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344 steps stood between the James Webb Space Telescope and total failure — any one could have ended it — and the telescope that survived them all now runs on less power than a household kettle, a million miles from Earth

18 June 2026 at 20:30

When the James Webb Space Telescope launched on 25 December 2021, it carried a list of 344 single points of failure. Each one was a step or a part where a single fault would have crippled the mission, with no second chance and no way to send anyone to fix it. The telescope cleared all of them. It now sits about a million miles from Earth, doing the most sensitive infrared astronomy ever attempted, on roughly the power of a household kettle.

Both halves of that are true, and both are worth taking apart, because the figures are precise and the precision is the point.

344 ways to fail

The number comes from Mike Menzel, Webb’s lead mission systems engineer at NASA, who has said the observatory launched with 344 single-point failures on its books. A single point of failure, in engineering terms, is a place where one thing going wrong takes everything with it. Most spacecraft have a handful. Webb had hundreds.

About 80 per cent of them were tied to the deployment, the slow unfolding of a telescope that had been folded up to fit inside its rocket. That sequence relied on roughly 140 release mechanisms, 70 hinge assemblies, eight motors, some 400 pulleys, and around a quarter of a mile of cable, each of which had to work on command, in order, the first time.

What made the list so unforgiving was the destination. Webb was not going to low orbit, where Hubble could be visited and repaired by astronauts five times. It was going somewhere no crew can reach, which meant the usual safety net, send someone up to fix it, did not exist. Every one of the 344 had to hold on its own.

The fortnight that decided it

The riskiest part was the sunshield, a five-layer screen the size of a tennis court that has to separate and tension without tearing or snagging. It is the single most complex deployment ever flown, and it is the reason so much of the risk was packed into the first two weeks.

The sunshield reached its final, tensioned shape on 4 January 2022, ten days after launch. The project manager at the time, Bill Ochs, told reporters that finishing it retired somewhere between 70 and 75 per cent of the single-point failures on the original list. The rest fell away as the mirror segments locked into place over the following days. By the end of the fortnight, the most dangerous machine NASA had ever unfolded had unfolded.

Less power than a kettle

Here the popular line is right, with one number worth pinning down. The spacecraft and its four instruments run on about one kilowatt. The solar array is built to deliver closer to two kilowatts, but that extra capacity is margin, sized so the telescope still has enough as the panels degrade over its mission.

So the working figure is about a kilowatt, and a lot of household kettles draw more than that, particularly the three-kilowatt kind common outside North America. A telescope unpacking the early universe really does run on less electricity than the appliance that makes your tea.

The reason it can is the sunshield again. Webb has to keep its detectors extraordinarily cold, down to around 7 kelvin on one instrument, and cooling is usually the most power-hungry thing a cold spacecraft does. By parking the sunshield between the telescope and the Sun, Webb does most of that cooling passively, simply by sitting in deep shade, rather than by running power-hungry refrigeration. The shade that protects it also keeps its electricity bill tiny.

A million miles out

That deep shade only works at the right address. Webb orbits the Sun-Earth point known as L2, about 1.5 million kilometres away, near enough a million miles, where it can keep the Sun, Earth, and Moon all behind a single shield.

It also means the telescope is on its own. The same distance that makes the observatory work is the distance that made the 344 single points of failure so tense, because none of them could be reached if they jammed. The achievement was not just building something this delicate. It was building something this delicate that had to survive its own unpacking, unattended, a million miles from the nearest spanner.

It has been returning science since July 2022.

The list of 344 is now history, which is the only acceptable place for a list like that to end up.

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In June 2026, Relativity Space — the rocket company Eric Schmidt took over in 2025, whose one rocket has never reached orbit — said it would privately build and fly a Mars orbiter in 2028, carrying NASA’s Aeolus atmospheric instruments and doubling as a communications relay, paid for by a philanthropic backer it has not named

18 June 2026 at 12:56

Relativity Space has reached orbit exactly zero times. Its only rocket flew once, in March 2023, climbed cleanly through the hardest part of the atmosphere, and then a second-stage engine quit and the vehicle fell into the Atlantic a few minutes after liftoff. On June 17, 2026, that same company announced it would build and fly a science orbiter to Mars in 2028 anyway.

The mission is the first under a newly created Interplanetary Sciences Program, run under CEO Eric Schmidt. It would carry a NASA instrument suite, double as a communications relay for whatever is operating on the Martian surface, and be paid for not by the agency but by a philanthropic backer Relativity has declined to name.

Mars orbiter spacecraft

The rocket that flew once

Relativity flew its 3D-printed Terran 1 a single time, on March 23, 2023. The rocket passed max-q, the point of peak aerodynamic stress, then lost its upper stage and never made orbit. A month later the company retired the small launcher to concentrate on the larger, reusable Terran R.

Terran R is a medium-class rocket roughly in the Falcon 9 weight class, with a first flight Relativity has slated for late 2026 from Cape Canaveral. Industry sources expect that to slip to 2027, a delay consistent with the development pace of nearly every new orbital-class launcher of the past decade.

The Mars orbiter would be Terran R’s interplanetary debut. If the rocket flies close to schedule, the 2028 transfer window to Mars is reachable. If it slips, the mission slips with it. There is no version of this where the orbiter beats the rocket to the pad.

What the orbiter would carry

The science payload comes from NASA’s Ames Research Center, which will design, build, and integrate it. The centerpiece is an atmospheric suite NASA calls Aeolus — four instruments meant to deliver the first integrated, daily, global picture of Martian winds, temperatures, dust, and clouds. A radar instrument would map subsurface ice and geology, the kind of water-resource data future crewed missions would lean on.

NASA says it will operate the instruments for at least one Martian year and build the pipeline that turns raw readings into usable science, under what it describes as its first six-year reimbursable Space Act Agreement. Relativity builds, owns, and flies the spacecraft; NASA supplies the instruments and the data processing.

Then there is the relay. The orbiter is being pitched to carry high-bandwidth laser and radio links back to Earth plus radio communications with surface assets. That matters because NASA’s working Mars relay fleet — the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, MAVEN, and Odyssey — is aging, with no committed replacement for the data backhaul every Mars rover depends on. A privately built relay arriving in the late 2020s would fill a hole the agency has openly worried about.

Relativity has said all of the mission’s scientific data will be released publicly. The control questions are harder. Who sets the relay schedule when multiple surface assets compete for the same downlink? What happens to a publicly funded rover if a privately owned orbiter becomes the only way to hear from it? Those answers are not in the announcement.

The Schmidt factor

The mission is inseparable from Eric Schmidt. The former Google chief executive took a controlling stake and became CEO of a cash-strained Relativity in March 2025, succeeding co-founder Tim Ellis. He arrived with money and with a network of science philanthropists.

Schmidt has framed the company’s goal as making access to space routine and pushing science beyond Earth, describing the Interplanetary Sciences Program as a step built on the Terran R platform. The orbiter is meant as a proof of concept; Relativity has not detailed the missions that would follow.

It is also not the only Schmidt-adjacent payload on Terran R’s manifest. Schmidt Sciences, the philanthropic vehicle Schmidt founded with his wife Wendy, announced in January 2026 the Eric and Wendy Schmidt Observatory System. That suite includes Lazuli, a space telescope with a primary mirror larger than Hubble’s, also targeting a launch as soon as 2028 on Terran R.

Two flagship science missions, one unflown rocket, one fortune behind much of both. Whether Schmidt Sciences is the Mars orbiter’s specific backer is unconfirmed; the company will only say the funder is philanthropic.

A privately funded mission to Mars

Privately backed science is not new in itself. The Breakthrough Initiatives funded ground-based SETI work. Jared Isaacman — now NASA’s administrator — bankrolled human spaceflight before taking the job. What is new in the Relativity model is the scale of capital a Mars orbiter requires, the presence of NASA instruments aboard a privately owned spacecraft, and the folding of commercial communications into what has historically been sovereign infrastructure.

This is also not Relativity’s first private Mars plan. In 2022 the company and Impulse Space announced a Mars lander to fly on Terran R, originally targeting the 2024 window; a 2023 update pushed it to as soon as 2026, and neither company has said much about it since.

The 2028 window is getting crowded regardless. SpaceX continues to pitch Starship cargo flights to Mars in roughly the same period, without firm payload commitments. More privately developed hardware may be pointed at the planet in 2028 than at any prior window. Whether all of it actually flies is a separate question, and Mars schedules are famously elastic.

The credibility test

Relativity’s announcement lands at an awkward point in its own story. It still has to prove Terran R can reach orbit. It has to prove the rocket can be reused on a useful cadence. And it has to show a launch company can build, integrate, and operate a deep-space science platform — a different engineering discipline entirely.

Plenty of launch startups have promised spacecraft alongside their rockets; few delivered both. The ones that came closest — SpaceX with Dragon, Rocket Lab with its Photon bus — got there through years of incremental flight experience Relativity does not yet have. The Mars orbiter would compress that curve dramatically, or expose how steep it still is.

