

The surgery that killed him

By late 1965, Korolev was 58, exhausted, and unwell. He had been complaining of intestinal bleeding. On 14 January 1966 he was admitted to a Moscow hospital for what was described as a routine polyp removal. The operation was performed by Boris Petrovsky, the Soviet Minister of Health. Once the surgery began, the situation worsened rapidly: the polyp turned out to be a large malignant tumour, and Korolev’s jaw — broken during his 1938 NKVD interrogation and never properly reset — could not be opened wide enough to intubate him for extended anaesthesia. He died on the operating table of heart failure.

He was 59. The Pravda obituary two days later carried his photograph and, for the first time in print, his full name and title. He was buried in the Kremlin Wall Necropolis. The state that had hidden him spent the following week publishing everything he had built.

Kremlin Wall Necropolis

What his death cost the program — and the record

The lunar program he had been directing — the N1 super-heavy rocket, the Soviet answer to the Saturn V — collapsed in the years after his death. All four N1 launches between February 1969 and November 1972 failed, most spectacularly the second attempt in July 1969, which destroyed the launch pad. The rocket clustered 30 NK-15 engines in its first stage because Korolev’s rival Valentin Glushko had refused to build larger engines using the propellants Korolev preferred; the KORD fault-management system meant to coordinate those 30 engines was defeated by electromagnetic interference between them, turning single-engine failures into cascade shutdowns.

Siddiqi, the Fordham historian, has offered the measured verdict that Korolev’s death had a very negative effect on the Soviet space program as a whole, including the lunar program, but that he doubted the Soviets would have made the Moon landing even if Korolev had lived, because so many structural and organisational problems were already present while he was alive.

That caveat is the one the alternate-history television now rests on. Star City, which premiered on Apple TV in 2026, is set in a timeline where the 1966 surgery does not kill him and Alexei Leonov walks on the Moon in 1969. The show’s dramatic engine is not that Korolev was a genius who could solve any problem, but that his survival was the necessary condition under which the program’s institutional pathologies could have been addressed at all.

One consequence of a decade of anonymity is that the Western intelligence picture of the Soviet space program was, for years, a picture without a face. CIA assessments through the late 1950s and early 1960s referred to the Chief Designer as a hypothesised figure whose existence could be inferred from the pattern of Soviet achievements but whose identity, nationality, and biography were unknown. Some analysts speculated the Chief Designer was a committee. Others suspected a captured German engineer. The correct answer — a Ukrainian-born, Gulag-surviving aeronautical engineer named Korolev — was not confirmed in the West until Pravda printed it.

Space Daily has written before about the Buran shuttle’s single 1988 flight, another Soviet program whose technical achievement was decoupled from public recognition by the state’s habits of secrecy. The pattern is older than Buran. It began with Korolev.

The anonymity also meant that when he died, the state had to invent his public identity retroactively. The Pravda obituary was the first time Soviet citizens saw the photograph of the man whose name had been on none of the achievements they had spent a decade celebrating. Schoolchildren who had memorised Gagarin’s flight learned, in one morning, that there had been a designer, that he had been Ukrainian-born, that he had been imprisoned by Stalin, and that he was already dead.

The name on the wall

Korolev’s ashes are interred in the Kremlin Wall, near Lenin’s mausoleum. A crater on the far side of the Moon carries his name. A city outside Moscow, formerly Kaliningrad, was renamed Korolyov in 1996. The Yuri Gagarin Cosmonaut Training Center at Star City — the real one, not the Apple TV version — still trains the cosmonauts who ride his rocket’s descendants to orbit.

The R-7 family, in its current Soyuz-2 configuration, has now flown more than 1,900 times across all variants since 1957. Every crewed launch from Baikonur since Gagarin has used a rocket that traces its lineage directly to the machine Korolev built to carry a hydrogen bomb.

The man’s name appeared in a Soviet newspaper for the first time on 16 January 1966. Sixty years later, it is on a Moon crater, a Russian city, and the side of every Soyuz that leaves the pad.

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Mars is slowly pulling Phobos inward by about 1.8 centimetres a year; models suggest the battered moon could be torn apart in 20 to 40 million years, giving the planet a temporary ring

Representative rocky red landscape under a dark sky

Mars has no rings today, but it already carries the material for one.

Phobos, the larger and innermost of the planet’s two small moons, is moving towards Mars by about 1.8 centimetres each year. That drift is measurable. What happens at the end is modelled rather than observed, and depends heavily on how much strength is hidden beneath the moon’s battered surface.

One influential analysis suggests the weakest parts of Phobos could be pulled apart in 20 to 40 million years, spreading into a temporary ring while stronger fragments continue down towards Mars.

It is a dramatic future assembled from a very small motion.

Phobos completes three orbits during one Martian day

Phobos is an irregular body measuring roughly 27 by 22 by 18 kilometres. According to NASA’s Phobos overview, it circles Mars three times per day at an altitude of about 6,000 kilometres above the surface.

The European Space Agency gives its orbital period as 7 hours and 39 minutes. That is much shorter than the time Mars takes to rotate once. To an observer on much of the Martian surface, Phobos would therefore appear to rise in the west and set in the east, the reverse of the familiar daily motion of Earth’s Moon.

The short orbit is also the reason Phobos is in trouble. It lies inside the altitude where a moon’s orbital period would match the planet’s rotation. The tidal bulge it raises on Mars consequently lags behind the fast-moving moon. Their gravitational interaction removes orbital energy from Phobos and transfers it to Mars.

Losing orbital energy does not make a moon hover more slowly at the same height. It drops into a lower orbit, where it travels faster and raises stronger tides. The descent gradually accelerates.

A yearly drift cannot simply be extended in a straight line

NASA expresses the present decay as 1.8 metres every century, while ESA gives the equivalent figure of 1.8 centimetres per year. A simple division of the moon’s current altitude by that rate would produce a timescale of hundreds of millions of years.

That calculation is misleading because the rate will not remain constant. As Phobos approaches Mars, the strength of the tidal interaction increases. The last part of its inward spiral is expected to proceed much faster than the motion measured today.

This is why public estimates differ. NASA says Phobos could strike Mars or break into a ring in about 50 million years. ESA uses the broader phrase “within 100 million years.” These are not scheduled events with a precise date. They reflect different assumptions and levels of rounding applied to a nonlinear process over geological time.

The measured direction is the firm part: Phobos is moving inward.

The ring prediction depends on a damaged interior

Whether Phobos reaches the surface mostly intact or comes apart first depends on its internal strength. The moon has a nine-kilometre impact scar called Stickney crater, fine surface dust, grooves and evidence of repeated impacts. Its exterior looks less like a solid, pristine rock than an object that has been worked over for billions of years.

In a 2015 analysis published in Nature Geoscience, Benjamin Black and Tushar Mittal combined geological observations, spectral measurements, orbital theory and a geotechnical model of Phobos’s strength. They concluded that much of the moon may consist of weak, heavily damaged material.

Their model placed tidal dispersal of the weakest material about 20 to 40 million years in the future. Once Mars’s gravity pulls more strongly on the near side of Phobos than the moon’s own cohesion can resist, that material would no longer remain a single body.

This is one model, not a direct measurement of the interior. No spacecraft has drilled through Phobos or mapped its structure in full. A stronger, more coherent moon could survive closer to Mars, while a loose aggregate would begin failing farther out.

The grooves are intriguing, but they are not a visible countdown

Long grooves cross much of Phobos, and their origin has generated several explanations. Some have been linked to debris launched from impacts on Mars. Others may have been cut by boulders rolling away from Stickney crater.

A 2016 study in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets, led by Terry Hurford, tested another possibility. Its stress models found that tidal forces acting on a weak interior could produce fractures with a pattern similar to some observed grooves.

That does not establish that every groove is a stretch mark caused by orbital decay. Surface features can have several origins, and the competing explanations involve different sets of grooves. The study is better read as evidence that tidal damage is physically plausible for a weak Phobos, not that the moon is visibly splitting today.

At the present decay rate, human observations cover almost none of the remaining process.

A Martian ring could outlast species and still be temporary

Black and Mittal estimated that the resulting ring could persist for one million to 100 million years. Its initial mass density might be comparable with Saturn’s rings, although that does not tell us exactly how bright or broad it would appear from the Martian surface.

The ring would not be Phobos’s only ending. Material strong enough to avoid disruption would keep descending and eventually strike Mars in oblique, relatively low-speed impacts. Smaller particles in the ring would also evolve, collide and gradually move towards the planet.

On geological timescales, a ring lasting millions of years can still be a passing phase.

The contrast with Earth’s Moon helps show why. NASA’s lunar measurements show that our Moon is receding by about 3.8 centimetres per year. Earth rotates faster than the Moon orbits, so Earth’s tidal bulge transfers energy outward to the Moon. Phobos orbits faster than Mars rotates, reversing the exchange.

The same broad physics can push one moon away and pull another towards destruction.

Mars offers a ring system in slow preparation

Nothing about Phobos’s fate is urgent on a human scale. Twenty million years is more than four thousand times the span of recorded history. The moon will look effectively unchanged to any mission operating this century.

Its inward motion still matters because it lets planetary scientists observe one stage of a process otherwise inferred from finished ring systems, impact deposits and missing moons. Mars is not merely a planet that may acquire a ring in the distant future. It is a planet whose tides are already preparing the material.

The 1.8 centimetres measured in a year is almost nothing. Given enough time, it is the beginning of an ending.

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AI will not pilot future spacecraft like a human captain; its practical role is narrower and more important, choosing routes, spotting hazards and keeping missions working when Earth is minutes or hours away

Representative image of a satellite travelling above Earth

AI is likely to become important to future space travel for a fairly unglamorous reason: Earth is too far away to make every decision in time.

A spacecraft near Mars may wait minutes for a radio command. At the outer planets, the delay stretches into hours. A vehicle approaching an asteroid, descending towards unfamiliar ground or responding to a failing component may need to act before a human team can see the problem, discuss it and send an answer back.

That does not mean future spacecraft will be handed to a talking machine captain. On the evidence available today, the practical role is narrower: recognising a local situation, choosing among approved actions and keeping a mission working within limits set by people.

Spacecraft autonomy began before the current AI boom

NASA tested an onboard artificial-intelligence system on Deep Space 1 in 1999. The Remote Agent experiment received high-level goals, produced plans, executed them and responded to four simulated faults inserted by the mission team. It also encountered a software bug during its first run, a useful reminder that autonomy creates new failure modes as well as new capability.

Deep Space 1 separately tested autonomous optical navigation. The spacecraft photographed asteroids against background stars, calculated its position and commanded its ion propulsion without waiting for engineers to perform each navigation calculation on Earth.

These systems were not generative AI. They were purpose-built planning, diagnosis and navigation software, designed around a constrained mission. That distinction remains useful today.

I wrote earlier about how AI already flying in space tends to solve one specific physical problem. Future capability will probably grow by joining many such bounded systems, not by installing a single general intelligence and asking it to improvise.

DART showed why decisions sometimes have to stay onboard

NASA’s DART spacecraft had to strike Dimorphos, an asteroid moonlet roughly 150 metres across, while closing at about six kilometres per second. During the final phase, human intervention would have been too slow and the target did not separate clearly from the larger asteroid until late in the approach.

DART’s SMART Nav system used images from its camera to identify the bodies, select Dimorphos, calculate corrections and command manoeuvres. The system guided DART through the last four hours without human control, ending in the intended collision on 26 September 2022.

That is autonomy with a sharply defined objective.

