While the World Scrambles for Oil, China Sits on Full Tanks

Β© Hector Retamal/Agence France-Presse β Getty Images

Β© Hector Retamal/Agence France-Presse β Getty Images

Welcome to this weekβs installment of The Intelligence Briefβ¦ in a recent sworn statement, it was revealed that the Pentagon has reportedly leveraged Elon Muskβs xAI to assist in the launch of as many as 2,000 munitions in the recent U.S. war with Iran. In our coverage, weβll be looking at 1) how the recent revelations were brought to light in a lawsuit focused on possible violations of the Clean Air Act, 2) how a βfrontierβ AI chatbot became key part of the Pentagonβs military efforts, and 3) why lawmakers are sounding alarms over the potential misuse of AI systems, and the need for ensuring their safe use while restricting major decisions to human operators.
βWe must act nowβnot to stifle technological progress, but to establish clear rules of the road that keep humans in charge and keep AIβs use in warfare smart and safe.β
If you enjoy the news and perspectives offered by The Debrief, make sure that you arenβt missing our stories by making us one of your βpreferred sourcesβ on Google News. You can simply follow this link to add The Debrief to your list of favorites, and you can read more about Googleβs preferred sources in our article here.
This week, as an initial deal aiming to end the U.S. war with Iran comes to fruition, it was revealed that thousands of missiles launched by the U.S. were fired by Elon Muskβs Grok chatbot.
The revelation emerged as part of a sworn statement pushing to protect the militaryβs use of Muskβs AI systems that could be impacted by a lawsuit, which alleges his xAI data centers are contributing to illegal pollution in black communities.
The statement, made by Cameron Stanley, the Pentagonβs chief digital and artificial intelligence officer, states that Muskβs AI chatbot helped to facilitate the deployment of βover 2,000 munitions to 2,000 distinct targets within 96 hours during Operation Epic Fury,β which Stanley called βa testament to the greatly increased operational efficiency made possible by the Grok Gov Model.β
In Stanleyβs sworn statement this week, the Pentagon official tasked with overseeing the Department of Warβs use of AI wrote that xAIβs Grok is one of just four proprietary AI models βcapable of supporting national security applications.β
Stanley wrote that xAI also βremains one of just three enterprise providers equipped to sustain mission-critical operations across Secret and Top-Secret classified networks for the foreseeable future due to the enormous resources required for initial certification.β
βDoW currently relies on derivatives of xAlβs commercial offerings known as the Grok Gov Model,β according to Stanley, who goes on to note in his statement that the AI chatbot has been deployed in systems that include Maven Smart Systems, where it assists in supporting βvital national security missions, including targeting, intelligence, readiness, and recruitment,β and also aids in a range of other military tasks.
βThe Grok Gov Model offers features unique to xAI that are found in no other frontier Al model,β Stanley wrote. As an illustration of its capability, Stanley then made the chilling revelation of just how involved in military activities the xAI chatbot has recently become.
βTo further illustrate the uses of the Grok Gov Model within DoW, MSS frontier workflows enabled U.S. forces to deploy over 2,000 munitions to 2,000 distinct targets within 96 hours during Operation Epic Fury, a testament to the greatly increased operational efficiency made possible by the Grok Gov Model,β Stanley wrote in his testimony.
As reported by The Independent, the sworn statement provided by Stanley appears to represent the first confirmation by an official within the Trump Administration that Elon Muskβs AI is being used to control U.S. weapons used against Iran.
Since the conflict began in February, the Trump administration has faced scrutiny over U.S.-led attacks that have resulted in civilian deaths, with mounting questions over the militaryβs use of AI during the conflict.
In an analysis by the Lieber Institute at West Point, Jessica Dorsey and Luke Moffett noted that AI systems βare frequently framed as ushering in an era of unprecedented precision and efficiency in warfare,β but in reality, issues that include recent figures involving as many as 1,700 civilian deaths as of May 2026 βcalls that narrative into serious question.β
βCENTCOM claimed it was generating 1,000 targets per hour,β Moffett and Dorsey wrote, adding that while βsuch capabilities are often framed as enhancing precisionβ¦ they also introduce new layers of abstraction between decision-makers and the consequences of their actions.β
The U.S. Department of Justice has argued that a pending court ruling could significantly impact the Pentagonβs use of AI if it is prevented from deploying xAI across its systems.
In an effort to prevent such setbacks, the Trump administration has requested that a lawsuit launched by the NAACP be dismissed by a Mississippi-based federal judge. The lawsuit claims that Muskβs xAI Colossus 2 data center, which relies on several dozen gas-powered turbines, is operating in violation of the Clean Air Act. Presently, the turbines are being operated without permits, the lawsuit asserts.
In his sworn statement this week, Stanley called Muskβs xAI systems a βlong-term strategic tool vital to maintaining our technological advantage against adversaries.β
However, opponents of such measures in Washington argue that new regulations must help to ensure that crucial military decisionsβespecially those which impact human livesβmust also be made by humans.
βThe most critical decisions affecting our national security and the lives of our service members must always be made by human beings, not unaccountable machines,β wrote U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D, NY) in a statement earlier in June.
Gillibrand also recently introduced a bill that aims to restrict military decisions that could potentially impact human lives to human operators, and to implement a ban on AI in governing the use of nuclear weapons, as well as autonomous weapons capabilities and domestic surveillance.
In her statement this month, Gillibrand argued that the Pentagon βis moving toward deploying incredibly powerful AI technology without commonsense guardrails in place, which could have catastrophic consequences that make all of us less safe.β
βWe must act nowβnot to stifle technological progress, but to establish clear rules of the road that keep humans in charge and keep AIβs use in warfare smart and safe,β Gillibrand added.
That concludes this weekβs installment ofΒ The Intelligence Brief.Β You can readΒ past editions of our newsletter at our website, or if you found this installment online,Β donβt forget to subscribeΒ and get future email editions from us here. Also, if you have aΒ tip or other information youβd like to send along directly to me, you can email me at micah [@] thedebrief [dot] org, or reach me on X: @MicahHanks.
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Here are the top stories weβre covering right nowβ¦