The schedule offers no slack. If the program slips by a single Mars window, 26 months, the orbiter becomes a 2030 or 2031 mission, and the case for it shifts with it.

For now the orbiter is instrument designs at Ames, tank hardware in a Long Beach factory, and a 2028 launch window that, like every Mars window, opens and closes on the planet’s schedule rather than anyone’s. The rocket meant to carry it has still never left the pad. Both have to work, roughly two years apart, and Mars does not hold the window open.

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The oldest solid material ever found on Earth didn’t come from Earth at all — it was locked inside a meteorite that landed near Murchison, Victoria in 1969, and the stardust grains inside formed roughly 7 billion years ago, before the Sun existed.

18 June 2026 at 11:40
A bright meteor streaking across a starry night sky.

The oldest solid material ever identified on Earth did not form on Earth, or anywhere near it. It came down inside a meteorite that fell near the town of Murchison, in country Victoria, on a spring morning in 1969. Sealed in that rock were microscopic grains of stardust, and the oldest of them formed roughly 7 billion years ago, well before the Sun.

The claim is accurate, with one detail worth keeping straight: 7 billion years is the age of the oldest grains, not of all of them.

The meteorite

At about 11 in the morning on 28 September 1969, people around Murchison heard a series of booms and saw a fireball trailing smoke across the sky. Fragments came down over several square kilometres, and more than 100 kilograms were eventually collected.

The rock is a carbonaceous chondrite, a primitive type rich in carbon compounds, and because the fall was witnessed and the material gathered quickly, Murchison became one of the most studied meteorites in the world. The grains that matter here are tiny pieces of silicon carbide, far smaller than a grain of sand, recovered by dissolving the surrounding rock in acid until only the most durable specks remain.

How you date a grain older than the Sun

These specks are not dated the way a rock on Earth is. They are dated by how long they drifted through space.

Before they were swept into the cloud that became our solar system, the grains spent a very long time as free-floating interstellar dust. Out there they were exposed to galactic cosmic rays, high-energy particles that strike solid matter and, now and then, transform an atom inside it into a new isotope. One of those products, a form of neon, builds up at a roughly steady rate. Measure how much has accumulated, and you can work out how long the grain was adrift before it was sheltered inside the meteorite.

That is the method a team led by Philipp Heck of the Field Museum and the University of Chicago used in a study published in 2020. They measured cosmic-ray exposure ages for 40 large presolar silicon carbide grains from Murchison, the largest such dating effort of its kind.

Most are old, and the oldest are very old

This is where the precision matters. Most of the grains the team dated formed in the few hundred million years before the Sun, clustering around 4.6 to 4.9 billion years ago. A smaller number were older. The oldest reached about 7 billion years, roughly 2.5 billion years beyond the 4.54-billion-year age of Earth and the solar system.

So the headline figure is the extreme of the range, not the average. Even the youngest of these grains, though, still predates the Sun, which is what makes the whole population presolar. They are older than the star our planet orbits.

What the grains actually are

Each grain is a piece of another star.

Silicon carbide of this kind condenses in the cooling outflows of dying stars, the kind that puff their outer layers into space late in life. Those expelled grains travel the galaxy until some are caught up in the formation of a new system, which is how a fragment of a star that died before the Sun ended up in a paddock in Victoria.

The clustering of ages led Heck’s team to a further suggestion, offered as interpretation rather than settled fact: that many of the grains may have formed during a burst of star formation in the galaxy around 7 billion years ago, a busier-than-usual stretch of stellar birth and death. That reading is debated, and the dating itself does not depend on it.

What is not in question is the simpler thing. A rock that fell on an Australian farming town within living memory carried, intact, solid matter that is older than the Sun, the Earth, and everything else ever measured on this planet. It had been drifting for billions of years before there was a planet here to land on.

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Whoever finds the Voyager Golden Record will know exactly how long it has been drifting, because the scientists who built it pressed a small sample of uranium into the cover — a built-in clock that keeps time for roughly a billion years.

17 June 2026 at 20:30
A space probe drifting through a field of stars.

The two Voyager spacecraft, launched in 1977, each carry a gold-plated copper phonograph record holding sounds and images of Earth. On the aluminium cover of each record is a detail that gets less attention than the music: a small sample of uranium, put there so that whoever finds it can work out how long it has been travelling.

The claim that it functions as a built-in clock is true.

What needs correcting is the timescale, which is far longer than the figure usually attached to it.

How the clock works

The cover carries an ultra-pure source of uranium-238, electroplated onto a patch of the surface about two centimetres across rather than pressed in, with a radioactivity NASA puts at about 0.00026 microcuries. Uranium-238 is radioactive, and it decays at a fixed, well-measured rate. Half of any quantity of it turns into other elements over about 4.51 billion years, a span known as its half-life.

That steady decay is what makes it a clock. A finder who measures how much uranium-238 is left, against how much of the decay product has built up beside it, can calculate how long the process has been running. That figure is the time since the sample was placed on the spacecraft, which is to say the age of the record.

It is an elegant choice, because it needs no shared language and no working knowledge of human history. Any civilisation that understands radioactive decay arrives at the same number.

Why “a billion years” undersells it

The figure commonly quoted for the record is roughly a billion years, and it is worth being clear about what that number actually describes.

A billion years is the rough estimate for how long the physical disc should survive in the near-vacuum of interstellar space, where there is little to erode it. The uranium clock is a separate matter. With a half-life of about 4.51 billion years, the sample remains readable as a clock for far longer than the disc is expected to last, and in principle for several billion years. The limit on dating the record is not the uranium running out. It is the disc itself wearing away.

So the clock does not keep time for “roughly a billion years”. It keeps time for as long as there is measurable uranium left, which is a much longer window than the object it is attached to will physically endure.

It is not the only clock on the cover

The uranium was never meant to be trusted on its own. The same cover carries a second, independent way of fixing the date, in the form of the pulsar map.

That diagram, the starburst of lines also etched on the earlier Pioneer plaques, shows the position of the Sun relative to 14 pulsars, rapidly spinning stars that flash with very regular periods. Those periods are encoded on the cover in binary. Because pulsars slow down slightly and predictably over time, a finder could compare the periods as recorded against the periods as measured, and read the gap as elapsed time.

Two clocks, built to check each other rather than to be taken on faith. If the uranium and the pulsars disagreed, that disagreement would itself be informative.

The catch is being found at all

For all the care in the dating, the harder problem is the one the record cannot solve, which is reaching anyone.

The Voyagers are not aimed at any particular star, and they are in no hurry. Voyager 1 will not pass within a couple of light-years of another star for roughly 40,000 years, and even then “pass” means an enormous distance rather than an encounter. The odds that either record is ever recovered and read are, on any honest accounting, very small.

That is the part the uranium clock quietly acknowledges. The people who built it were not betting on a finder. They engineered a way to answer a question that may never be asked, and built it to stay accurate long after the civilisation that made it is gone. The clock will keep good time whether or not anyone is ever there to read it.

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When Luna 9 bounced to a stop in the Ocean of Storms in February 1966, Britain’s Jodrell Bank observatory intercepted its picture transmission, recognised the newspaper-fax format, and helped the Daily Express publish the first photographs from the Moon’s surface before the Soviets released them

17 June 2026 at 10:15
When the Soviet Luna 9 probe bounced to a stop in the Ocean of Storms in February 1966, Britain's Jodrell Bank observatory intercepted its picture transmission, recognised the format as a standard newspaper fax protocol, and published the first photographs from the surface of the Moon in the Daily Express hours before the Soviets themselves released them.

On 3 February 1966, a 58-centimetre Soviet sphere wrapped in airbags struck the dust of Oceanus Procellarum, bounced across the Moon, rolled to a stop, opened four petals for stability, and began sending the first photographs ever taken from the surface of another world.

The pictures did not first reach most readers through Pravda, TASS, or Soviet television. They reached them through a British newspaper scoop, because the signal from Luna 9 was unencrypted, Jodrell Bank Observatory in Cheshire was listening, and the image format looked close enough to the Radiofax technology used by newspaper picture desks.

Luna 9 spacecraft model

The landing that had to bounce

Luna 9 was the Soviet Union’s first successful lunar soft-landing after a string of failed attempts. Earlier spacecraft had missed the Moon, struck it too hard, or failed before they could complete the descent. This one used a blunt solution: slow the main spacecraft, eject the small landing capsule just above the surface, let airbags absorb the impact, and allow the sphere to bounce until the Moon stopped it.

It worked. NASA’s archive describes Luna 9 as the first spacecraft to make a survivable landing on the Moon and return photographs from its surface, in the Oceanus Procellarum region in February 1966. The capsule was small enough to disappear in a landscape of rocks and shadows, but for a few days it became the most important camera in the Solar System.