The spacecraft was not deciding whether the mission was wise or inventing a new scientific goal. People had designed, tested and authorised the decision structure. The machine handled the part that had to occur faster than the radio link allowed.

Newer AI can assist with planning before it flies

In December 2025, NASA’s Perseverance team completed the first two drives on another world whose waypoints had been generated by AI. A vision-language model examined orbital imagery and elevation data, identified terrain features and proposed a route.

The AI was on Earth, not steering the rover live. JPL engineers ran its commands through a digital replica of Perseverance and checked more than 500,000 telemetry variables before transmission. The rover then drove 210 metres on 8 December and 246 metres on 10 December, according to JPL’s account of the demonstration.

This suggests a near-term division of labour. AI can examine large image sets, propose waypoints and reduce routine planning work. Engineers can test those proposals against mission rules. Onboard navigation can then handle nearby rocks and other hazards as the vehicle moves.

Each layer has a different job, and each can be checked differently.

Hera will test more autonomy around an asteroid

ESA’s Hera spacecraft is due to reach the Didymos system in November 2026 to examine the aftermath of DART’s impact. ESA describes Hera as having autonomy comparable to a self-driving car, although the comparison refers to sensor fusion and local navigation rather than road-driving software transplanted into space.

Hera will combine camera images, laser-altimeter readings, inertial sensors and star-tracker data to build a working picture of the two asteroids. Its experimental modes are intended to recognise surface features and make navigation decisions near bodies whose weak gravity and irregular shapes are difficult to model perfectly from Earth.

If those tests work, the same broad approach could help later spacecraft rendezvous with small objects, inspect damaged satellites or land in places where detailed maps are incomplete. It would be evidence for particular navigation methods, not proof that a spacecraft can manage an entire mission alone.

Future travellers will need systems that know their authority

For robotic probes, autonomy can mean more observations and less time waiting. For crews, it could help monitor equipment, flag anomalies, manage inventories or compare possible responses while Earth is unavailable. Yet a system making suggestions for astronauts is not the same as one controlling life support or propulsion, where an error could be irreversible.

The harder engineering question is therefore not simply how capable the AI becomes. It is how its authority is bounded, how uncertainty is displayed, what happens when sensors disagree and how people regain control.

I recently looked at the much larger physical barrier in the possibility of sending a probe to Alpha Centauri. AI cannot provide the propulsion, shielding or energy such a mission lacks. It could, however, help a small vehicle operate for decades without expecting Earth to supervise every choice.

That is the credible future role: not replacing mission control, but carrying a carefully tested part of mission control aboard the spacecraft when distance makes immediate help impossible.

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Mercury is the Solar System’s smallest planet, but its metallic core fills about 85 per cent of its radius, leaving a rocky shell so thin that cooling has crumpled the surface into cliffs hundreds of kilometres long

Representative view of a rocky, cratered world

Mercury is the smallest planet in the Solar System, but most of the distance from its centre to its surface passes through metal. NASA puts the radius of Mercury’s metallic core at about 2,074 kilometres, compared with a planetary radius of 2,440 kilometres. That is roughly 85 per cent of the planet’s radius.

The percentage needs reading carefully. It describes radius, not volume, and it does not mean the remaining 15 per cent is all crust. NASA estimates that Mercury’s combined rocky mantle and crust are about 400 kilometres thick. There is also evidence that part of the core remains molten or liquid, which helps explain how such a small world still generates a magnetic field.

I find the surface consequence more revealing than the ratio itself. As Mercury lost interior heat, the planet contracted. Its rigid outer shell had to fit around a slightly smaller interior, so parts of the crust broke and were pushed over neighbouring ground. The result is a global population of long, curved cliffs that record the cooling of the planet below them.

A small planet built around a large core

Mercury’s bulk density is second only to Earth’s among the planets. Yet Earth gains much of its density from the intense pressure produced by its greater mass. Mercury is genuinely rich in metal for its size.

Its internal arrangement is not simply a solid iron ball wrapped in stone. Measurements of Mercury’s gravity, rotation and magnetic field from NASA’s MESSENGER spacecraft indicate a layered interior, including a metallic core that is at least partly liquid. The exact composition and boundaries of those layers remain subjects of active modelling.

The reason Mercury ended up with so much metal is also unsettled. Proposed explanations have included the loss of rocky material during an early collision, extreme heating near the young Sun and formation from unusually metal-rich starting material. None has closed the case by itself. The core size is measured far more securely than the story of how it formed.

Cooling turned contraction into cliffs

Materials generally contract as they cool. On Mercury, that gradual loss of interior heat reduced the planet’s volume enough to deform its outer shell. Because the crust could not slide neatly into a smaller sphere, compression forced blocks of rock up and over one another along thrust faults.

Planetary geologists call many of the resulting landforms lobate scarps. “Lobate” describes their rounded, lobe-like shape, while a scarp is a steep slope or cliff produced by fault movement. These are not mainly cliffs carved by rivers, waves or glaciers. They are the surface expression of crustal shortening.

The scale can be hard to read in spacecraft photographs with no trees or buildings for comparison. NASA reports that the largest scarps extend for hundreds of kilometres and rise more than 1.5 kilometres in places. A traveller approaching one would face a landform longer than many terrestrial mountain ranges, even though Mercury’s entire diameter is only 4,880 kilometres.

MESSENGER found a larger contraction than expected

Mariner 10 revealed Mercury’s great scarps during three flybys in 1974 and 1975, but it photographed less than half the planet. MESSENGER changed the picture after becoming the first spacecraft to orbit Mercury in 2011.

Using global photographs and topographic measurements, the mission team mapped almost 6,000 ridges and scarps. A 2014 analysis concluded that Mercury’s radius had decreased by as much as seven kilometres as the interior cooled, a substantially larger contraction than researchers had inferred from the incomplete Mariner 10 coverage. NASA’s global map of those structures shows them spread across the planet rather than confined to one basin or hemisphere.

Seven kilometres is small beside Mercury’s present radius, about three-tenths of one per cent. Across a whole planet, however, that change is enough to build thousands of faults and folds. The cliffs are an accumulated record of strain, not evidence that the planet suddenly collapsed.

Some faults may be geologically young

The broad contraction began billions of years ago. The harder question is when it stopped, if it has stopped at all.

During MESSENGER’s final 18 months, the spacecraft flew lower and returned sharper images. Researchers identified small, crisp scarps that should not have survived for billions of years under constant impacts from meteoroids. A 2016 study interpreted some as younger than 50 million years, a short interval in planetary geology.

A later 2023 paper in Nature Geoscience, led by Benjamin Man, mapped small troughs called grabens on top of larger contraction structures. The researchers identified 190 examples they regarded as certain. They measured them at roughly 10 to 150 metres deep, generally less than one kilometre wide and tens of kilometres long.

The team estimated that the grabens were about 300 million years old or younger because continued impact debris would otherwise have softened or buried such shallow features. Their distribution was consistent with prolonged contraction and activity on the larger faults into geologically recent times.

This is evidence, not a direct measurement of a fault moving today. The 2023 result is one study, not settled consensus about present activity, and no seismometer has yet recorded a Mercury-quake. The careful claim is that the planet appears to have cooled and contracted for much longer than an old, small world might suggest.

BepiColombo is almost ready to take the next look

MESSENGER ended with a planned impact on Mercury in April 2015. The next orbital investigation is now approaching. According to the European Space Agency’s current mission schedule, BepiColombo’s European and Japanese orbiters are due to enter Mercury orbit together on 21 November 2026 and separate in December.

The mission carries a laser altimeter, cameras, a magnetometer, radio-science equipment and instruments designed to examine surface composition and temperature. Combining topography with gravity and magnetic measurements should improve estimates of the core’s structure and Mercury’s rocky shell. Higher-resolution surface observations may also reveal whether the smallest scarps and grabens are more widespread than MESSENGER could see.

BepiColombo will not make billions of years of cooling easy to reconstruct. It will give researchers a second global orbital dataset, collected with different instruments, for testing whether Mercury’s thin shell is still adjusting to the metal-rich world beneath it.

The cliffs make the interior visible

Mercury’s core cannot be photographed directly, and the planet’s surface gives few obvious hints of an interior that fills 85 per cent of its radius. The cliffs connect the two. Their lengths, heights, ages and fault geometry preserve part of the history of heat leaving the core and mantle.

That history is still incomplete. The measured contraction is real, the young-looking structures are real, and the possibility of present tectonic activity remains open. Mercury’s grey surface is not merely an old impact record. It is also the outer skin of a planet that has spent billions of years fitting itself around a slowly cooling core.

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Saudi Arabia sits on the world’s largest sand desert and yet imports sand by the shipload from Australia and Scotland, because the wind-rounded grains of the Empty Quarter are too smooth to bind in concrete and modern construction can only use the jagged sand pulled from riverbeds and quarries

Saudi Arabia sits on the world's largest sand desert and yet imports sand by the shipload from Australia and Scotland, because the wind-rounded grains of the Empty Quarter are too smooth to bind in concrete and modern construction can only use the jagged sand pulled from riverbeds and quarries

Saudi Arabia sits on the Rub’ al Khali, an unbroken sea of dunes roughly the size of France, and still puts sand on ships from Perth and the Firth of Forth to pour into its concrete. In 2023, according to World Bank trade data reviewed by Autonocion and OkDiario, the kingdom bought around $138,600 worth of Australian construction sand — about the price of a mid-range pickup truck, hauled across the Indian Ocean because the grains under Saudi feet are the wrong shape to hold a building up.

The problem is not the quantity. It is the geometry of each grain.

Why desert sand fails the concrete test

Concrete is mostly aggregate — sand and gravel — held together by a thin film of cement paste. For the paste to lock, the grains have to bite against one another edge to edge, wedging into the cement and into each other like pieces of a rough jigsaw. River sand and crushed quarry sand do this well because they are geologically young: recently broken from larger rock, jagged, angular, sharp-faced.

Desert sand behaves in the opposite way. Wind does not fracture grains; it polishes them. Over thousands of years of rolling and bouncing across dunes, each grain wears down into a smooth, near-spherical pellet. Dropped into a wet concrete mix, the grains act like ball bearings, sliding past one another instead of interlocking. The cured block ends up riddled with microscopic voids and weak seams.

You can build a garden wall with it. You cannot build a supertall tower.

Rub al Khali dunes

Ren Wei, a postdoctoral fellow at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, put the same problem plainly in a EurekAlert release on his team’s work: “The challenge is that desert sand is so fine-grained that it is not suitable as a fastener in concrete. In other words, the concrete will not be hard enough to be used in various construction projects.” His team has spent years trying to give the useless stuff a second life by binding it with wood lignin under heat and pressure — a workaround that only exists because ordinary Portland cement will not.

The scale of what sits under Saudi feet

The Empty Quarter covers roughly 650,000 square kilometres of the southern Arabian Peninsula. Some of its dunes climb more than 250 metres, taller than most skyscrapers the kingdom is trying to build. Every major construction site in Saudi Arabia sits within trucking distance of a dune field that could, in raw volume, bury the project many times over.

And yet the trade ledgers keep filling. The same World Bank data show Saudi Arabia imported roughly $1.22 million in non-metal-bearing natural sands in 2023, with the Australian line item nested inside. A separate category — silica and quartz sands used mainly in glass and specialist applications — brought in about $5.23 million, sourced from China, Belgium, the United States, India and the UAE.

The dollar figures are almost comically small. That $138,600 from Australia is not a fortune. The point is that a budget code exists at all. A country sitting on one of the largest sand deposits on Earth has a purchase order for sand shipped from Fremantle.