Β© Vincent Alban/The New York Times

Β© Atta Kenare/Agence France-Presse β Getty Images

Β© Jenny Kane/Associated Press
Thinktank says decoupling electricity from gas prices has also helped shield Spain from hikes caused by Iran war
Spanish households save β¬10 a month on electricity bills because of wind turbines and solar panels installed in the last five years, a report has found.
Typical energy bills would be 19% more expensive if electricity costs were still as tightly coupled to gas prices as in 2021, according to Ember, a climate thinktank. It found Spainβs βstrategicβ expansion of renewables since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022 has shielded Spanish households from the latest rises in fossil fuel prices caused by the Iran war.
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Β© Photograph: Bloomberg/Getty Images

Β© Photograph: Bloomberg/Getty Images

Β© Photograph: Bloomberg/Getty Images

Β© Reuters

The economic shock of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sparked calls to abandon fossil fuels faster. But that's the wrong lesson, says Richard Lyon β and Net Zero obsessed Britain will learn this the hard way.
The post Hormuz: The Slow-Motion Crash appeared first on The Daily Sceptic.

Β© The New York Times

Welcome to this edition of The Intelligence Briefβ¦ This week, the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran appears to be edging closer to a broader regional crisis, as both nations exchange new rounds of military strikes amid fading hopes for diplomacy. In our analysis, weβll be looking at 1) the latest U.S. and Iranian attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and across the Gulf region, 2) President Trumpβs escalating rhetoric and warnings of additional military action targeting Iranβs oil infrastructure, 3) the growing humanitarian and economic consequences of the conflict, including disruptions to shipping and concerns over civilian infrastructure, and 4) why analysts increasingly fear that continued escalation could draw the region closer to a wider war with global repercussions.
βThe strikes are in response to Iranβs unwarranted and continued aggression. U.S. forces remain vigilant, lethal, and ready.β
If you enjoy the news and perspectives offered by The Debrief, make sure that you arenβt missing our stories by making us one of your βpreferred sourcesβ on Google News. You can simply follow this link to add The Debrief to your list of favorites, and you can read more about Googleβs preferred sources in our article here.
This week, a clear end to the ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran still seems remote, as the United States and Iran engaged in another round of military strikes.
Early this morning, strikes exchanged between the nationsβ military forces signaled the potential that a dangerous new phase of the conflict may be approaching, after an initial several months of efforts aiming to avoid escalation to a broader regional war.
Among the most recent attacks, several locations near the Strait of Hormuz were targeted, as ongoing warnings by President Trump urged Iranian officials to heed U.S. warnings and bring the conflict to an end.
In response to the attacks, Iran also launched several strikes on targets linked to U.S. assets that include military facilities in Kuwait and Bahrain. The Iranian strikes prompted air-defense activity throughout the region, along with airspace restrictions that have been temporarily elevated in the Gulf.
Amid the strikes, Iranian officials claimed that all maritime traffic had been closed off from passage through the Strait of Hormuz. However, U.S. officials disputed the claims on Thursday.
The renewed violence follows several strikes confirmed by U.S. Central Command late on Wednesday.
βCENTCOM forces launched strikes on Iranian military surveillance capabilities, communication systems, and air defense sites across Iran. U.S. Marine Corps, Air Force, and Navy assets fired precision munitions on Iranian targets that posed a threat to U.S. forces and international commercial ships transiting regional waters,β read a posting on the official U.S. Central Command X account.
Early on Thursday, President Trump also warned about further military action by the United States against Iran.
βThe United States will be hitting Iran (Whose Navy, Air Force, Radar, Anti Aircraft, and all other forms of Defense, together with most of its offensive capability, are GONE!), VERY HARD TONIGHT,β President Trump wrote in one of his characteristically bombastic social media postings on Thursday.