The landing solved a technical problem and a psychological one. For years, some scientists had worried that a spacecraft might sink into a deep layer of fine lunar dust. Luna 9’s pictures showed a firmer, rock-strewn plain: rough, cratered, and hostile, but solid enough to hold a machine.

Why Jodrell Bank was already listening

Jodrell Bank was not a passive bystander in the Space Race. The University of Manchester observatory had tracked Sputnik, followed Soviet and American spacecraft, and built a reputation for listening to missions whose governments did not always announce what they were doing in real time.

When Luna 9 reached the Moon, Sir Bernard Lovell’s team was tracking it with the great radio telescope in Cheshire. Jodrell Bank’s own history notes that the observatory received the first images transmitted from the surface of the Moon by the Soviet probe in 1966.

The crucial detail was the shape of the signal. The images were coming down line by line in a form that resembled the Radiofax technology newspapers used to transmit photographs between offices. The Soviets had built a lunar imaging system, but the receiving problem suddenly looked like something a newspaper picture desk already knew how to solve.

The newspaper machine that read the Moon

The Daily Express sent a portable Muirhead picture receiver to Jodrell Bank. The Science Museum Group, which holds the D-700 photographic facsimile receiver associated with the episode, describes it as the machine used to publish the first photographs taken from the surface of the Moon in 1966.

The process was almost absurdly earthly. A signal recorded from a Soviet lunar lander was played through a newspaper facsimile receiver in England, and a picture of the Moon slowly appeared as lines on paper.

The Daily Express published the images on 4 February 1966 before the Soviet authorities made their own official release. The National Air and Space Museum notes that Jodrell Bank’s intercepted version beat the Soviets to publication, although the quality was not ideal.

There was a technical reason for that imperfection. The British receiver was close enough to decode the image, but not perfectly matched to the Soviet geometry. The first newspaper readers to see the Moon from ground level saw a slightly distorted version of it.

What the first surface pictures showed

The pictures were not spectacular in the modern sense. They were grainy black-and-white panoramas, built from scan lines, with nearby rocks, a low horizon, and the hard geometry of sunlight on an airless plain.

But they carried information no telescope on Earth could provide. The rocks had scale. The shadows had shape. The horizon looked close because the Moon is smaller than Earth, and there was no atmosphere to soften the blackness behind the stones.

Luna 9 operated on batteries and lasted only a few days. The National Air and Space Museum says the lander survived long enough to transmit a panorama from very close to the surface, while other mission summaries describe several image transmissions during its brief surface life.

That was enough. Four months later, NASA’s Surveyor 1 made the first American soft landing on the Moon, touching down on 2 June 1966. By then, Luna 9 had already shown that the surface could hold a spacecraft.

The older Soviet camera trick behind it

Luna 9 was not the first time Soviet engineers had turned an impossible-looking imaging problem into a working machine. In October 1959, Luna 3 became the first spacecraft to return pictures of the Moon’s far side, a story that belongs to the same lineage of capture, scan, and radio transmission.

That earlier probe used film, developed it onboard, scanned the result, and transmitted it back to Earth. As Space Daily has covered in its Luna 3 feature, the pictures were crude, but they redrew the map of the Moon.

Luna 9 brought that tradition down to the surface. Instead of showing a hidden hemisphere from space, it showed the ground itself: the place future landers, rovers, and astronauts would have to touch.

The lander that is still missing

After the batteries died, Luna 9 became a silent object somewhere west of Reiner and Marius craters in Oceanus Procellarum. Its reported coordinates were approximate, and the lander was only about the size of a beach ball. From orbit, it could hide among natural rocks, shadows, and small craters.

That uncertainty is the reason the recent search should be handled carefully. A 2026 paper in npj Space Exploration by Lewis J. Pinault, Ian A. Crawford, and Hajime Yano reported several candidate artificial-looking features near the historically uncertain Luna 9 landing area, using a machine-learning system trained on Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera imagery of known Apollo landing sites.

The paper did not prove the lander has been found. It identified promising candidates near 7.03 degrees north and 64.33 degrees west, and said confirmation would require targeted follow-up imaging under better conditions. Other search efforts have proposed different candidate sites, which means the honest version is still unresolved.

The Moon is full of this kind of archaeological problem now. Lunokhod 1 was also lost for decades before modern lunar imaging helped recover it, and the Apollo sites are still studied from orbit by the shadows of objects and tracks left in dust.

Luna 9 remains different because of what it sent back before it vanished. It was not a rover trail, a reflector, or a flag. It was the first low horizon from another world, stretched through a newspaper fax machine, printed in ink before the country that landed it had finished controlling the story.

The lander is still somewhere in the Ocean of Storms, its batteries dead since February 1966, its petals open to vacuum. If one of the candidate sites is confirmed, the object will not have changed much. There is no rain on the Moon, no wind, no weather to fold the petals shut. The first camera station on another world is still sitting in the dust that made it famous.

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There’s a strange gap in the sizes of planets across the galaxy that nobody can explain, and a proposed NASA telescope could settle it by staring at 20,000 baby stars

17 June 2026 at 09:17
There's a strange gap in the sizes of planets across the galaxy that nobody can explain — and a $300 million NASA mission nobody's funding would settle it by staring at 20,000 baby stars

A small space telescope concept has been proposed to settle one of the most stubborn arguments in exoplanet science: why the galaxy seems to skip over worlds that are about 1.8 times the size of Earth. The proposed mission, called the Early eVolution Explorer (EVE), would stare at young star clusters for 2.5 years and try to catch planets while they are still being assembled — before the physics that carves the so-called radius valley has finished its work.

The mission concept, detailed in a recent arXiv preprint led by George Zhou and collaborators, has been pitched as a NASA Small Explorers (SMEX) candidate. It remains unfunded.

young exoplanet formation

The valley that shouldn’t be empty

Of the thousands of exoplanets confirmed since the early 1990s, a strange gap shows up in the size distribution. Planets a little larger than Earth are common. Planets a little smaller than Neptune are common. Worlds right in between — about 1.6 to 1.8 Earth radii — are oddly rare. Astronomers have called this the radius valley, and they have spent more than a decade arguing about what creates it.

Two explanations dominate. The first, the shrinking gas-dwarf hypothesis, says these planets all start out puffy, with thick hydrogen and helium envelopes. Intense radiation from their young host stars strips those envelopes away. Planets that lose their atmospheres shrink into the super-Earth pile. Planets that hang on stay as sub-Neptunes. The valley is what’s left in the middle.

The second is the water-world hypothesis. It argues that these are fundamentally two different kinds of planet from birth — small rocky worlds on one side, and dense, water-rich worlds on the other, with no migration between them. A 2022 study led by University of Chicago astronomer Rafael Luque, reported in Popular Science, found that density — not radius — separated planets around red dwarf stars into three families: rocky, gaseous, and water-rich worlds that may be roughly half H2O by mass.

Both hypotheses fit the data the field currently has. That’s the problem.

Why young planets are the answer

To distinguish the two, astronomers need to look at planets before atmospheric stripping has run its course. If the gas-dwarf model is right, young planetary systems should be teeming with puffy sub-Neptunes that haven’t yet lost their envelopes. If the water-world model is right, those puffy planets shouldn’t be there at all — the population should look much like it does today, just younger.

The catch: young planets are scarce in the catalog. Young stars are noisy. They flare. They spot. They rotate fast. All of that makes it hard to pick out the tiny dip in starlight that signals a transiting planet.

EVE is designed around that noise problem.

Three sensors, one job

The telescope would carry three separate detectors covering near-ultraviolet, optical, and near-infrared wavelengths simultaneously. Stellar flares tend to brighten dramatically in the UV while barely registering in the infrared. A real transiting planet does the opposite — it produces a roughly wavelength-independent dimming. By comparing all three channels in real time, EVE’s pipeline can flag stellar activity and isolate the planetary signal.

The observing plan calls for monitoring 30 fields of young star clusters, each for 30 days, capturing light from about 20,000 newly formed stars across the 2.5-year mission. That cadence is long enough to catch multiple transits of close-in planets and short enough to fit dozens of clusters into one mission lifetime.

The numbers that will settle it

The Zhou team’s modeling produces two starkly different predictions, which is what makes the mission valuable. If the gas-dwarf hypothesis is correct and young sub-Neptunes really are puffy and abundant, EVE should find roughly 100 small young planets. If the water-world hypothesis is correct, EVE should find only about five.

That’s a 20-to-1 ratio. Few exoplanet experiments offer a discriminator that clean.

A null-ish result — five planets — would not be a failure. It would be a strong constraint, and a hint that the planets we see around mature stars were largely built the way they look, rather than carved by radiation over hundreds of millions of years. A planet-rich result would close the door on water worlds as the dominant explanation for the valley.