Salt, corrosion, and the second reason engineers refuse dune sand

Shape is only half the objection. Desert and beach grains often carry enough chloride to slowly corrode the steel reinforcement inside concrete — a slow-motion disaster for anything load-bearing. Reporting on the paradox by Ecoticias notes that salt content is one of the reasons even coastal sand cannot simply be substituted in.

Engineers have spent years trying to make dune sand behave. A team at Imperial College London developed Finite, a concrete alternative made from desert sand. There are patents for crushing and re-fracturing dune grains under enormous pressure just to give them edges again. None of it has displaced the cheapest fix on the table: put good sand on a boat.

What Dubai’s palm actually stands on

The clearest illustration is next door in the Emirates. The Palm Jumeirah, finished off the Dubai coast in 2006, was built out of roughly 94 million cubic metres of sand and rock. That sand did not come from the desert a few miles inland. It was dredged from specific patches of Persian Gulf seabed where the grain size was right, placed by GPS-guided vessels using a technique called rainbowing — spraying sand in an arc through the air onto the growing island. Dutch and Belgian dredging firms ran the operation around the clock for years.

The Burj Khalifa tells the same story going up. Its roughly 330,000 cubic metres of concrete were mixed with sand sourced from outside the UAE, because the local dunes could not deliver the required strength. The paradox of desert cities importing the material they appear to be standing on is baked into every Gulf skyline.

Burj Khalifa concrete construction

A global shortage of the ordinary

Saudi Arabia’s predicament is a sharper version of a shortage the whole planet now shares. Humans pull about 50 billion tonnes of sand and gravel out of the Earth every year, making them the most-extracted solid materials on the planet and, by UN accounting, the second-most-exploited natural resource after water. Demand for construction sand alone is projected to climb by up to 45 percent by 2060.

Nature replaces sand through erosion on geological timescales, far slower than construction crews dig it out. The UN Environment Programme calls the difference the sand gap, and it now stretches from Cambodian riverbeds to Sicilian beaches, with organised sand-mining operations documented across India and West Africa.

The mining is not a small business. A recent Eos editors’ vox on river-sand mining lays out the downstream damage: channel incision, collapsed banks, saltwater intrusion into aquifers, and delta shorelines that stop being replenished from upstream. The concrete in a Gulf tower is often paid for, ecologically, by a river mouth several thousand kilometres away.

Space Daily has covered the same paradox from the angle of Arabian geology, tracing how thousands of years of aeolian polishing wore the grains beyond usefulness. What changes when the story is told through trade data is the scale of the workaround: every megaproject is, somewhere in its bill of materials, a sand story with a very long supply line.

Why the Empty Quarter’s sand ended up so smooth

The Arabian Peninsula was not always this dry. Research published in the Nature family of journals has documented recurrent humid phases across Arabia over the past 8 million years, with rivers, lakes and grasslands appearing and disappearing on cycles tied to orbital changes. During dry stretches — including the last several thousand years — wind takes over as the dominant sculptor of the surface, and the grains it moves get progressively rounder.

The Empty Quarter’s sand is the end product. Sediment that has been reworked so many times by wind that its edges have been worn down almost to the atomic. The same grains that make the dunes photograph beautifully at sunset are the grains that will not bond to cement. Comparative morphology studies of construction sands — the sort catalogued in the Nature journal literature on sand sources — consistently rank aeolian dune grains at the bottom of the pile for angularity and surface texture.

The workarounds nobody has scaled yet

Ren Wei’s team at NTNU and the University of Tokyo have made a prototype they call Botanical Sand Concrete, or Sandcrete. Equal parts desert sand and powdered wood are combined at 180 °C in a double-plate hot-pressing machine, and the lignin in the wood — the same natural polymer that stiffens tree trunks — melts and glues the smooth grains together. New Atlas reported on the material last year, noting the blocks meet Japanese Industrial Standards for pavement bricks.

It is not a structural concrete. Wei has been careful about that. The team envisions indoor use and pavement stones, and points out that any environmental gain evaporates if Sandcrete itself has to be shipped across continents. “The production process is relatively simple, so in principle the material can be made in many places,” he told reporters covering the study’s release. “But we need to test more, including how it can withstand cold, before it can be used in Norway.”

Manufactured sand — crushed rock milled into angular fragments — behaves more like river material and is expanding inside Saudi Arabia’s domestic supply chain. Recycled concrete from demolished buildings can be crushed and reused. Neither has yet displaced the bulk carrier.

Where the sand actually comes from now

Australia ranks as the world’s second-largest sand exporter behind only the United States, shipping roughly $273 million worth in 2023 by the Observatory of Economic Complexity’s accounting. Ports like Jebel Ali in Dubai and Dammam in Saudi Arabia handle graded construction and silica sand quietly, in bulk carriers that look no different from the ones bringing in cars and electronics.

Scotland’s contribution is smaller in tonnage but old in reputation. Silica sand from quarries in the Scottish lowlands has moved into Middle Eastern markets for decades, prized for its consistency and low impurity content, and it turns up in specialist concrete mixes and glass production across the Gulf.

The pressure on riverine sources has begun to reach places that once looked untouched. A 2026 explainer in the Milwaukee Independent describes Great Lakes deposits being eyed as global sand shortages ripple into North America, with infrastructure projects from Southeast Asia to the Middle East pulling on inland reserves that were previously considered safe.

NEOM and the sand appetite still to come

Saudi Arabia’s ambitions are not slowing the appetite. NEOM, the Red Sea Project, Qiddiya, the Diriyah Gate redevelopment — each is one of the largest construction sites on the planet, and each is hungry for the angular, water-eroded sand the region does not have. The Red Sea Project’s plan for a large archipelago along the coast will need dredged marine aggregate on a scale that rivals the great Gulf reclamation schemes.

THE LINE, NEOM’s proposed 170-kilometre mirrored city, would be one of the most concrete-intensive projects in human history if built anywhere near its original specification. Every cubic metre of that concrete needs grains with corners.

The supply lines lengthen with the ambition. The polished dunes stay where they are, drifting slowly in the wind, useless to a cement mixer and unlikely to change.

A material paradox that keeps repeating

Saudi Arabia’s sand imports get passed around online as a fun bit of trivia, the kind of fact that sounds invented. It stops being a paradox the moment you understand how sand actually forms. Wind makes beautiful dunes and terrible concrete. Water makes ugly gravel and skylines.

Life Signs has spent time this year on other quiet contradictions in the natural world — honey that stays edible for three thousand years because of the chemistry of its own preservation, or sharks that will not breed until the 22nd century. The desert-sand paradox belongs on the same shelf. The material that seems most abundant is exactly the material that will not do the job, because the process that piled it up is the process that ruined it.

The bulk carriers keep coming. Ships loaded in Fremantle and Grangemouth cross into Dammam and Jeddah, offload sand that spent geological ages tumbling in rivers or sitting in a quarry, and the sand is poured into towers rising a few kilometres from dunes 250 metres tall. Somewhere in the Empty Quarter tonight, wind is rolling another grain half a millimetre across the crest of a dune, wearing off another atomic layer, making it that much smoother, and that much more useless for the city being built next door.

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Voyager 1 is down to two working science instruments, and the fix that just bought its twin, Voyager 2, another year of power is now being tested on a probe NASA says no longer behaves quite like its sibling

Artist concept of a Voyager spacecraft against a starfield

Voyager 1’s power test came back at the end of July, and by Kareem Badaruddin’s own account it went about as well as an engineer could hope. Badaruddin is the Voyager project manager at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and what he’s describing is the early stage of an attempt to do for Voyager 1 what a nearly identical procedure just did for its twin, Voyager 2: buy a dying power supply another year of science, on a spacecraft nobody can reach, touch, or send a spare part to.

I wrote a while back about the sliver of plutonium that’s kept both Voyagers running for close to half a century, and this is really that same story arriving at its next decision point. Voyager 1 needs the fix worse than Voyager 2 did. It has less power in reserve, it’s already lost more of its original instruments, and in February this year it came close to tripping its own emergency shutdown during a routine manoeuvre. Whether the fix behaves the same way on Voyager 1 as it did on Voyager 2 is, as of this week, still an open question, and NASA’s own engineers have said they’re not entirely sure of the answer.

A tighter margin than its twin ever had

Voyager 1 currently has two working science instruments left: a magnetometer and a plasma wave subsystem. Voyager 2 has three. Both spacecraft launched in 1977 with ten identical instrument sets, mostly built for flybys of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune that wrapped up decades ago, and both have been shedding instruments ever since, in an order the mission’s engineers settled on years in advance.

Voyager 1’s most recent loss came in April, when NASA switched off its Low-energy Charged Particles experiment, the instrument that had measured ions, electrons and cosmic rays almost continuously since launch. The shutdown wasn’t part of the planned sequence running ahead of schedule. It was prompted by an unexpected power dip during a roll manoeuvre on 27 February, one that brought Voyager 1 close enough to its automatic undervoltage fault protection that engineers chose to retire the instrument rather than risk a shutdown they hadn’t chosen themselves. A small motor inside the instrument, using half a watt, was deliberately left running, specifically so the whole thing could be switched back on if the power situation ever improved.

The same design, a different spacecraft

The fix both probes are attempting is nicknamed the Big Bang inside the mission, and the name refers to how it’s done rather than what it does. Rather than switching off one low-priority load at a time, engineers turn off several ageing devices at once, tape recorders and heaters that had been drawing power for decades, and replace them in the same moment with lower-power alternatives, all while keeping the spacecraft’s electronics above the temperature at which they’d fail for good. On Voyager 2, the swap went ahead in July and freed up close to ten watts a year, enough to keep its three remaining instruments running for at least another year.

Voyager 1 is next, and this is the part I find genuinely interesting rather than just procedurally interesting. Badaruddin has said plainly that although the two spacecraft were built to the same design, the team has observed real differences between them after forty-nine years of separate flight. That’s not a small caveat. It means a fix that worked cleanly on one twin isn’t guaranteed to work the same way on the other, even though the hardware started out identical. Voyager 1 is also farther out, more than 25 billion kilometres from Earth compared with Voyager 2’s roughly 21 billion, which means a command takes close to a day to arrive and just as long for confirmation to come back.

What the next few weeks decide

The power test Voyager 1 passed at the end of July checked whether the swap would draw more electricity than expected. The next hurdle is a thermal test, provisionally scheduled for the end of August, which checks whether the spacecraft’s temperature holds inside safe limits once the swap is made, since a heater or an electronic component that drops too cold in interstellar space doesn’t recover. If that goes well, the actual implementation on Voyager 1 follows, on the same cautious timeline that governs everything the mission does now, where a single command takes close to a day just to arrive.

There’s a genuinely hopeful detail sitting at the end of all this. If the fix frees up enough power on Voyager 1, NASA has said there’s a real chance the Low-energy Charged Particles experiment could be switched back on, not replaced, the same physical instrument, resuming measurements it’s been taking since 1977. I don’t want to overstate that. It depends on results NASA hasn’t published yet, and the agency has been careful not to promise it. But it’s the kind of small reversal that doesn’t happen often in a mission that has otherwise been a long, one-way process of turning things off.

What I’d watch next

Two dates sit ahead of each other on the calendar. The thermal test is due by the end of this month, and Voyager 1 is separately expected to cross one light-day from Earth in mid-November, a distance at which a signal travelling at the speed of light takes a full day to arrive. Neither date guarantees anything about the other. But together they’re a reasonable way to think about where this mission actually is: still capable of a genuine engineering surprise, still adding distance every second, and still, forty-nine years on, being managed one careful decision at a time by people who can’t see it, can’t touch it, and have learned to work within that.