Trump also claimed that in βthe not too distant futureβ the U.S. would be capturing Kharg Island, along with other locations that play a key role in the oil infrastructure of the region, with the broader plan to βassume total control of their Oil and Gas Markets, much like we have with Venezuela, which is working out brilliantly for both Venezuela and the United States of America.β
Beyond the typical hyperbolic phrasing, the Presidentβs post on Thursday appeared to indicate locations that could become future targets, although similar ongoing threats have repeatedly been made by Mr. Trump in recent weeks, in an effort to encourage Iranian officials to agree to U.S. demands that aim to curb the countryβs nuclear ambitionsβa significant goalpost the U.S. has maintained in efforts to end the war.
Efforts to bring about a cease-fire agreement have been in the works since April, although Iranβs foreign ministry now says such efforts have been rendered βmeaninglessβ by the continued American strikes.
Firing back, U.S. officials, including Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, have characterized the attacks as being βpart of an effort to pressure Tehran into accepting negotiations over its nuclear programβ amid broader security concerns the U.S. is attempting to reconcile.
However, more broadly, the conflict is also having a far wider economic and humanitarian impact. Recent U.S. military operations that have targeted vessels suspected of transporting Iranian oil have reportedly struck multiple commercial ships in recent days, with India confirming that three of its citizens were killed aboard one tanker.
βCENTCOM forces have disabled nine non-compliant vessels, redirected 135 ships that complied, and allowed 42 vessels supporting humanitarian aid to pass since initiating the blockade on April 13,β U.S. Central Command wrote in an update on Thursday.
βThe blockade is being enforced impartially against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman,β the posting added.
Based on satellite imagery reviewed by analysts, the potential that some of the recent strikes may have damaged drinking-water infrastructure in southern Iran has also been raised, increasing humanitarian concerns.
Financial markets are also reacting to the growing instability. The European Central Bank cited war-related inflation pressures as it raised interest rates, while the World Bank warned that rising energy costs linked to the conflict are slowing global economic growth to its weakest pace since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Overall, as the ongoing military operations by both nations continue, and with few signs of diplomacy on the immediate horizon, concerns continue to mount over whether a broader regional crisisβone the U.S. has hoped to avoidβcould now loom nearer than at any time before.
That concludes this weekβs installment ofΒ The Intelligence Brief.Β You can readΒ past editions of our newsletter at our website, or if you found this installment online,Β donβt forget to subscribeΒ and get future email editions from us here. Also, if you have aΒ tip or other information youβd like to send along directly to me, you can email me at micah [@] thedebrief [dot] org, or reach me on X: @MicahHanks.
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Here are the top stories weβre covering right nowβ¦
A US Army helicopter gunship was apparently struck by an Iranian Shahed drone before going down near the Strait of Hormuzβbut it's unclear whether the one-way attack drone was deliberately aimed or achieved more of a lucky accidental strike.
Axios correspondent Barak Ravid first reported an unnamed US government officialβs comments that an Iranian drone had hit the US Army AH-64 Apache helicopter before the latter went down on June 8. The New York Times later confirmed that reporting through more anonymous US officials, including one official who said US military investigators were still evaluating whether the Iranian drone strike on the helicopter was intentional or accidental.
Iran has fired thousands of such Shahed drones against a wide range of military and civilian targets in the Gulf region since February 28, 2026, when the United States and Israel began the war by jointly attacking Iran with a barrage of bombs and missiles. But Shahed drones have mainly struck stationary targets such as Amazon data centers and energy facilities, sometimes hitting slow-moving commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz.