The funding question

EVE has been submitted into NASA’s Small Explorers line, the same program that has produced compact astrophysics missions like IXPE and SPHEREx. NASA’s 2026 Astrophysics Small Explorer Announcement of Opportunity set the framework for the current competition, with selected concepts moving through phased study before any flight decision.

The budget environment is tight. A House appropriations subcommittee in April advanced a fiscal year 2027 spending bill that held NASA’s overall funding flat at $24.438 billion, rejecting a White House proposal to cut the agency by 23%. Within that flat top line, science took a $1.25 billion reduction from 2026 levels, though the figure was well above the administration’s $3.9 billion request.

Flat funding is a softer landing than the proposed cuts, but it still squeezes the science portfolio. SMEX missions are relatively cheap by NASA standards — typically capped around $150 million plus launch — which is part of what makes them politically survivable in lean years. EVE’s modest scope and sharp scientific question are the kind of pitch the Explorer program was designed to reward.

Why this matters beyond one valley

The radius valley is a small feature on a histogram. The argument behind it is not. Whether sub-Neptunes are stripped gas dwarfs or born water-rich changes the inventory of potentially habitable real estate in the galaxy. It changes how astronomers interpret atmospheric measurements from JWST and future observatories. It changes which target stars are worth pointing at for biosignature searches.

It also changes the assumed history of every planet we’ve already found. A mature super-Earth that was once a puffy sub-Neptune is a very different object than one that has always been rocky — different interior chemistry, different volatile inventory, different odds of holding onto an atmosphere long enough for chemistry to get interesting.

Recent work on individual planets has hinted at how varied these worlds can be. JWST thermal-emission spectroscopy of the ultra-hot super-Earth 55 Cancri e, for instance, suggests the planet may have a volatile atmosphere sustained by a magma ocean — a configuration that doesn’t fit neatly into either side of the radius valley debate.

The mission’s logic

EVE is small, narrow, and built around a single question with a binary answer. That focus is a feature. Big flagship telescopes get justified by their flexibility — they can do many things passably. Explorer-class missions earn their slots by doing one thing better than anything else can.

The Zhou team’s bet is that catching planets young, in UV through near-infrared, around the noisiest stars in the sky, is something only a dedicated instrument can do well. If NASA agrees, the next several years could finally produce data that ends a debate the field has been having since the Kepler era.

If not, the radius valley keeps its secret a little longer.

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In 1966, Soviet chief designer Sergei Korolev died on an operating table in Moscow at the age of 59, and two days later the newspaper Pravda printed his name and face for the first time — until that obituary, the man who launched Sputnik and put Gagarin in orbit was known publicly only as the Chief Designer

17 June 2026 at 08:35

On the morning of January 16, 1966, readers of Pravda opened the state newspaper to find a name they had never seen in print before: Sergei Pavlovich Korolev. Below it ran an obituary, and a photograph of a broad-faced, heavy-jawed man in a dark suit covered in medals. He had died two days earlier, on January 14, on an operating table at a Moscow hospital, age 59. For nearly a decade, the man who had launched Sputnik, who had put Yuri Gagarin into orbit, who had aimed probes at the Moon and Venus and Mars, had been referred to in Soviet communiqués only as Glavny Konstruktor — the Chief Designer. The world learned who he was after he was already in a coffin.

The secrecy had been deliberate. The Kremlin worried about Western assassination. It also disapproved, officially, of what it called the cult of personalities. So the architect of every Soviet space first remained an unnamed bureaucratic title, even as Khrushchev waved his rockets at the world.

Sergei Korolev portrait

The man behind the title

Korolev was born on January 12, 1907, in Zhitomir, in what is now Ukraine. He trained under the aircraft designer Andrei Tupolev in Moscow, qualified as a pilot, and by 1933 had launched the first liquid-fuelled rocket in the USSR, according to a Guardian profile drawing on James Harford’s biography.

Then, in 1938, secret service agents arrested him as a spy. He was beaten. He confessed, under torture, to crimes of treason and sabotage he had not committed, and was sentenced to ten years’ hard labour at Kolyma, the most notorious of the Gulag camps.

He lost all his teeth there. His jaw was broken. He may have suffered a heart attack. He survived months at the gold mine before being transferred to a prison design bureau in Moscow, where he spent the rest of the war building aircraft and rockets from behind bars.

From Kolyma to the R-7

In 1945, the Red Army made him a colonel and sent him to Germany. The Soviets had seized stores of V-2 components from the Nazis, and they needed someone who could understand them. Wernher von Braun and most of his team had already defected to the Americans with several complete rockets — a head start that would shape the entire Cold War in space.

Korolev studied what was left. He slept a few hours a night. He shouted at engineers and forgave them an hour later. In 1957, he launched the Soviet R-7, the world’s first intercontinental ballistic missile, on a flight from Baikonur to the Kamchatka peninsula. He had beaten the United States to an operational ICBM.

Weeks later, on October 4, 1957, a modified R-7 placed Sputnik 1 in orbit. Korolev had insisted on the satellite being audible — the engineers bolted on transmitters loud enough that ham radio operators around the world could pick up the beep on cheap shortwave receivers, a deliberate choice we’ve written about in the story of Sputnik’s transmitter. The point was for ordinary people to hear it. They did.

The team that built Sputnik, as NPR documented on the satellite’s 50th anniversary, did not fully grasp what they had done. The political shockwave in Washington was larger than anything they had planned for. The Chief Designer kept working.

A name held back on purpose

What followed was the most concentrated run of firsts in the history of spaceflight, all directed by a man whose existence was a state secret. Korolev’s bureau put the first dog in orbit, the first woman, the first multi-person crew. It directed the first spacewalk. It built the first Soviet spy satellite and the first Soviet communications satellite. It flew probes at the Moon, Venus, and Mars — all on a budget that Western analysts would later describe as a shoestring.

Each triumph was announced in the name of Soviet science, the Soviet people, the Soviet system. The man responsible was referred to, when referred to at all, as the Chief Designer. As National Review noted in a 2016 retrospective, the achievement was considered to belong to the collective.

The Kremlin had practical reasons too. A named chief designer was a target. He could be approached by Western intelligence. He could be assassinated. He could be poached. Anonymity was protection, even if it cost him every form of public recognition a scientist could earn.

Vostok rocket Baikonur

The morning of April 12, 1961

On the dawn of April 12, 1961, at Baikonur, a peasant farmer’s son named Yuri Gagarin rose on a 20-storey rocket into low Earth orbit. The capsule was small. The pilot was one of the few selected cosmonauts who actually fit inside it.

One orbit. One hundred and eight minutes. Gagarin shouted Poyekhali! — let’s go — and a few minutes later was looking down at clouds and oceans no human eye had ever seen from that altitude. From orbit he radioed back what he saw — the Earth, the clouds, the curve of the horizon — and called the view beautiful.

Gagarin became an instant global celebrity. He toured capitals around the world. The Soviet system had its perfect ambassador, a short, smiling peasant’s son who could disarm hostile crowds in any capital.

Korolev, meanwhile, watched it all from behind the curtain. The cosmonaut he affectionately called his little eagle was a household name on six continents. The man who had designed the rocket, selected the pilot, and directed the mission was, officially, no one.

A body that wouldn’t hold

Five years of relentless work followed Gagarin’s flight. Korolev was already a damaged man — Kolyma had left him with a broken jaw, missing teeth, a weak heart, and what colleagues described as periodic bouts of exhaustion he refused to treat. He slept little. He lived frugally. He carried the entire human spaceflight program in his head and his shouted directives.

In January 1966, he checked into a Moscow hospital for what was meant to be routine surgery. During the procedure, complications arose. Korolev, whose jaw had been broken in the Gulag, could not be properly intubated. His weakened heart failed on the table. He died on January 14, 1966, at the age of 59.

The Politburo decided, this time, that the man should be named.

The Pravda of January 16 carried the announcement. The text identified Sergei Pavlovich Korolev as the academician who had led the design of Sputnik, of Vostok, of Voskhod, of the lunar and planetary probes. His photograph appeared above the fold. For most Soviet citizens, and for everyone outside the USSR, it was the first time they had ever seen his face or read his name in connection with the program.

His ashes were interred in the Kremlin wall, the highest honour the Soviet state could give. He received, in death, the public identity the system had denied him in life. Cosmonauts who had trained under him for years were finally permitted to acknowledge, on the record, who had run their program.

Wernher von Braun, his American counterpart, would learn the name along with the rest of the world. The two men had been racing each other for nearly two decades without von Braun knowing who he was racing.

What the anonymity cost

Some historians argue the secrecy may have cost the Soviet Union the Moon. Korolev had been working on the N-1, a massive lunar rocket meant to carry cosmonauts to the surface, when he died. His successor, Vasily Mishin, was a capable engineer but lacked Korolev’s authority with the political leadership and the rival design bureaus. The N-1 failed in all four of its test launches between 1969 and 1972, each time spectacularly. The program was quietly cancelled.