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In 1868, French astronomer Pierre Janssen pointed a spectroscope at a solar eclipse in India and saw a yellow line that matched no known element on Earth, and the gas he identified in the Sun’s chromosphere — named helium, after helios — would not be found on this planet for another 27 years, when a Scottish chemist finally coaxed it from a lump of uranium ore

In 1868, French astronomer Pierre Janssen pointed a spectroscope at a solar eclipse in India and saw a yellow line that matched no known element on Earth, and the gas he identified in the Sun's chromosphere — named helium, after helios — would not be found on this planet for another 27 years, when a Scottish chemist finally coaxed it from a lump of uranium ore

On 18 August 1868, a French astronomer named Pierre Janssen stood in Guntur, on the eastern coast of India, and watched the Moon slide across the Sun. Totality ran for roughly six minutes, an exceptionally long window by the standards of eclipse work. He pointed a spectroscope at a solar prominence — one of those enormous loops of glowing gas that arc off the Sun’s edge — and split its light into a rainbow of thin coloured lines. Among them was a bright yellow line at 587.5 nanometres that matched nothing in any laboratory on Earth.

The gas that produced that line would not be isolated on this planet for another 27 years.

When it finally was — coaxed from a lump of uranium ore by a Scottish chemist named William Ramsay in 1895 — it was named for the place where it had first been seen. Helios. The Sun. Helium is the only element on the periodic table first discovered somewhere other than Earth.

1868 solar eclipse spectroscope

What Janssen actually saw

The instrument Janssen carried to Guntur was a spectroscope — a prism, essentially, mounted so that sunlight passing through it fanned out into a spectrum. Nine years earlier, the German physicist Gustav Kirchhoff, working with the chemist Robert Bunsen, had shown that each element, when heated, emits light at its own signature set of wavelengths. Sodium glows a particular yellow. Hydrogen glows a particular red. If you could split the light of a distant object and read the pattern, you could read its chemistry.

Astronomers had been waiting for a total eclipse to try this on the Sun. The corona and the pink prominences at the Sun’s edge are normally drowned out by the glare of the disk. Only when the Moon covers that disk do they become visible, and on most eclipse days that window is two or three minutes at best.

Janssen got six. In the spectrum of a solar prominence he saw a bright yellow line sitting near, but not quite on, the familiar sodium doublet. According to the account preserved by Science Friday, the line was so bright that Janssen suspected it might be observable in ordinary daylight, without waiting for another eclipse.

He was right, and he did not wait long to prove it. By ten o’clock the next morning, 19 August 1868, he was observing prominences against the undarkened Sun, using the spectroscope alone to isolate their light from the glare — a result documented in Françoise Launay’s study of the Guntoor observations in the Journal of Astronomical History and Heritage.

The Englishman who arrived at the same line

Five thousand miles away in England, Joseph Norman Lockyer had been working on the same problem — how to see prominences without an eclipse — and had arrived at the same technique independently. On 20 October 1868, two months after Janssen’s observations in India, Lockyer saw the same yellow line in ordinary daylight.

Both men’s reports reached the French Academy of Sciences on the same day. The Academy struck a commemorative medal carrying both their profiles, with Apollo’s chariot crossing the face of the Sun.

Lockyer went further than Janssen in one respect. After failing, with the chemist Edward Frankland, to reproduce the line in the laboratory, he proposed that it came from an element that did not exist — or had not yet been found — on Earth. He gave it a name: helium, from helios, the Greek word for the Sun.

Naming an element on the basis of a single unexplained line was audacious, and Lockyer knew it. In print he mostly called the line D3, after its position beside the sodium D1 and D2 lines. For the next quarter century, plenty of chemists refused to accept there was an element behind it at all.

solar prominence chromosphere

Why chemists would not accept it

The problem was not that Lockyer’s spectroscopy was wrong. The problem was that no one could put the gas on a bench.

Nineteenth-century chemistry was built on samples you could weigh, dissolve, heat, and combine. An element you could only see in the light of a body 150 million kilometres away was, to many working chemists, not really an element at all. It was a line. The line might belong to some familiar element behaving strangely at high temperature. It might belong to something in the Earth’s atmosphere that the light had passed through on its way to the spectroscope. It might belong to an instrumental artefact.

The 27-year figure also flattens a middle chapter. As Space Daily has noted in its account of the gap between helium’s detection and its terrestrial isolation, the Italian physicist Luigi Palmieri recorded the same 587.5-nanometre line in Vesuvian lava in 1882. That was the first sighting of helium in earthly material. What nobody had, for another thirteen years, was the gas itself.

Janssen, meanwhile, kept chasing eclipses. In 1870, hoping to observe totality from Algeria while Paris was under siege in the Franco-Prussian War, he escaped the city by balloon. Clouds obscured his view.

The uranium ore that finally settled it

The gas came out of a rock.

In 1895, in London, William Ramsay was hunting for argon in minerals when he turned to cleveite, a variety of uraninite that released an unknown gas when treated with acid. An American chemist, William Francis Hillebrand, had already noticed the gas a few years earlier and taken it for nitrogen. Ramsay ran it through a spectroscope.

There was the yellow line.

Ramsay sent a sample to Lockyer for confirmation. Lockyer wrote of watching the discharge tube light up: “When I received it from him, the glorious yellow effulgence of the capillary, while the current was passing, was a sight to see.” The element named for the Sun had been sitting inside a lump of ore dug out of a Norwegian mine.

What Ramsay was really seeing, though no one at the time understood it in these terms, was radioactive decay. Uranium and thorium atoms in the Earth’s crust break down slowly over hundreds of millions of years, and one product of that decay is an alpha particle — which, once it captures a pair of electrons, is a helium atom. The helium in Ramsay’s flask had been accumulating in the ore since the rock formed.

The sequence that followed rearranged the periodic table, though helium was not the element that cracked it open. Argon came first: Ramsay and Lord Rayleigh announced it in August 1894, and it fit nowhere in Mendeleev’s 1869 chart. Helium, isolated seven months later, told Ramsay that argon was not an anomaly but the second member of a family. Working with Morris Travers, he pulled neon, krypton and xenon out of liquefied air in the summer of 1898, and took the 1904 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for the whole column.

The chemistry of a solitary yellow line in an Indian sky turned out to be the chemistry of an entire family of elements no one had suspected existed.

Why helium was hiding on Earth

Helium is the second most abundant element in the universe — roughly 24% of ordinary matter by mass, behind hydrogen’s 75%. Almost everything else, from the iron in blood to the oxygen in the air, makes up the remaining one to two per cent.

On Earth it is vanishingly rare. Helium makes up about 5 parts per million of the atmosphere, roughly 0.0005%. The reason is gravity. Helium atoms are so light and so fast that in the thin upper atmosphere a steady fraction of them exceed escape velocity and drift off into space. The Earth cannot hold on to them.

What helium exists here is trapped underground, produced by the same radioactive decay that filled Ramsay’s flask and captured in the same geological formations that trap natural gas. Nearly all commercial helium is separated from that gas, a by-product of drilling for methane. The United States, Qatar, Algeria and Russia dominate supply, and the chain is brittle: when Qatar was blockaded in 2017, laboratories and hospitals began running down stocks within weeks.

The strange thing about the element named for the Sun is that most of what modern civilisation uses it for happens near absolute zero. Liquid helium boils at 4.2 kelvin, about −269°C, lower than any other substance. That makes it the only practical coolant for the superconducting magnets inside MRI scanners, NMR spectrometers, and particle accelerators like the Large Hadron Collider. A conventional hospital MRI holds somewhere between 1,500 and 1,700 litres of liquid helium in a cryostat wrapped around its main magnet. Let the magnet warm and it loses superconductivity, and the machine stops working.

Spacecraft use it too. Rocket engines are purged with helium before and after firing to clear residual fuel and oxidiser, and liquid hydrogen tanks are pressurised with it. The Saturn V used helium to pressurise the tanks that carried Apollo to the Moon. SpaceX’s Falcon 9 uses helium for the same job, stored in composite overwrapped pressure vessels; the failure of one such vessel inside the second-stage liquid oxygen tank destroyed a Falcon 9 and the Amos-6 satellite on the pad at Cape Canaveral on 1 September 2016, during propellant loading ahead of a static fire test.

Balloons are the least of it.

The eclipse legacy

Janssen’s 1868 observation began a tradition. Total solar eclipses became laboratories. In 1919, British teams organised by Frank Watson Dyson and Arthur Eddington photographed stars near the eclipsed Sun from two sites, Príncipe off West Africa and Sobral in Brazil, and measured the deflection of their light by the Sun’s gravity. The error bars were wide and the precise confirmation would take decades more, but the result supported Einstein’s general theory of relativity and made him a public figure almost overnight.

The son of Norman Lockyer, W. J. S. Lockyer, was quoted in The New York Times after the 1919 result, dismissing its practical importance: the discoveries, he said, did not personally concern ordinary human beings, and only astronomers were affected. General relativity is now the correction that keeps GPS satellites accurate. Every smartphone navigation fix depends on it.

Eclipses had produced, within a fifty-year span, a new element and a new theory of gravity. And the technique Janssen used — splitting the light of a distant object to read its chemistry — is now the backbone of astronomy. Every exoplanet atmosphere characterised by the James Webb Space Telescope, every distant quasar analysed for its composition, every star sorted by spectral type, is being read by the method he pointed at a solar prominence in Guntur.

The gas he identified is now leaking, atom by atom, out of the Earth’s atmosphere and back into space. Some of it drifted up from balloons at children’s birthdays. Some of it boiled off from MRI machines in hospital basements. Some of it vented from rocket pads at Cape Canaveral. All of it is going the same place — up, and out, and eventually back toward the Sun that gave it its name.

The post In 1868, French astronomer Pierre Janssen pointed a spectroscope at a solar eclipse in India and saw a yellow line that matched no known element on Earth, and the gas he identified in the Sun’s chromosphere — named helium, after helios — would not be found on this planet for another 27 years, when a Scottish chemist finally coaxed it from a lump of uranium ore appeared first on Space Daily.

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Some of the loneliest people in their fifties aren’t the ones without partners or children, they’re the ones surrounded by people who only know the version of them that shows up when everyone else needs something

Some of the loneliest people in their fifties aren't the ones without partners or children, they're the ones surrounded by people who only know the version of them that shows up when everyone else needs something

The people most likely to describe themselves as lonely in midlife surveys are often the ones with the fullest calendars. They have adult children who call on birthdays, colleagues who invite them to dinners, a spouse who has slept beside them for twenty-five years, and a phone that lights up all day with requests. And still, when the house goes quiet, something feels missing in a way that partnership and parenthood were supposed to have solved.

The loneliness of the useful person is a specific kind. It doesn’t announce itself as absence. It shows up as a low, background hum of not-quite-being-met, even in rooms full of people who love you.

The version of you that gets invited

By the time most people reach their fifties, they have accumulated decades of evidence about which parts of themselves the world rewards. The competent one. The calm one. The fixer. The listener who never quite becomes the one being listened to. The parent who solves logistics for three generations at once. Each role, taken alone, is fine. Stacked over thirty years, they harden into something else: a public self so well-practised that the private self starts to feel like a stranger even to its owner.

Loneliness is not simply about being alone; it is the perceived gap between the connection you want and the connection you have. It is about being unknown while surrounded.

The person in their fifties who is celebrated as reliable, capable, or endlessly generous is often the person whose inner weather nobody has asked about in years. Their usefulness is what gets invited into rooms. Their interior does not.