Β© US Central Command
A drone boat picked up two US Army pilots from waters near the Strait of Hormuz after their helicopter gunship went down, US military officials said. The incident apparently represents the first time the US military has used a drone for such a rescue mission at sea.
The two crew members from the US Army AH-64 Apache were βrescued by American forcesβ at 7:33 pm US Eastern Time after their helicopter went down off the coast of Oman on June 8, according to a US Central Command press release. That press release mentioned support from US Navy units including the US 5th Fleetβs Task Force 59, which is charged with integrating uncrewed aerial, surface, and underwater vehicles, alongside AI, into 5th Fleet maritime operations.
Anonymous US military officials initially told CBS News that the Apache air crew was rescued by an uncrewed surface drone operated by Task Force 59 from the US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain. The officials also described the incident as the first time the military had used a drone to rescue people from the water.


Β© Saronic Technologies

Β© Jes Aznar for The New York Times
Experts say increased use of crops for fuel is βdangerous gameβ that could send food price inflation soaring
Demand for biofuels is likely to leap by nearly a third this year, which could send food price inflation soaring further and push the world closer to a global food crisis.
More countries are opting to increase biofuel use as the price of oil has jumped to nearly $100 a barrel after the US-Israeli attacks on Iran and the closure of the strait of Hormuz.
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Β© Photograph: Brazil Photos/LightRocket/Getty Images

Β© Photograph: Brazil Photos/LightRocket/Getty Images

Β© Photograph: Brazil Photos/LightRocket/Getty Images









Β© Damian Dovarganes/Associated Press
With early tests suggesting the presence of crude oil, the Caribbean island has begun to debate whether it could justify becoming a producer
Jamaica is closer than ever to drilling for oil. Tests on samples from the seabed off the Caribbean islandβs south coast earlier this year identified hydrocarbons, which suggest the presence of crude oil below ground.
Jamaica imports all its fuel, which costs about $1.5-2bn (Β£1.1bn-1.5bn) annually, depending on global oil prices. It is a persistent drag on an economy that generated $4.3bn from tourism, its biggest earner, in 2024.
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Β© Illustration: Eleanor Shakespeare

Β© Illustration: Eleanor Shakespeare

Β© Illustration: Eleanor Shakespeare