By then, Armstrong and Aldrin had already walked on the Moon, atop a Saturn V designed by a publicly celebrated Wernher von Braun, who had spent the 1960s on the cover of magazines and as a fixture on American television. Whether a named, internationally lionised Korolev could have held the Soviet lunar program together is one of the great counterfactuals of the space age.

Gagarin, the face the system had built up to the world, did not outlive his mentor by long. He died on March 27, 1968, in a MiG-15 training crash near the village of Novosyolovo, age 34. He had been grounded from spaceflight after the Soyuz 1 disaster killed his friend Vladimir Komarov in 1967 — the state had decided it could not risk its biggest legend. The legend of Gagarin, as Space Daily has reported on the cosmonaut’s enduring grip on Russian memory, only grew after his death.

Both men ended up in the Kremlin wall, urns of ashes set into the brick on Red Square. The peasant’s son who had become the most photographed man in the world, and the engineer whose first photograph in any newspaper was the one printed with his obituary. They lie within a few metres of each other.

The story of how the Soviet system organised its space program — secrets, hidden designers, named cosmonauts, suppressed parachute details, invented Gagarin quotes about not seeing God in orbit — has been the subject of decades of declassification and revision, including museum exhibitions that brought Soviet space artefacts to Western audiences for the first time. Pieces of Korolev’s machines now sit behind glass in cities he was never allowed to visit while alive.

His name today is on a city — Korolyov, just outside Moscow, home to the mission control centre that still flies Russian crews to the International Space Station. It is on craters, on streets, on schools. The Chief Designer has, in the end, become one of the most recognised names in Russian science.

He has been dead for sixty years. He spent fewer than nine of his 59 years as a publicly named man, and all of those nine years he was in prison, in a design bureau, or in a Kolyma mine. The face on the front page of Pravda on January 16, 1966, belonged to someone the world had been watching for a decade without knowing it. The beeps from Sputnik. The voice from Vostok. The probes drifting toward Venus. All of it had a single signature on it, and the signature was a job title.

The world finally learned the name on a winter morning in Moscow, and by then the man it belonged to was already cooling in a hospital room.

The post In 1966, Soviet chief designer Sergei Korolev died on an operating table in Moscow at the age of 59, and two days later the newspaper Pravda printed his name and face for the first time — until that obituary, the man who launched Sputnik and put Gagarin in orbit was known publicly only as the Chief Designer appeared first on Space Daily.

Near the Milky Way’s core, NASA’s Chandra spotted an X-ray blob too bright to easily explain — over ten times brighter than massive young star clusters — and astronomers think it may be the still-expanding wreckage of a supernova that exploded around 300 AD.

17 June 2026 at 08:24
The Milky Way arching over a dark night sky, its bright galactic centre visible.

Astronomers have found a bright knot of X-rays close to the centre of the Milky Way that may be the remains of a star that exploded around seventeen centuries ago. The candidate sits inside Sagittarius C, a star-forming region about 26,000 light-years from Earth, and the case for it rests on data from NASA’s Chandra X-ray Observatory and the European Space Agency’s XMM-Newton. The findings were published in The Astrophysical Journal by Zhenlin Zhu and Mark Morris of the University of California, Los Angeles, with Gabriele Ponti of Italy’s National Institute for Astrophysics and Ping Zhou of Nanjing University; a record of the paper is available via arXiv.

The word doing the heavy lifting is “possible”.

This is a supernova remnant candidate, not a confirmed one, and that distinction shapes how the whole result should be read.

What the data actually shows

The evidence is a “blob” of X-ray emission, in NASA’s own phrasing, embedded in a larger bubble of expanding gas around a young, massive star. That bubble, where radiation has stripped electrons from hydrogen, is the bright radio source known as Sagittarius C. The X-ray blob is what the team argues could be the wreckage of a massive star that collapsed and exploded.

One detail is easy to miss in the coverage. The X-ray data here is not new. It comes from five Chandra observations taken between July 2001 and August 2014, roughly 57 hours in total, combined with XMM-Newton. What is new is the analysis, not the sighting. That may be the more interesting part of the story: a result pulled from archived data that had been sitting in the record for a decade.

Why ten times brighter matters

The most concrete number in the paper is a brightness comparison. The X-ray emission from the blob is more than ten times brighter than the X-rays from large, known clusters of bright, massive stars. That figure is the team’s main reason for discounting the obvious alternative, which is that the glow comes from a crowd of hot young stars rather than an explosion. On the available evidence, the authors do not think the star-cluster explanation fits.

There is a complication they report plainly, and it cuts against the supernova reading rather than for it. A real remnant should show enhanced amounts of elements forged in the blast, things like iron, oxygen, and silicon. The team searched for that signature and did not find it. Their suggested explanation is that the debris has already mixed into the surrounding gas, which is reasonable for an older remnant.

A non-detection is still a non-detection.

The seventeen-century question

If the blob is a supernova remnant, the team estimates it is expanding at about two million miles per hour, or roughly 3.2 million kilometres per hour, and is at least about 1,700 years old. Counting back from now, “at least 1,700 years” points to an explosion around 300 AD or earlier. The “at least” is worth holding onto, because it is a floor rather than a fixed date, and the event could be considerably older.

This is not the first hint that something detonated here. Observations with NASA’s now-retired SOFIA mission had already shown an expanding shell of gas around Sagittarius C, which suggested a star had exploded in the same spot. The X-ray candidate fits that earlier clue, though fitting a prior hint is not the same as confirmation.

What confirmation would mean

The reason this is worth attention is location. If it holds up, this would be one of the closest supernova remnants ever identified to Sagittarius A*, the supermassive black hole at the galactic centre. That region is dense with massive stars, strong magnetic fields, and fast-moving clouds of gas, all of which make a clean detection harder and a confirmed remnant there especially useful for studying how stars live and die in the most crowded part of the galaxy.

What would settle it is the chemistry. Deeper X-ray observations that either find the missing elemental signature, or rule it out, would do more than another brightness measurement. For now the honest summary is the one the researchers themselves use: a strong candidate, an old prior hint from SOFIA, and a heavy-element search that came back empty. Whether the blob graduates from possible to confirmed is the thing to watch.

The post Near the Milky Way’s core, NASA’s Chandra spotted an X-ray blob too bright to easily explain — over ten times brighter than massive young star clusters — and astronomers think it may be the still-expanding wreckage of a supernova that exploded around 300 AD. appeared first on Space Daily.

In 1979, Voyager 1 flew past Jupiter and photographed an active volcano erupting on Io, the first time volcanic activity had ever been observed on a world other than Earth, spotted by a navigation engineer checking the probe’s position

17 June 2026 at 03:30

In March 1979, NASA’s Voyager 1 probe swept past Jupiter and, in an image taken not for science but for navigation, captured the first active volcano ever seen on a world other than Earth. The volcano was on Io, the innermost of Jupiter’s four Galilean moons. The person who found it was Linda Morabito, an optical navigation engineer at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, who was using the picture to work out exactly where the spacecraft was.

She was not looking for a volcano. She was looking at the stars behind Io to fix the position of the probe.

The plume was in the way.

How a navigation image found a volcano

Spacecraft far from Earth can be located partly by photographing a known moon against the background stars and measuring the geometry. Voyager did this routinely. After its closest approach to Jupiter on 5 March, the probe took a set of long-exposure images of Io for exactly this purpose, the lowest-priority frames of the encounter.

On the morning of 9 March, Morabito processed one of them, taken the day before. To bring out the faint background stars she stretched the contrast of the image, and a shape appeared off the edge of Io: a large, umbrella-shaped cloud rising some 270 kilometres above the surface and catching the sunlight. Her own account describes working through the rest of the day, with colleagues, to rule out the ordinary explanations, an imaging artifact or an unknown moon behind Io. By evening the answer was clear. It was a plume from an erupting volcano, later named Pele.

When the team went back through the images Voyager had already taken, they found more. The Voyager 1 images held eight active volcanic plumes in all, on a moon no one had expected to be doing anything at all. Across the two Voyager flybys that year, the tally rose to nine erupting volcanoes.

The prediction that arrived first

Except that someone had expected it, just days earlier, and almost no one had noticed yet.

On 2 March 1979, three days before Voyager 1’s close pass of Io, the journal Science published a paper by Stan Peale, Patrick Cassen and Ray Reynolds titled “Melting of Io by tidal dissipation.” They argued that Jupiter’s gravity should flex Io enough to heat its interior and melt much of it, and they ended with a specific forecast: the consequences of a largely molten interior might be visible in the pictures Voyager was about to take.

The timing is hard to improve on. A theoretical paper predicted volcanism on Io, and within a week a navigation image confirmed it. Morabito has said she was unaware of the paper at the time, though others on the mission, including the project scientist Edward Stone, were already watching for anything that might bear it out. It is one of the cleaner examples in planetary science of a prediction and its confirmation arriving almost together.