How instrumental relationships quietly replace intimate ones

Relationships fall on a rough spectrum. On one end are instrumental relationships, built around what a person does or provides. On the other are expressive relationships, where the point of the relationship is the person themselves. Most social lives contain both. The trouble starts when the ratio tips, slowly, over decades, until nearly every relationship a person has is instrumental in some way.

A woman in her fifties may have twelve people who call her regularly. Her mother needs help with medical appointments. Her adult son needs a co-signer. Her boss needs the report by Friday. Her husband needs her to remember his sister’s birthday. Her friend needs to vent about her divorce. None of these people are villains. Each of them loves her, in the way people love a reliable source. But not one of them, on any given Tuesday, is calling to ask how she actually is and then waiting for the real answer.

The pattern is not new, but its recognition is recent. In caregiving populations, a specific phenomenon has emerged: social alienation, distinct from loneliness, in which a person’s role so completely defines their contact with others that the person underneath the role disappears from view. A 2025 study of caregivers of stroke patients in China found that caregivers experience high levels of social alienation, with living arrangements, caregiving burden, and loneliness all significantly predicting the depth of that alienation. The caregivers weren’t isolated in the ordinary sense. They were embedded in family. They were simply no longer being met as themselves.

Why the fifties are the decade this bill comes due

Several life stages converge in the fifties in ways that intensify the useful-person trap. Parents are aging and often need active help. Adult children are launching, or failing to launch, and either state generates demands. Careers reach the phase where seniority means being the person others come to. Marriages, if they have lasted this long, have often settled into a division of labour where each partner handles a fixed set of tasks and stops asking the other about anything outside that division.

The result is a person whose days are structured almost entirely around what other people need from them. There is nothing wrong with any single demand. There is something quietly corrosive about the cumulative one.

Grandparent caregiving offers a useful case. A scoping review of grandchild caregiving and depression found mixed effects, with the relationship between caring for grandchildren and mood depending heavily on whether the grandparent felt they had chosen the role or been assigned it, and on how much of their identity remained outside it. The finding that matters here is simple: the same activity can be nourishing or depleting depending on whether the person doing it feels seen inside it.

The tell, the childhood pattern, and what being met actually requires

There is a small experiment worth trying, though it is not really an experiment. Ask a person in their fifties, in a moment of genuine attention, what they have been thinking about lately. Not what they have been doing. What they have been thinking about.

The pause tends to be long. Often the first answer is a logistical update, because logistics is the language most of their relationships operate in. If you wait past the logistics, something else usually surfaces: an old regret they have not spoken aloud in a decade, a fear about a parent, a question about whether the second half of life is going to feel any different from the first. The material is right there, close to the surface. It has simply not been invited out in a long time.

In a recent piece on the lie of omission, Space Daily explored how people can spend years telling only the safe true things about themselves, until friendships of a decade contain nothing that would let either person recognise the other in a crisis. The useful person’s loneliness is often built out of exactly this material. Every conversation was pleasant. Every conversation was true. None of them touched the parts that most needed touching.

Not every fifty-something who ends up in this position started in the same place, but a striking number of them describe a common childhood: they were the calm one, the one who did not add to their parents’ load, the one whose emotional needs got quietly filed under “can wait.” They learned early that being low-maintenance was rewarded and being needy was expensive.

Building on attachment theory, the babies in Mary Ainsworth’s Strange Situation study who looked most composed when left alone were the ones whose heart rates were racing the entire time. Their calm was a strategy, not a state. John Bowlby, who built attachment theory in the 1950s, argued that the undemanding child is often the one who learned that asking for less kept the peace. Those children grow up to become spouses who rarely voice needs, managers who remain calm under pressure, and parents who carry burdens silently.

Emotional intimacy, in the clinical literature, is not the same as time spent together or affection expressed. It is the specific experience of being known and having that knowledge received without correction. Research on emotional intimacy suggests it requires three ingredients most useful people have quietly starved themselves of: undistracted time, a willingness to redefine intimacy on the participants’ own terms, and treating vulnerability as strength rather than as a tax on the relationship.

The trouble for the fifty-something who has been useful for decades is that vulnerability has been coded, in their nervous system, as burden. Sharing an actual worry feels like adding to someone else’s plate. Answering “how are you” with anything other than “good, you?” feels like an imposition. The muscle for being known has atrophied from disuse, and rebuilding it feels awkward, embarrassing, sometimes physically uncomfortable.

Why AI companions are not the answer, and the modest fix

The commercial response to midlife loneliness has been swift and lucrative. Chatbot companions are now used by hundreds of millions of people globally. The appeal, especially for the useful person, is obvious. A chatbot never needs anything back. It listens without waiting for its turn. It never has a bad week that overrides yours.

But Stanford researchers who analysed conversations from more than 1,000 users of Character.AI found the opposite of relief. People with smaller in-person social networks who used chatbots intensely reported worse well-being, not better, and those who shared the most sensitive personal information with the bots scored lowest of all. Researchers found that using chatbots to fulfill social needs does not substitute for human connection, according to the study. The researchers noted that AI companions are designed primarily to keep users engaged rather than to meet genuine social needs.

The researchers described what the bots offer as brief, unsatisfying interactions—like junk food for the social appetite. Filling in the moment, hollow by the next morning. For a person who has spent decades being the one everyone else confides in, a chatbot that finally listens can feel like a discovery. It is not one. It is a mirror that has been polished to reflect back whatever the user brings, which is the exact opposite of being met by a different mind.

There is a well-known finding in social psychology that two strangers can generate deep mutual closeness in under an hour by working through a specific series of escalating questions. Arthur Aron’s 1997 study on the 36 questions found that the pairs who completed the full protocol reported feeling closer to each other than many people feel to their oldest friends. The mechanism was not chemistry. It was structured, mutual, escalating disclosure.

The finding is often cited as a hopeful one, and it is. But it also contains a quiet indictment. If two strangers with a list of questions can generate more felt closeness in ninety minutes than a fifty-something feels with the people they have shared a house or an office with for twenty years, the problem is not a lack of available connection. The problem is that most long-standing relationships never renegotiate their scripts after the scripts get set. Whatever role a person was assigned at the beginning is the role they are still playing, three decades in.

The interventions that actually change this pattern are almost insultingly modest. They involve saying, out loud, to one person, one true thing that would not normally get said. They involve answering “how are you” with an actual sentence about an actual state, not once as a stunt, but as a slow policy change. They involve letting a friend see the version of you that is tired, unsure, or angry at someone you’re supposed to love.

They involve, most uncomfortably, tolerating the pause when the other person doesn’t know what to do with the real answer. Because they won’t, at first. They have been in a relationship with the useful version of you for years, and the useful version is who they came to see.

Some of those relationships will adjust. The person on the other end will lean in, relieved that the pretence is finally dropping. Others won’t. They will keep asking the useful version to show up, and the choice about how much of your time to give those relationships is a choice you get to make, possibly for the first time.

A recent Human Element piece on people who downsize their lives in their sixties looked at exactly this reallocation, the way people begin, later than they wish they had, to notice which parts of their life were costing them without earning their keep. The relationships that only wanted the useful version fall into that category more often than people expect.

older woman thinking window

Who this loneliness looks like from the outside

The person in their fifties who fits this description is often the last person a casual observer would identify as lonely. They have a partner. They have children who love them. They have a job that respects them and a phone that never stops. They are, by every visible metric, connected.

They are also, in the quiet hour after everyone else has gone to bed, aware of a specific ache that partnership and parenthood were supposed to have eliminated. The ache is not for more people. It is for the experience of being asked a real question by someone willing to hear a real answer, and for the strange, slightly frightening recognition that the version of themselves that would give that answer has not been out of the house in a long time.

two friends deep conversation

Loneliness in midlife is not always a problem of scarcity. Sometimes it is a problem of composition. A life full of people who only know the useful version of you is a life in which the rest of you is still waiting to be met, and the waiting gets heavier the longer it goes on. The relief, when it comes, tends to arrive through the smallest door: one honest answer, given to one person, on one ordinary afternoon.

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Quote by Carl Jung: The most terrifying thing is to accept oneself completely

Quote by Carl Jung: The most terrifying thing is to accept oneself completely

The Jung line about self-acceptance being the most terrifying task circulates so often on social media that it has almost lost its edge, and yet the moment you sit with it honestly, really sit with it, past the coffee-mug aesthetic, you notice something uncomfortable. The sentence is not asking you to love yourself. It is asking you to stop editing.

That distinction matters. Loving yourself is a project. Accepting yourself is a surrender.

One flatters the ego. The other dismantles it.

person looking in mirror

What Jung actually seems to have meant

The line, in the version that circulates most widely, reads: the most terrifying thing is to accept oneself completely. It moves through quote collections and social feeds largely without a citation attached, which is part of why it travels so easily.

Jung is also the psychiatrist people reach for when something has broken. In July 2025, days after news of his separation from Katy Perry, Orlando Bloom posted a screenshot of an article about Jung to his Instagram Stories, highlighting the line about loneliness coming not from having nobody around you but from being unable to say the things that seem important to you.

Bloom is not unusual in reaching for Jung during a period of upheaval. People tend to find the Swiss psychiatrist when the usual self-improvement scripts stop working.

The reason is structural. Most advice tells you to become better. Jung suggested you first stop pretending you are not who you already are.

Why acceptance feels worse than change

Change gives the mind something to do. There is a plan, a target weight, a new job, a version of yourself twelve months out who will finally be acceptable to you.

Acceptance offers none of that. It asks you to look at the envy, the small cruelties, the parts of yourself you have hidden even from your closest friends, and to say: yes, that is also me.

Alli Spotts-De Lazzer, a licensed therapist writing in Psychology Today, has argued that self-acceptance may matter more than high self-esteem for living a contented life. Her point is about the scoring system. Self-esteem depends on evidence: grades, promotions, praise. Self-acceptance does not require the evidence to be flattering.

That is why it is harder. There is no scorecard.

The parts we refuse to claim

Jung’s term for the disowned material was the shadow. He meant the qualities a person cannot bear to see in themselves and therefore projects outward, onto a spouse, a colleague, a political opponent, a stranger on the internet.

You can spot your own shadow by noticing what enrages you disproportionately in other people. The trait you find unforgivable in a coworker is often the trait you have most carefully denied in yourself.

This is why acceptance terrifies. To accept yourself completely means retrieving those projections. It means admitting that the person you have been criticising is, in some measurable way, a mirror.

Loneliness and the unspoken self

Jung linked the refusal of self-acceptance to a specific kind of loneliness. Not the loneliness of empty rooms, but the loneliness of unsaid things, the idea that isolation grows sharpest when you cannot say what actually matters to you.

A person who has not accepted themselves cannot communicate themselves. They can only communicate the acceptable version.

Everyone in their life is talking to a spokesperson.

Over time, this produces a strange grief: being surrounded by people who love a curated character, while the actual self stands quietly behind the curtain, unwitnessed.

The research that backs Jung’s instinct

Contemporary psychology has been slowly circling what Jung intuited a century ago. A 2025 study in Frontiers in Psychology, led by Yuting Li and colleagues at Shanxi Medical University, followed university students across two measurement points six months apart and found that self-esteem fully mediated the relationship between self-acceptance and prosocial behaviour. Self-acceptance did not push people toward kindness directly. It did so by changing how they held themselves, and that shift carried the entire effect.

The sample was narrow, medical students at a single Chinese university, with a heavy gender imbalance the authors flag themselves. It is a suggestive finding rather than a settled law. But the direction is the interesting part.

The mechanism makes sense. If you are not spending psychic energy hiding from your own contradictions, you have more energy available for someone else’s.