Why Io melts

The mechanism the paper described is tidal heating. Io’s orbit is not quite circular, and it is kept that way by a steady gravitational tug-of-war with two of Jupiter’s other large moons, Europa and Ganymede, whose orbits are locked in a simple ratio with Io’s. Because the orbit is slightly eccentric, the strength of Jupiter’s pull on Io rises and falls as it goes round, and the moon is squeezed and released over and over. That constant flexing generates heat through friction inside the body, enough to keep much of Io’s interior molten.

The result is the most volcanically active body in the solar system. Io is only a little larger than Earth’s Moon, yet it carries an estimated several hundred volcanoes, with plumes that can reach hundreds of kilometres into space. Its surface is constantly remade by eruptions.

What it changed

Before Io, internal heat in a planet or moon was mostly explained by two things: leftover warmth from formation, and the slow decay of radioactive elements. Both favour large bodies, which hold their heat and have more radioactive material to begin with. A moon the size of Io should, by that reasoning, be cold and dead.

Tidal heating added a third source, one that does not depend on size but on orbit. That idea has travelled well beyond Io. It is now central to why scientists think Jupiter’s moon Europa and Saturn’s moon Enceladus may hold liquid water oceans beneath their ice, kept liquid by the same kind of flexing. The search for habitable environments in the outer solar system rests, in part, on the heat source that a navigation engineer stumbled onto in 1979.

What endures

Io is still erupting now, more than four decades on, and later missions have watched its volcanoes come and go. The first sighting still stands apart. It was not a planned observation by a dedicated instrument. It was a side effect of checking where the spacecraft was, found by someone careful enough to ask what the smudge on the edge of a moon actually was, three days after a paper had said it should be there.

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In May 1961, Alan Shepard became the first American in space, but only after a four-hour hold on the launch pad left him with a full bladder and no collection device, until he finally told the launch team he would have to go inside his sealed pressure suit, briefly short-circuiting his medical sensors

16 June 2026 at 14:50

On the morning of May 5, 1961, Alan Shepard lay strapped on his back inside a capsule the size of a phone booth, breathing pure oxygen through a sealed pressure suit, waiting for a Redstone rocket beneath him to stop misbehaving. The countdown had already slipped past three hours. His bladder was full. The hatch was bolted shut. Mission control kept telling him to hold. Eventually, according to National Geographic’s reconstruction of the morning, Shepard told the engineers he was going to urinate inside the suit, and they let him.

The voltage sensors strapped to his chest and legs went briefly haywire. The cotton long johns beneath the silver pressure layer soaked through. The oxygen flow dried him out before liftoff. Fifteen minutes later he was the first American in space.

The episode is funny in the retelling and it almost always gets told as comedy. The serious part is what it exposed: nobody at NASA in the spring of 1961 had thought seriously about what a human body does over a four-hour hold inside a sealed suit wired to live electronics.

A 15-minute flight, a four-hour wait

Freedom 7’s mission was meant to be brief. Suborbital. Up and down. The capsule reached an altitude of 116.5 miles before splashing into the Atlantic, as Astronomy magazine’s day-in-history account records. Total flight time: about fifteen minutes.

The launch prep was a different story. Shepard had been awake since the early hours of the morning. He ate breakfast, suited up, and was sealed inside Freedom 7 in the pre-dawn dark, with the hatch bolted shut roughly two hours before the scheduled 7:20 a.m. launch. That window opened and closed without a liftoff.

Weather rolled in. A small inverter on the booster started acting up. An IBM 7090 computer at Goddard wanted to be checked. Each issue cost twenty minutes, then forty, then an hour. By the time the candle was finally lit at 9:34 a.m., Shepard had been horizontal in the capsule for more than four hours.

The plan was that he wouldn’t need to

There was no urine collection device inside the Mercury suit because the mission, as designed, did not require one. Fifteen minutes is shorter than most car commutes. The Mercury planners assumed the astronaut would empty his bladder before suit-up and be fine until splashdown.

What they did not plan for was the hold.

Shepard asked over the comm loop if he could get out and use the bathroom. The answer came back from the capsule communicator: no. Unstrapping him, opening the hatch, walking him down the gantry, suiting him back up, and resealing Freedom 7 would have cost hours and risked the whole mission. The Soviets had already put Yuri Gagarin in orbit on April 12, just three and a half weeks earlier. Every hour the U.S. delayed was another hour the rest of the world spent watching the Soviet Union look like the future.

Shepard pressed the question. According to the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum’s account of the flight, no provision had been made for him to relieve himself, and the launch team eventually told him to go in the suit. The flight surgeons worried about the medical telemetry shorting out. The electrical engineers worried about the wires.

Alan Shepard Freedom 7 capsule

What the sensors actually did

The Mercury biomedical harness was not subtle. Shepard had electrodes on his chest reading heart rate, a respirometer at his face mask, and thermistors reading skin temperature at several locations including his lower torso and thighs. The wiring ran through the suit and into a connector at his waist that fed the capsule’s telemetry system.

When the urine pooled, the readings spiked. Heart-rate channels jumped. Skin-temperature numbers swung. The biomedical team at the Cape watched the trace and, briefly, lost confidence in what they were looking at.

The pure oxygen environment inside the suit then did what it does in a closed, ventilated space. It evaporated the moisture. By the time the engines lit, Shepard was uncomfortable but dry, and the sensors had settled back into something readable.

Forty-five million Americans watched the launch on live television, as the WDBJ7 anniversary recap notes. None of them knew. Shepard’s now-famous instruction to the launch team was broadcast in the clear. The other parts of that conversation were not.

The plumbing question, redesigned slowly

The popular telling of this story claims NASA redesigned every subsequent flight’s plumbing from scratch the next week. That overstates what actually happened. The fixes came in stages, and they were never as elegant as the rocket they were attached to.

Gus Grissom’s Liberty Bell 7 flight in July 1961 was the next Mercury launch and it, too, was suborbital and short. Grissom flew without a true urine collection device. By the time John Glenn was preparing to orbit the Earth in early 1962 — a flight that would last several hours — the problem could no longer be ignored. NASA engineers fitted Glenn’s suit with a modified condom catheter draining into a rubber collection bag strapped to his thigh. The design was crude. It leaked. Glenn used it anyway.

By the Gemini program, the urine collection assembly had become a standard suit component, with a one-way valve and a dump line that vented overboard. By Apollo, astronauts had dedicated devices for both liquid and solid waste, the latter being a now-infamous adhesive bag system that nobody on the lunar missions remembered fondly.

The through-line is that Shepard’s four-hour hold made the engineers stop assuming the human body would behave for the duration of the mission. Every long-duration assumption that followed — fluid management, electrolyte balance, the cooling garments under Apollo suits, the way modern spacewalk suits handle waste — traces back to the moment somebody at the Cape realized a flight surgeon’s planning chart did not survive contact with a real bladder on a real launch pad.

The pilot they nearly didn’t fly

The other thing the Shepard story exposes is how close the United States came to not flying him at all. NASA had originally planned a crewed Mercury launch in March 1961. A test flight with the chimpanzee Ham had revealed booster problems that Wernher von Braun insisted be fixed before a human was strapped on top.

That decision pushed the first crewed Mercury launch from March to May. In the gap, on April 12, Yuri Gagarin orbited the Earth. The Soviets had won the race to put a human in space, and they would have won it by a wider margin if von Braun had been less cautious.

Shepard was furious about the delay. He had been told privately in January that he was the choice for the first flight, beating out John Glenn and Gus Grissom. He spent the next several months training for a flight that kept slipping, watching Gagarin take the prize he had been promised.

When NASA finally announced his selection publicly days before the launch, Shepard was the most rehearsed astronaut in the program. He had run the fifteen-minute profile in the simulator more than a hundred times. He had not rehearsed the four-hour wait.

Mercury Redstone launch 1961

What carries down through the family

In December 2021, Shepard’s daughter Laura Shepard Churchley flew to the edge of space herself, on a Blue Origin New Shepard mission named for him. The launch experienced weather delays — delays of the same flavor, if not the same scale, as the ones that left her father stranded on the pad in 1961.

Her flight lasted about ten minutes. She wore a flight suit with modern moisture-wicking layers and the kind of plumbing options her father had been denied. She did not need them. The wait on the pad was short.

Why this story survives

There are more important facts about Alan Shepard’s flight. Freedom 7 proved that the Redstone-Mercury stack could put a human into ballistic flight and bring him home alive. It gave President Kennedy the political cover to commit, three weeks later, to a crewed lunar landing before the decade was out. It set the trajectory of American spaceflight for the next eight years and arguably the next sixty.

The plumbing story survives because it is the part of the morning that nobody planned. The trajectory was calculated to the second. The heat shield was tested to specifications. The retro-rockets were timed against tables. The bladder was not on anyone’s checklist.