The reverse also holds. People who cannot bear their own flaws may struggle to tolerate the flaws of others. Judgment turns outward when it cannot be metabolised inward.

This is the quiet cost of refusing Jung’s task. Not misery, exactly. Just a permanent low-grade grievance with the world.

Why growth requires acceptance first

There is a common misreading of Jung that treats acceptance as resignation, as giving up on becoming better. The research points the other way. Susan Krauss Whitbourne, professor emerita of psychological and brain sciences at the University of Massachusetts Amherst, has argued that the path toward self-growth is paved with self-acceptance rather than blocked by it. Reviewing a set of University of Zurich intervention studies that pitted self-improvement against self-acceptance, she notes that both produced similar gains in wellbeing, and that trying and failing to change can generate its own trouble, what those authors call false hope syndrome.

The reason is practical. You cannot change something you refuse to look at.

Denial keeps a trait frozen in place. Acceptance thaws it enough to work with.

People who try to become better without first accepting who they are tend to build a shinier surface over the same underlying pattern. The behaviour changes. The compulsion driving it does not.

quiet moment alone

The mechanism of the fear

Why is this so terrifying? Because complete acceptance dissolves the story you have been running about who you are.

Most identities are constructed by exclusion. You know who you are partly by knowing what you are not. The moment you accept that the excluded traits are also yours, the identity loses its clean edges.

That is disorienting in a specific way. It is not despair. It is closer to vertigo.

Jung believed this vertigo was the entry point to genuine individuation, the process of becoming an actual person rather than a bundle of inherited roles.

The face you have not met

There is a small experiment that gets at Jung’s point without any theory. Look at an unreversed photograph of yourself, not a mirror image, but the version everyone else sees. Most people find it slightly wrong, slightly stranger than expected.

The person the world knows is not quite the person you have been looking at.

Acceptance works similarly. The self you have been curating is a reversed image. The self other people encounter, and the self that lives underneath, is closer to the real thing.

Meeting it feels like meeting a stranger.

What acceptance is not

It is worth being precise. Accepting yourself completely does not mean approving of everything you do. It does not mean abandoning ethics or discipline.

It means refusing to lie about what is there.

A person who accepts that they have a temper can work on the temper. A person who insists they do not have one will keep being surprised by their own outbursts.

Acceptance is honesty about what is actually present. Nothing more, nothing less.

The everyday texture of the task

Most people do not confront Jung’s terrifying task in a single dramatic session. It arrives in small increments: a midlife morning when the ambition you have been performing suddenly feels borrowed, a conversation with an adult child where you notice you have been playing a role for twenty years, a health scare that reorders what you say you care about.

The pattern is similar. A person stops pretending certain things matter to them, and the external life reorganises around the admission.

That is Jung’s task in domestic form. Not a breakdown. A quiet subtraction of what was never really yours.

Why it stays terrifying

Even people who have done years of work on themselves report that acceptance keeps arriving in new layers. There is always another disowned piece.

The envy you thought you had processed returns in a new form. The old grievance you believed you had released surfaces during a family dinner. The version of yourself you thought you had left behind reappears under stress.

Jung was not describing a one-time event. He was describing a lifelong posture.

The terror is not that acceptance is difficult once. It is that it is difficult continually, and that most people, at some point, decide they would rather manage the surface than face what is underneath it.

The quiet reward

People who do keep at it tend to describe a specific change, and it is not happiness in the ordinary sense. Acceptance is not a mood. It is a lowered resistance.

The people who have done this work are not conspicuously cheerful. They are just harder to destabilise.

Criticism does not shatter them, because they already know what is true about themselves. Flattery does not inflate them, for the same reason.

They have become, in Jung’s sense, actual. And the terrifying thing turns out to have been the doorway, not the destination.

Where to start, if you want to

There is no clean method. But there is a first question that tends to open the door: what do you find most unforgivable in other people?

Sit with the answer for a week. Do not defend yourself against it. Do not rush to conclude anything.

Notice, quietly, where that quality also lives in you.

That is the beginning of the task Jung called the most terrifying. Not because the material is horrifying, since most of it is ordinary human stuff. But because meeting it, without flinching, changes who you take yourself to be.

Which is, in the end, the only thing worth changing.

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The Greenland shark grows about one centimetre per year and does not reach sexual maturity until roughly age 150, meaning the pups being born in the North Atlantic this year will not breed until the 22nd century

The Greenland shark grows about one centimetre per year and does not reach sexual maturity until roughly age 150, meaning the pups being born in the North Atlantic this year will not breed until the 22nd century

The Greenland shark, Somniosus microcephalus, grows at roughly one centimetre a year and does not reach sexual maturity until it is about 150 years old. That figure comes from a 2016 study in Science led by Julius Nielsen at the University of Copenhagen, which radiocarbon-dated the eye lenses of 28 female sharks caught as bycatch in the North Atlantic. A pup born in the cold water off Baffin Island this August will not be old enough to breed until sometime in the 2170s.

Read that sentence again. The pup’s first mating season will arrive more than a century and a half from now.

Greenland shark swimming

What the number actually means

One centimetre a year is a rate of growth so slow it barely registers on any human timescale. A shark that is 400 centimetres long — about the length of a small car — has been adding tissue at that pace since roughly the reign of Louis XV. The 2016 study found that the two largest sharks in the sample, at 493 and 502 centimetres, were estimated at around 335 and 392 years old.

The species’ average lifespan sits somewhere near 272 years. Individuals can plausibly push past 400. Only the ocean quahog clam, Arctica islandica, is known to live longer.

The one-centimetre figure is not a laboratory measurement in the usual sense. It is a rate inferred from recaptured sharks and from back-calculation against the radiocarbon ages of the eye lenses. One tagged Greenland shark has been documented growing only a small amount over more than a decade, which tells you something about why the biology of this animal has been so hard to pin down.

How you date a shark that has no growth rings

Most sharks can be aged by counting bands in their vertebrae, the way a forester reads a tree stump. Greenland sharks cannot. Their vertebrae are too soft and lay down no legible record.

So Nielsen’s team turned to the eye. The lens of a vertebrate eye grows in transparent layers throughout life, and the innermost tissue — the nucleus — is laid down before birth and never replaced. If you can extract that pre-natal tissue and measure its carbon-14 signature, you can locate roughly when the animal was born against the known atmospheric carbon record.

The technique works particularly well for sharks born after the mid-1950s because atmospheric nuclear weapons testing dumped a spike of carbon-14 into the environment. That spike, sometimes called the bomb pulse, shows up in the eye lenses of younger sharks and gives researchers a firm calibration point. Older animals sit below the pulse and their ages come with wider uncertainty bars — the oldest shark in the study was placed, with 95 percent certainty, somewhere between 272 and 512 years old.

That range is not a failure of the method. It is the honest shape of what radiocarbon dating can and cannot tell you about a creature that was alive before industrial carbon began skewing the atmosphere.

Why sexual maturity at 150 changes everything

Late maturity is the part of the story that reshapes how the species should be managed. A Greenland shark pup born in 2026 will spend its entire first century-and-a-half without contributing a single offspring to the population. If it dies at 140, it dies without ever having bred.

Compare that with smaller fish species that can mature in one to two years, or other shark species that mature within decades. Even other long-lived marine mammals reach sexual maturity far earlier in their lifespans.

For the Greenland shark, the reproductive clock runs on a scale that predates most nations. Any pressure on adult numbers — bycatch, warming, pollution — takes an unusually long time to show up in the population, and an even longer time to reverse. The slow replacement rate makes population recovery particularly challenging.

The animals a Greenland shark outlives

A shark born in the year the Great Fire of London burned would be about 360 today. One born the year Newton published the Principia in 1687 would be 339. A pup swimming under the ice off Svalbard right now will still be growing, if it survives, when the great-grandchildren of everyone reading this are old.

The shark shares this deep-time company with a small number of other animals that have taught biologists to distrust human intuitions about aging. Other long-lived species in cold northern waters provide similar insights into extreme longevity.

The Greenland shark is a different case. It ages, it slows, it eventually dies. It just does all of this at a rate that makes the human life-cycle look like a mayfly’s.

Arctic sea ice

What the cold has to do with it

Greenland sharks live in water between minus 2 and 7 degrees Celsius, at depths that can reach 7,200 feet. They are extremely slow swimmers, moving at a pace that allows prey like seals to easily outpace them, and their tissues are laced with compounds that behave like antifreeze.

Cold and slow are the two variables that keep coming up in animals that live for centuries. Cold probably plays a role in extreme vertebrate longevity but is unlikely to be the whole story. Plenty of short-lived species share the same water.

Something else is going on inside those muscles. The Greenland shark’s cells have been contracting, dividing, and repairing themselves continuously since long before the theory of evolution was written down. Whatever biochemical maintenance keeps that machinery running is one of the more interesting open questions in the biology of aging.

What the study does not show

The 2016 Science paper sampled 28 females caught as bycatch. It did not sample males. It did not follow individuals across their lives — no one has, because no one lives long enough. The one-centimetre-per-year growth rate is an inference, and the 150-year figure for sexual maturity is estimated from the length at which females are first observed carrying developing pups, cross-referenced against the age-length relationship the eye-lens data produced.

That is the best evidence available. It is not the same as a longitudinal record. The upper age estimate of 392 years carries an uncertainty of roughly plus or minus 120 years, which is a window wider than the entire history of Australian federation.

The lower bound is the interesting number for conservation. Even at 272 years, the Greenland shark is the longest-lived vertebrate ever documented, and its late maturity is not in serious dispute.

What a 150-year adolescence looks like in practice

A female Greenland shark spends her first century-and-a-half in the dark, slow water of the North Atlantic and Arctic, eating what she can find. Stomach contents recorded by researchers have included fish, squid, and seals, along with occasional carrion.

She is often functionally blind, because a tiny crustacean parasite latches onto her cornea and scars it. This does not seem to inconvenience her much. In waters that dark, vision was never doing most of the work.

She grows a centimetre a year. She does not breed. She keeps moving.

By the time she reaches her 150th birthday, empires have risen and fallen at the surface. She is finally large enough to reproduce. If she is lucky, she has another 150 or 250 years ahead of her.

The Icelandic footnote

Greenland shark meat is toxic when fresh — concentrations of trimethylamine oxide and urea in the tissue can cause vomiting, disorientation, and convulsions, effects that Icelanders have traditionally associated with improperly prepared shark meat. The traditional preparation is to bury the flesh, let it ferment for weeks, then hang it to dry for months. The result, kæstur hákarl, is eaten in small cubes and has a reputation for being one of the more challenging foods on Earth.

Every cube of it is old. A single serving may contain tissue from an animal that was born before the founding of the United States.

The pups being born this year

Female Greenland sharks give birth to litters of around ten pups, each about 40 centimetres long. The pups drift down into the cold water and begin the slow work of adding a centimetre a year.

The ones being born this August will not breed until the 2170s. By then, the ice cover of the Arctic will look different, the shipping lanes will run through waters that are currently frozen, and whatever species is still tracking sharks with radiocarbon will be reading a bomb pulse that has faded further into the background carbon record.

The shark will still be growing. A centimetre a year, in the dark, under the ice, on a clock that does not care.

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In 1994, a bushwalker rappelling into a sandstone canyon 150 kilometres from Sydney found a stand of trees with waxy bubbled bark that matched fossils 90 million years old, and the Wollemi pine turned out to be a species everyone had assumed died with the dinosaurs

In 1994, a bushwalker rappelling into a sandstone canyon 150 kilometres from Sydney found a stand of trees with waxy bubbled bark that matched fossils 90 million years old, and the Wollemi pine turned out to be a species everyone had assumed died with the dinosaurs

Roughly 150 kilometres north-west of Sydney, at the bottom of a narrow sandstone canyon in Wollemi National Park, stands a grove of trees with bark like bubbling chocolate and needles arranged in flat sprays. A 2020 census counted 89 wild plants across four sites in a single canyon system. Forty-six of them were mature. That is the entire wild population of the species, worldwide.

In September 1994, a New South Wales National Parks and Wildlife Service field officer named David Noble abseiled into that canyon on a weekend bushwalk. He came out with a sprig of foliage he could not place. Nothing matching it had ever been described alive. The nearest thing in the record was fossil pollen, and the oldest of that pollen was laid down about 90 million years ago.

What Noble had was Wollemia nobilis, a conifer whose family had been reduced, across most of the planet, to impressions in rock.

Wollemi pine foliage

What Noble actually found

The canyon is one of hundreds cut into the sandstone tableland that spreads west from Sydney into the Blue Mountains and, further north, into the Wollemi wilderness. Most have never been walked. They are too narrow, too wet, too choked with ferns and fallen rock, and they only open up if you rope in from the rim.

Noble was an experienced canyoner who had explored hundreds of them. He stopped at the base of one drop, looked up at a stand of tall trees he did not recognise, snapped off a piece of foliage, and put it in his backpack. It was the bark that caught him first. The trunk surface of a mature Wollemi pine is knobbled and nodular, and the comparison that stuck in Australian coverage was Coco Pops. Speaking at the National Arboretum in Canberra two decades later, Noble made the point that the find turned on a coincidence of person and place. As The Canberra Times reported, he said it had to be the right person at the right time, because it is one thing to be out there canyoning and another to be paying attention to the flora while you are.

Back in Sydney, the sample defeated the standard keys. It matched nothing living. The tree was eventually described as a new species in a new genus in 1995 by three people: Wyn Jones, a National Parks naturalist; Jan Allen, a horticulturist at the Blue Mountains Botanic Garden; and Ken Hill, a botanist at the Royal Botanic Garden Sydney. The species name honours Noble.

The fossil link came from pollen rather than leaves. Grains almost identical to Wollemia pollen had been catalogued for decades under the name Dilwynites, recovered from oil-exploration cores across southern Australia and later from New Zealand, East Antarctica and Patagonia. The morphospecies that most closely resembles modern Wollemi pollen, Dilwynites granulatus, is traceable to the Turonian age of the Late Cretaceous, between 89.8 and 93.9 million years ago.

Nobody had known what plant produced it. The macrofossils were worse than useless, because Araucariaceae leaf and cone fragments are hard to tell apart and the Wollemia characters sit awkwardly between the two genera anyone had to compare them with. The pollen had a name. The tree did not.

Why the lineage was written off

The Araucariaceae are an ancient conifer family. Their close relatives, the monkey puzzles and Norfolk Island pines and kauris, were once widespread across Gondwana. Dilwynites pollen turns up in sediment laid down when Australia was still joined to Antarctica and both were still joined to South America.

Then the record thins. American Scientist traced the decline: the pollen peaked in abundance during the Paleocene and Eocene, then fell away steadily as the planet cooled and Australia drifted north into drier latitudes. The most recent known Dilwynites came out of two-million-year-old sediment beneath the floor of Bass Strait, between Tasmania and the mainland. That is the early Pleistocene. After it, nothing.

Two million years of silence is enough for any palaeobotanist to close the file, and the file stayed closed until 1994.

The technical term for what Noble found is a Lazarus taxon: a group known first from fossils, then found alive. The coelacanth, hauled up off East London in South Africa in 1938, is the famous marine example. The Wollemi pine is the botanical one, and the gap it closes is longer.

How forty-six trees survived when the rest of the family did not

The canyon that holds the wild grove is a specific kind of refuge. Deep, narrow, permanently shaded, fed by a creek. The walls block wind. The overhang blocks most of the direct sun. Temperature barely fluctuates across the year and the humidity stays high.

These are the conditions Australia’s east coast used to have across far more of its area. As the surrounding country turned into dry sclerophyll forest and in places semi-desert, most of the moisture-loving Cretaceous flora died back. A handful of tiny pockets, canyon floors and permanently damp gullies and cloud-catching mountain tops, kept the old conditions going.

The trees also have a trick. Wollemi pines coppice prolifically, throwing new trunks from a single below-ground root mass, with some individuals carrying more than forty stems. Individual trunks can pass 400 years. The root systems are far older. Genome resequencing published in 2023 found the population has been relictual since the last major glacial and drying period in Australia, around 120,000 years ago.

Fire is the standing threat. In January 2020, as the Gospers Mountain fire moved through Wollemi National Park, air tankers laid retardant ahead of the front and specialist remote-area firefighters were winched into the gorge by helicopter to set up an irrigation system that wet the ground fuels. Helicopters water-bucketed the fire edge as it closed. Around 90 per cent of the park burned. The grove came through it singed but alive.

sandstone canyon Blue Mountains

The classified coordinates

The exact location of the wild stand has never been made public. New South Wales treats it the way it treats sensitive infrastructure: need-to-know, restricted access, penalties for trespass. The National Parks and Wildlife Service kept the 2020 firefighting operation quiet for the same reason, and only described it publicly after the fire had passed.

The concern is not theft. It is pathogens, and the concern is no longer hypothetical. Phytophthora cinnamomi, a soil-borne water mould that colonises and kills root systems, was detected in the largest subpopulation in 2005, and a second species, Phytophthora multivora, in 2009. Both are thought to have arrived on the footwear, clothing or equipment of unauthorised visitors. Infected mature trees have shown extensive stem and canopy dieback, though none is known to have died outright.

Rangers and approved researchers now follow a decontamination protocol that would not be out of place in a biosecurity lab, and are flown in and out to avoid tracking material along an approach path. Seed has been harvested from the canopy by helicopter.

The other structural weakness is genetic. For two decades after the discovery, repeated surveys could find no variation at all between wild individuals. Then researchers at the Royal Botanic Garden Sydney and the University of New South Wales sequenced whole chloroplast genomes from 65 trees covering all four wild sites. They found three chloroplast lineages, one dominant and two rare. It was the first variation ever detected in the species. It also confirmed how little there is.

Why the tree is now on sale in garden centres

The counterintuitive part of the conservation strategy is commercial propagation. Cuttings from the wild trees were rooted, grown on, and licensed to nurseries. Wollemi pines are now sold as ornamental garden trees in Australia, the United Kingdom, Europe, North America and Japan, and a share of the proceeds funds the recovery program.

The logic is simple. Every backyard specimen is an insurance policy. If the wild grove burns or the Phytophthora spreads, the species does not go with it. The nursery line is genetically narrow, mostly cloned from a handful of parents, but it exists in the thousands.

The serious conservation work is a step beyond that. Because the nursery trees carry so little of the wild variation, the Botanic Gardens of Sydney built a genetically diverse living collection at the Australian Botanic Garden Mount Annan, then shipped more than 170 saplings abroad to seed a metacollection. Six went into the ground at Bedgebury National Pinetum in Kent in 2023, with the rest distributed to 28 botanic gardens across the UK and Europe, plus five Australian gardens and one in Atlanta.

On the thirtieth anniversary of the discovery in September 2024, a backup collection went in at the Blue Mountains Botanic Garden Mount Tomah, and translocated populations inside Wollemi National Park were topped up to more than 835 saplings. A wild population of 89. A cultivated and translocated population in the thousands.

What ninety million years actually looks like

Try to hold the timescale. When the oldest Dilwynites pollen was settling into Australian sediment, the Atlantic was still opening. Flowering plants were a relatively new evolutionary experiment. Tyrannosaurus rex would not appear for more than another 20 million years. Australia was attached to Antarctica, and both were attached to South America.

The lineage was already old then.

It survived the asteroid strike at the end of the Cretaceous, apparently in small refugia. It survived the drying of the continent through the Miocene. It survived every glacial cycle of the Pleistocene. It survived roughly 65,000 years of Aboriginal land management and two centuries of European botanical surveying that concluded it did not exist.

It survived because one canyon stayed wet.

Before 1994 the working assumption in Australian botany was that the continent’s flora had been surveyed thoroughly enough that no large, distinctive, unknown tree could still be standing. The grove sits about a two-hour drive from the country’s largest city. Aircraft had flown over it. Bushwalkers had passed within kilometres of it for a century. Nobody had looked down into the right canyon. An earlier Space Daily piece worked through the tension that follows: the species needs public attention to be funded, and the population needs public ignorance to be safe.

The grove is doing about what it was doing on the morning of Noble’s abseil, and what it was doing for the two million years before anyone arrived to describe it. The adult trunks are slowly adding rings. New stems are coming up off the same root masses. Cones drop. The creek runs. The overhang holds back the sun. Somewhere on a New South Wales government server the coordinates sit in a restricted file, and a few dozen people know them.

The rest of us can go and look at the cultivated ones, at Kew, at Bedgebury, at Mount Annan, in a suburban backyard in Adelaide. The bark still knobbles the way it did in the canyon. The needles still come off in flat sprays. The tree is still doing what it was doing when the pollen that would become its only record was drifting down into a Cretaceous seabed.

It just took someone with a rope to notice.

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More than three decades after the genocide, Rwanda has the highest share of women in a lower or single chamber of parliament of any country, and it is not close — 51 of 80 seats, 63.75%, against a global average of about 27%. The constitutional floor is 30%; women hold nearly half of the directly elected seats too

Women hold 51 of the 80 seats in Rwanda’s Chamber of Deputies. That works out to 63.75%, a figure the Inter-Parliamentary Union rounds to 63.8%.

In the IPU’s latest available ranking, Rwanda is first, ahead of Cuba at 57.2%. Around the world, women held 27.5% of national parliamentary seats as of 1 January 2026.

Rwanda isn’t narrowly ahead. It’s ahead by a distance.

The part that makes it interesting: the constitution doesn’t ask for anything like 63%. Rwanda’s constitution sets a floor of at least 30 per cent women in decision-making bodies. The country clears that floor by more than double, and keeps doing so, election after election. 

How the 51 seats break down

The Chamber has 80 seats, and they aren’t all filled the same way. Twenty-four are set aside for women, chosen by electoral colleges drawn from local government structures. Another 53 are elected by universal suffrage under proportional representation, while two seats are elected by the National Youth Council and one by the body representing people with disabilities. The 24 reserved seats are exactly 30% of the chamber.

That isn’t where women’s representation stops. In the 2024 election, the IPU recorded 25 women directly elected and 26 indirectly elected. The indirect group included the 24 reserved women, one of the two youth representatives and the representative of people with disabilities. So women won 25 of the 53 directly elected seats — nearly half — on top of the guaranteed 24.

This isn’t a fluke from one strong year. Women held 48.8% of seats after the 2003 election, 56.3% after 2008, 63.8% after 2013, 61.3% after 2018 and 63.8% after 2024. The total has moved around, but it has stayed far above the constitutional floor.

Where the 30% floor came from

To understand the floor, you have to go back to what produced it. The 1994 genocide against the Tutsi killed roughly 800,000 to a million people in roughly a hundred days. In its aftermath, many Rwandan women found themselves heading households, and women took on larger roles in political life. The 2003 Constitution wrote gender representation into the new political order.

The quota was not the only rule. A law on political organizations was later amended to require party lists to include at least 30% women candidates. 