That is what holds matter for. They are when the assumptions in the planning documents meet the body of the person inside the suit. Every long-duration mission since — Skylab, Mir, the ISS, the planned transit to Mars — is built on the recognition that a human inside a sealed system will, given enough time, do something the system was not designed for.

The archival footage from the launch shows Freedom 7 climbing on a pale exhaust plume against a Florida sky. The capsule looks impossibly small. The crowd on the beach looks impossibly close. The man inside is dry, just barely, and about to spend fifteen minutes earning the rest of the program’s future.

He landed in the Atlantic 302 miles downrange, was hoisted out of Freedom 7 by a helicopter from the carrier USS Lake Champlain, and reportedly asked for a glass of water.

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When SpaceX described a million AI data-center satellites, each first-generation craft stretched wider than a Boeing 747, and astronomers saw the same problem Rubin Observatory was built to hate: bright moving hardware crossing the faintest parts of the sky

16 June 2026 at 08:01

SpaceX’s first-generation AI data-center satellite is not a faint box in orbit. The reported AI1 design stretches about 70 meters across when deployed, carries a compute payload rated around 120 kilowatts on average and 150 kilowatts at peak, and uses up to 110 square meters of radiators to dump heat into space.

That geometry is why astronomers are watching the idea with such unease. A spacecraft that wide, reflective, and thermally exposed is not just a data-center proposal. It is a moving optical object, crossing the same dark sky that the Vera C. Rubin Observatory is about to scan with the largest digital camera ever built for astronomy.

The number attached to the plan is even stranger. SpaceX has been reported to have filed for or discussed a constellation that could eventually reach as many as 1 million orbital data-center satellites, a scale far beyond the roughly tens of thousands of satellites that already worry observatories.

The old version of this article used a stronger claim: that the full constellation would make the sky as bright as a half-moon everywhere on Earth. That claim is not used here because it could not be verified to a primary public source. The verified warning is narrower, but still severe: peer-reviewed and preprint modeling shows that very large or very bright satellite constellations can damage astronomical images through streaks, glints, detector saturation, false alerts, and added sky background.

satellite trails crossing a dark astronomical sky

A data center with wings wider than a jumbo jet

According to Tom’s Hardware’s report on SpaceX’s AI1 design, the first-generation craft would span about 70 meters when deployed, slightly wider than the 68.4-meter wingspan of a Boeing 747-8. The same report describes an average compute load of 120 kilowatts, a 150-kilowatt peak, and operation at roughly 600 kilometers altitude.

Those figures matter because optical astronomy is sensitive to surface area, altitude, attitude, and reflectivity. A satellite does not have to look bright to the unaided eye to be damaging to a long astronomical exposure. It only has to throw enough sunlight into a detector built to capture photons from objects billions of times fainter.

The radiator figure is the detail that turns a computing story into a sky story. On Earth, a rack-scale AI system can shed heat into circulating air and water. In orbit, there is no air and no water sink. Heat has to leave through radiators, which means a spacecraft built to compute at high power also has to carry surfaces designed to face cold space.

That does not automatically mean AI1 would be disastrously bright. Brightness depends on coating, orientation, phase angle, orbital altitude, and whether the spacecraft is in deployment, parking, or operational mode. But it does mean the relevant object is not a small Starlink-like box. It is a large deployed spacecraft with solar arrays, radiators, and thermal surfaces that astronomers would need to model before they could know how much sky it changes.

Why magnitude 7 became the line astronomers keep returning to

The most repeated technical threshold in the astronomy debate is magnitude 7. In the astronomical magnitude system, lower numbers mean brighter objects. Venus can appear around magnitude -4, bright stars sit near magnitude 0 or 1, and the unaided human eye under dark skies generally stops around magnitude 6 or a little fainter.

For modern survey telescopes, naked-eye visibility is the wrong test. A satellite can be invisible to a person and still saturate a scientific detector. In a 2025 Rubin Observatory LSST workshop report, participants reaffirmed the recommendation that tracked low-Earth-orbit satellites should be no brighter than 7th AB magnitude for the protection of Rubin-style optical survey work.

That recommendation came after years of Starlink mitigation work. A 2020 Rubin Observatory study on LEO satellite brightness and trail effects found that the original Starlink satellites were around g magnitude 4.5, while the experimental DarkSat reached about g magnitude 6.1. The authors wrote that future darkening might reach g magnitude 7, a level at which nonlinear image artifacts could be corrected far below background noise, though the trails would still remain.

A later study of Starlink Mini brightness distributions found that the sky area containing satellites brighter than magnitudes 6 and 7 is largest during twilight. That matters for surveys looking near the Sun’s direction, including searches for near-Earth asteroids and other objects that are hardest to observe in full darkness.

SpaceX has been credited by some astronomers for engaging on brightness mitigation more seriously than many operators. That history is real. It is also the reason AI1 is being judged against a known standard rather than a vague complaint about satellites looking ugly in long-exposure photographs.

Rubin Observatory is built to find faint things quickly

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory sits on Cerro Pachón in Chile, where its Legacy Survey of Space and Time is designed to scan the southern sky repeatedly for ten years. Its wide field, fast cadence, and enormous LSST Camera are what make it powerful. They are also what make it exposed.

Rubin is meant to catch things that move, flare, fade, or appear only once: supernovas, asteroids, distant Solar System bodies, variable stars, and optical counterparts to gravitational-wave events. A satellite trail is not just a line through a pretty picture. It can mask pixels, create residual noise, trigger false detections, and contaminate the statistical measurements that depend on clean repeated imaging.

In a 2022 Rubin satellite-avoidance study, researchers simulated Starlink and OneWeb constellations totaling about 40,000 satellites. They found that, with reasonably accurate orbit forecasts, sacrificing about 10 percent of LSST observing time could cut the fraction of visits with streaks by about half.

That is a mitigation, not a cure. The same paper noted that the need for avoidance depends on satellite brightness, glints, low-surface-brightness residuals, and the effect on alert purity and systematic errors. Those are exactly the unknowns that a very large orbital data-center constellation would multiply.

A million satellites would not behave like 40,000 satellites scaled up neatly on a spreadsheet. Launch cadence, parking orbits, orbit raising, failed units, replacements, attitude modes, and end-of-life disposal would all matter. The sky problem is not just the final architecture. It is the moving assembly line required to build and maintain it.

BlueWalker 3 showed what one large reflective spacecraft can do

Astronomers already have a warning case for large deployed satellites. AST SpaceMobile’s BlueWalker 3 unfolded a large phased-array antenna in 2022, and observers quickly found that it became one of the brighter artificial objects in the night sky.

In a 2023 photometric study of BlueWalker 3, Anthony Mallama, Richard E. Cole, Scott Tilley, Cees Bassa, and Scott Harrington reported that the satellite was most frequently between magnitudes 2.0 and 3.0, and about magnitude 1.4 when near zenith. That is bright enough to rival prominent stars.

A follow-up BlueWalker 3 Redux paper found that the spacecraft later faded, with the average maximum luminosity near zenith reduced from magnitude 1.0 to 2.2. Even after that improvement, the authors wrote that it remained usually bright enough to interfere with astronomical research.

The lesson is not that AI1 would necessarily match BlueWalker 3. The spacecraft are different. The lesson is that large deployed areas in low Earth orbit can become astronomy problems immediately, and mitigation may depend on details that are hard to judge from a promotional render: the underside coating, the solar-array angle, the radiator attitude, and the exact shape of the reflectance curve.

Space Daily has also covered the broader expansion of satellite constellations and radio astronomy concerns, a parallel problem in which optical glare is only one part of a larger fight over the usable sky.

Glints are a separate problem from streaks

Satellite streaks are the obvious signature. A spacecraft crosses a long exposure and draws a bright line across a frame. Glints are shorter and more deceptive: a flat surface briefly catches sunlight and flashes, sometimes for milliseconds, sometimes in a way that looks less like a moving satellite and more like a sudden astrophysical event.

A 2023 study of satellite glints in ZTF and LSST-style surveys found that artificial satellites and space debris can create false point-source alerts that hinder the search for rapid transients. Using more than three years of Zwicky Transient Facility data, the authors estimated that at least 20 percent of isolated single-frame events were related to artificial satellites, with an all-sky glint rate up to 80,000 per hour.

That is the kind of noise Rubin was not built to ignore casually. A survey that watches the sky for one-off flashes has to decide whether a bright pixel is a satellite reflection, a detector artifact, a supernova, a gamma-ray burst afterglow, a kilonova, or something nobody has classified before.

If an orbital data-center satellite has large radiators, solar arrays, and changing attitude states, its glint behavior matters as much as its average brightness. The most damaging moment may not be the average pass. It may be the rare angle where a thermal or power surface sends sunlight straight into the telescope.