Why the total keeps landing above the floor

Part of the answer is simple math. The reserved seats guarantee 24 women no matter what happens in the general vote. Any woman who wins one of the 53 directly elected seats is added on top of that base. More than two decades of women serving visibly in parliament also means female candidates are no novelty, while the closed-list proportional system gives parties substantial influence over who appears in electable positions.

But the number is also tied to Rwanda’s wider political system. A quota can guarantee a minimum. It cannot, by itself, explain why women have repeatedly taken such a large share of the non-reserved seats.

The caveats the number hides

The headline figure describes the lower house, not all of power. As of 1 January 2026, women held 5 of 19 cabinet posts, or 26.3%, according to IPU and UN Women. Rwanda’s Senate was 46.2% women. A lower house that is 63.8% women therefore sits inside a political system whose other institutions are less female-dominated.

Then there’s the question of what kind of state produces a result like this. Rwanda is dominated by the Rwandan Patriotic Front, and Freedom House classifies it as “Not Free”. Its 2025 report noted that President Paul Kagame won a fourth term in 2024 with 99.2% of the vote after prominent opposition figures were disqualified.

Assistant professors Marie E. Berry and Milli Lake argue that reserved seats have “allowed the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) to elevate its allies to positions of political power” while helping legitimize RPF dominance. That is their interpretation, not a settled fact, but it points at a real tension: who sits in the seats is not the same as how independent those seats are.

Not everyone reads the numbers so darkly. A policy review on Rwanda’s quota points to reforms associated with women parliamentarians, including equal access to land ownership and equal-pay labour laws. Both things can be true at once: a genuine change in who governs, and an open question about how much independent political power those representatives wield.

So the number that opens all this, 63.75% against a 30% floor, is best read as a starting point, not a verdict. The reserved seats explain 24 women cleanly. They do not explain the 25 women directly elected in 2024, the long normalization of women in political office, or the way Rwanda’s tightly controlled party system shapes who reaches parliament. The distance between what the constitution requires and what Rwanda produces is exactly where the interesting questions live.

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In 1977, Carl Sagan and Frank Drake sat in a Cornell office arguing over what to put on the Voyager Golden Record, and among the greetings in 55 languages, the whale song, and the Bach they included the sound of a young woman’s brainwaves recorded while she thought about being in love.

In 1977, Carl Sagan and Frank Drake sat in a Cornell office arguing over what to put on the Voyager Golden Record, and among the greetings in 55 languages, the whale song, and the Bach they included the sound of a young woman's brainwaves recorded while she thought about being in love.

On the afternoon of 3 June 1977, a young woman lay on a table at Bellevue Hospital in New York while a computer converted the electrical activity of her brain into sound. Her name was Ann Druyan. She was 27, creative director of the Voyager Golden Record project, and two days earlier she had agreed by telephone to marry Carl Sagan. The hour of EEG and EKG data captured that afternoon — compressed to about a minute — was pressed into the grooves of a gold-plated copper disc, bolted to the side of two spacecraft, and launched toward the outer planets. It is now more than 25 billion kilometres from Earth.

The team had less than six weeks. Sagan, astronomer Frank Drake, writer Timothy Ferris, artist Jon Lomberg, and Druyan worked against a launch window that would not move, arguing over greetings, whale song, Bach, Chuck Berry, and what, exactly, a human being sounds like from the inside. The folklorist Alan Lomax, working from New York rather than Ithaca, selected the bulk of the field recordings.

What actually went onto the disc

The Golden Record is a 12-inch phonographic gold-plated copper disc, shipped with a stylus and cartridge and a diagram etched into its aluminium cover explaining how to play it. Each Voyager carries an identical copy. According to an account published by The Conversation on the record’s 40th anniversary, the grooves hold both ordinary audio and 115 encoded images, along with greetings in 55 languages and a curated tour of terrestrial sound.

The audio runs from a Georgian men’s chorus to Blind Willie Johnson’s Dark Was the Night, Cold Was the Ground. It includes Bach’s Brandenburg Concerto No. 2, Mozart’s Magic Flute, Louis Armstrong, Chuck Berry’s Johnny B. Goode, and honkyoku shakuhachi. It includes the sound of a kiss, a mother speaking to her newborn, thunder, surf, a chimpanzee, and a humpback whale. Ferris also wanted one mark made directly by a human hand, and JPL’s archive records the phrase he had etched between the label and the grooves: “To the makers of music – all worlds, all times.”

And then, near the end, the brainwaves.

Voyager Golden Record cover

How Druyan’s EEG got onto a spacecraft

The idea was Druyan’s. She had asked Sagan whether, if she recorded her brainwaves, a civilisation a billion years from now could conceivably read them. He did not know. He suggested they try anyway. The committee volunteered her to supply the signal, and she booked a laboratory at Bellevue where a technician captured an electroencephalogram, an electrocardiogram, eye movement and other bodily signals across a single hour.

She went in with a script. According to a 40th-anniversary panel at Caltech reported by the Orange County Register, Druyan tried to hold a mental itinerary of Earth’s history in her head during the recording — the movement of continents, the rise of civilisations, the invention of writing.

Her thoughts drifted.

Two days earlier, she and Sagan had ended a phone call by agreeing to marry. They had not yet kissed. Both were in other relationships. Writing years later in the epilogue to Sagan’s Billions and Billions, Druyan described entering the Bellevue laboratory and being hooked to a computer that turned the data from her brain and heart into sound. In an account of the recording session published by Futurism, she is quoted saying that “my feelings as a 27 year old woman, madly fallen in love, they’re on that record” — and that the permanence of it, on a timescale of a hundred million years, is the part she finds it hard to be afraid of.

The six weeks at Cornell

The selection process was compressed and contentious. Sagan had been given the assignment by NASA with a launch window that would not wait. NASA’s own account of the project puts it plainly: the group had less than six weeks to assemble something meant to represent the entire population of Earth. Frank Drake, who had designed the earlier Pioneer plaques with Sagan, proposed the format and worked out the technical encoding — how to press images into an audio groove so that a civilisation with no shared reference could reconstruct them. Ferris, writing in The New Yorker, described the production as a scramble of long-distance phone calls, borrowed studio time, and last-minute swaps.

Some choices were vetoed. NASA rejected a photograph of a nude man and pregnant woman; the team submitted a silhouette instead.

The most repeated story about the record is that the Beatles were nearly on it. In the usual telling, Here Comes the Sun was wanted, the band agreed, and EMI refused the rights. Ferris, who produced the record, has disputed the premise directly, writing in The New Yorker that the track was never a serious contender and that the wit of the title seemed unlikely to survive a billion years. The two accounts have never been reconciled. What is certain is that the song is not on the disc, and Chuck Berry is.

The Georgian folk song Tchakrulo made it on, but not before the committee found out what it said. Ferris has written that for all anyone on the team knew, the song could have been celebrating something indefensible. They located a Georgian speaker in Queens, Sandro Baratheli, and had him translate. It turned out to be a peasants’ protest against a feudal landlord. It stayed. Sagan, for his part, had come to Cornell after Harvard denied him tenure in the late 1960s, reportedly for being too public a scientist; Cornell named him David Duncan Professor of Astronomy and Space Sciences, and it was in a Space Sciences Building office there that much of the record was assembled.

What a brainwave actually is, and why it survived the trip

An EEG measures voltage differences between electrodes placed on the scalp — typically in the range of microvolts, oscillating at a few cycles to a few dozen cycles per second. It records the aggregate behaviour of large populations of neurons. It does not record thoughts. To fit an hour of that signal onto a record with finite groove length, the recording was heavily compressed, and what plays back is a burst of crackle and pulse with no intelligible content in it at all.

There is no way to extract Druyan’s actual thoughts from the disc. The signal is too coarse, and it was never a transcript to begin with. What survives is the fact of a nervous system, doing what nervous systems do, on a particular afternoon. We know what that minute meant only because Druyan later told us.

That is the object now travelling through interstellar space at roughly 17 kilometres per second.

Voyager spacecraft interstellar

Where the record is now

Voyager 1 crossed into interstellar space in 2012 and is currently the most distant human-made object. NASA’s mission tracker puts it past 25 billion kilometres, closing on a threshold it will cross in November 2026, when it becomes the first object built by humans to sit a full light-day from Earth. Voyager 2 crossed the heliopause in 2018 and trails behind. Both spacecraft are still transmitting on plutonium-238 radioisotope generators whose output falls a little each year, and NASA has been shutting down instruments to conserve the shrinking power budget.

The spacecraft themselves will eventually fall silent. The records will not. Gold-plated copper, in the near-vacuum of interstellar space, has no obvious mechanism of decay on any timescale that matters to human civilisation. Micrometeoroid strikes will pit the surface over millions of years. The information will remain readable for a very long time. The object was designed to outlive not only the spacecraft but plausibly the civilisation that made it.

There is no way to verify that any of it will be found. The nearest star to Voyager 1’s current trajectory is a red dwarf called Gliese 445, and the spacecraft will pass within about 1.6 light-years of it in roughly 40,000 years. Voyager 2 will pass Ross 248 on a similar timescale. Neither is a close approach in any meaningful sense. The odds of interception are effectively zero across any period a human being would care about.

The record is not really an experiment. It is a gesture whose meaning is fixed on the sending end.

The private layer inside a public artefact

The committee could have stopped at greetings, music, and images. The decision to include a physiological recording reflects a specific intuition Sagan and Druyan held about what a message to another mind should contain. Language would probably be unreadable. Music might be unrecognisable as music. But the electrical activity of a working brain is a physical signature that any technologically capable civilisation would, in principle, be able to identify as the output of a nervous system.

Whether or not that reasoning holds, it captures something about the project’s ambition. The record was not really designed for aliens. Sagan had said as much about the earlier Pioneer plaque, writing that its greater significance was not as a message to out there but as a message to back here.

Most of what went onto the record was chosen to represent humanity in the aggregate: many languages, many musics, many faces. The brainwave is the exception. It is one specific 27-year-old woman on one specific afternoon in June 1977, thinking about one specific man she had agreed to marry two days earlier.

Sagan and Druyan married in 1981 and stayed together until his death in 1996. Druyan has spoken openly about the recording in the decades since — at Caltech, on Radiolab, in interviews around the release of a Kickstarter-funded vinyl edition of the record that Business Insider covered in its explainer on the record’s contents. That reissue, as NPR reported, raised more than $1.3 million from backers who wanted to hear at home what had been sent to the stars. The personal layer inside the record was known to the team at the time but not widely publicised until decades later.

What is up there, exactly, is this. A 12-inch gold-plated copper disc. A stylus. A cartridge. An etched cover with a pulsar map and instructions. Bach, whale song, thunder, greetings in Akkadian and Mandarin and Wu, the sound of a kiss, a mother and child, a line scratched by hand to the makers of music in all worlds and all times, and — encoded near the end — the compressed electrical activity of a young woman’s brain during the hour she was thinking about the man she had just agreed to marry.

It is currently moving away from the Sun at roughly 61,000 kilometres per hour. It will keep going long after the transmitter goes dark, long after the last engineer who worked on Voyager is gone, and long after the Cornell office where the arguments happened is no longer standing. NASA expects the power budget to narrow through the late 2020s and into the 2030s. The record will not notice. Somewhere out past the heliopause, in the dark between stars, a minute of a June afternoon in 1977 is still travelling.

The post In 1977, Carl Sagan and Frank Drake sat in a Cornell office arguing over what to put on the Voyager Golden Record, and among the greetings in 55 languages, the whale song, and the Bach they included the sound of a young woman’s brainwaves recorded while she thought about being in love. appeared first on Space Daily.

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