The most defensible warning is not a half-moon, but a crowding limit

The strongest recent modeling does not need the unverified half-moon line. In a 2026 study of large and bright satellite constellations, European Southern Observatory astronomer Olivier Hainaut modeled direct trail losses, diffuse satellite light, and scattered sky brightness from proposed constellations.

The results separate dim satellites from bright ones. Hainaut found that a constellation of about 60,000 satellites kept fainter than the V 550-kilometer magnitude-7 recommendation would add only about one ten-thousandth of the natural dark-sky brightness. But the same study found that constellations with 1 million satellites make trails pervasive, and that extremely bright reflector-style constellations could raise the scattered sky background by 200 to 300 percent.

The study also recommended keeping the total satellite population below roughly 100,000 if field-of-view losses are to remain comparable to ordinary technical downtime. That figure is not a law of physics or an international regulation. It is a modeled guardrail for astronomy, and SpaceX’s discussed million-satellite scale sits an order of magnitude beyond it.

This is the defensible version of the warning: not that AI1 has already been proven to turn every sky into permanent moonlight, but that a million large spacecraft would push astronomy into a regime where the existing mitigation playbook was never designed to operate. At that scale, even individually managed satellites become a foreground population.

For now, the sky still changes the old way. Twilight lowers, satellites brighten and fade, and the dark between them returns. The question raised by orbital data centers is whether that darkness remains a background condition of astronomy, or becomes something telescopes have to chase between machines.

The post When SpaceX described a million AI data-center satellites, each first-generation craft stretched wider than a Boeing 747, and astronomers saw the same problem Rubin Observatory was built to hate: bright moving hardware crossing the faintest parts of the sky appeared first on Space Daily.

Australia’s Independent Commission Against Corruption can compel testimony that would be inadmissible in any criminal court — a power no American investigator possesses

16 June 2026 at 06:47
Australia's Independent Commission Against Corruption can compel testimony that would be inadmissible in any criminal court — a power no American investigator possesses

Australia’s Independent Commission Against Corruption can drag a witness into a hearing room in Sydney, place them under oath, and demand answers to questions that no American prosecutor could compel without immunity, a grand jury, or a court fight that might last years. The witness cannot refuse on the grounds that the answer might incriminate them. They can be jailed for contempt if they stay silent. And the transcript of what they say, under that compulsion, generally cannot be used to convict them in a later criminal trial — because the bargain ICAC strikes is that truth comes first, prosecution comes second, and the two are deliberately kept apart.

That arrangement has no direct equivalent in American law.

ICAC hearing room Sydney

What ICAC actually does in a hearing room

ICAC was created by the New South Wales parliament in 1988, in the wake of a state government that had collapsed under the weight of police and ministerial scandals. The commission’s enabling statute gives it the authority to summon any person, demand documents, and conduct public examinations under oath. Refusing to attend is an offence. Refusing to answer is an offence. Lying is an offence.

The Tinkler hearings as illustration

Nathan Tinkler, a former Hunter Valley mine electrician who became one of Australia’s youngest billionaires before later declaring bankruptcy, appeared before ICAC during hearings into political donations connected to coal interests in New South Wales. He answered questions about donations, corporate structures, and meetings that an American billionaire facing a similar federal probe could have simply declined to discuss by invoking the Fifth Amendment.

ICAC made no corruption finding against Tinkler. He has never been convicted of any crime. He has denied wrongdoing throughout. The point is not what the commission concluded about him — the point is the mechanism. He was in the chair, sworn in, and answering, because the statute said he had to be.

An American counterpart would have had options. A subpoena to testify before a congressional committee can be fought, narrowed, or simply ignored at the political cost of a contempt referral. A federal grand jury subpoena is harder to resist, but the Fifth Amendment travels with the witness into the room. Civil investigative demands from agencies like the SEC compel documents and depositions, but a witness can still refuse to answer specific questions on self-incrimination grounds.

The Fifth Amendment problem

The structural difference comes down to a single constitutional clause. The Fifth Amendment to the US Constitution says no person “shall be compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself.” Courts have read that clause to apply not only to criminal trials but to any setting where the answers could later be used in a criminal prosecution — a congressional hearing, a grand jury, a regulatory deposition, an SEC interview. Anywhere a federal or state authority might later turn an admission into a charge, the privilege follows.

The privilege against self-incrimination — the bedrock of any American courtroom — is explicitly removed inside an ICAC hearing. A witness must answer. In exchange, the answers themselves cannot generally be used against the witness in subsequent criminal proceedings. Derivative evidence can be, in some circumstances. The transcript itself, mostly, cannot. This is sometimes called use immunity. American federal prosecutors have a version of it, but they have to grant it deliberately, case by case, usually through a court order, and usually only after weighing whether the testimony is worth burning the prosecution. ICAC has it built into the statute as a default operating mode.

Australia has no equivalent constitutional protection to the Fifth Amendment. The common law privilege against self-incrimination exists, but parliament can override it by statute, and in the ICAC Act, parliament did. The trade-off — answers compelled, but those answers walled off from criminal prosecution — is the design choice that lets the commission function. That single constitutional gap is why every American attempt to build something ICAC-shaped runs aground before it gets off the drafting table.

How American investigators actually try to compel testimony

The contrast is visible in real time across the United States. In October 2023, the Securities and Exchange Commission asked a federal court to compel Elon Musk to sit for testimony in its investigation of his Twitter acquisition. The SEC could not simply order him to appear. It had to file a court application, argue its case, and wait — and the case had already been opened in 2022, meaning the agency burned more than a year of investigative time on a single witness’s appearance before any substantive questioning could occur. An ICAC commissioner would have set a hearing date and issued a summons in days.

State-level investigators face even thinner authority. The Senate Special Committee on Investigations in Georgia fought with Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis over a subpoena before reaching a negotiated agreement for her under-oath testimony. The scope of the questions was itself a negotiation. An ICAC commissioner sets the scope of questions in the room, in real time, on the record.

State attorneys general who have tried to expand their own civil compulsion powers have run into hard pushback. In Washington, a request for broader authority to demand documents and testimony without judicial sign-off was described as extreme by prosecutors. The proposal would let the attorney general issue civil investigative demands across discrimination, labor, and constitutional matters without first convincing a judge there was cause.

That is, roughly, a sliver of what ICAC has had as default authority since 1988 — and even the sliver is contested as a constitutional overreach by American standards.

New South Wales parliament Sydney

Witnesses still resist. They resist on grounds of personal safety, on grounds of relevance, on grounds of unfair process. The South African parallel is instructive: when private forensic investigator Paul O’Sullivan tried to refuse questions about his life before 1990 before a South African parliamentary committee, citing assassination attempts and personal security, the committee chair told him plainly he was required to answer, making clear that witnesses could not dictate the scope of questioning. That posture — the inquiry decides the scope, not the witness — is closer to ICAC’s operating mode than to any American body.

Why the wall between hearing and prosecution matters

The use-immunity wall is not a loophole. It is the entire point. Without it, no witness would talk. With it, the commission gets the testimony — names, dates, transfers, meetings, the architecture of who knew what — and prosecutors are left to build any criminal case from independent evidence gathered separately.

That separation is why ICAC findings of corrupt conduct so rarely translate into criminal convictions. The commission can name names and publish a report. A prosecutor then has to start almost from scratch, working from documents and witnesses obtained without using the compelled testimony as a roadmap. American prosecutors, who can offer use immunity in narrower circumstances, face the same problem when they do — it is the trade you make for the testimony.

The political cost in the United States of any equivalent body has so far been too high to build one. Federal investigators rely instead on a mosaic of tools: grand jury subpoenas, civil investigative demands, congressional subpoenas, agency depositions. Each one has limits. Each one can be fought. The result is a system where witnesses can sometimes decline to answer questions from oversight committees, and the committee’s recourse is a contempt vote that may or may not be enforced.

The press, the leak, and the parallel question

The American compulsion gap shows up in journalism too. In April 2025, the Justice Department revoked Biden-era protections for reporters in leak investigations, restoring the department’s ability to subpoena journalists for source information. Even that authority, restored at the federal executive level, requires a chain of internal approvals and is subject to challenge in court. ICAC can compel a journalist to identify a source in the same way it can compel anyone else, subject to whatever statutory protections parliament has built in — and the boundaries there are narrower than the First Amendment shield culture in the United States.

None of this makes the Australian model better or worse. The trade-offs are real. ICAC has been criticised in Australia for the reputational damage its public hearings cause to people who are never charged with anything. Tinkler is one example among many. The commission’s defenders argue that public hearings are precisely what give it its power — sunlight is the disinfectant, even when no one is convicted at the end.

Where the powers actually converge

American regulators do have compulsion tools that look, on the surface, similar. The SEC, the FTC, the CFPB, and state attorneys general all issue civil investigative demands. Federal grand juries compel testimony with the threat of contempt. Congress can subpoena and, in theory, hold witnesses in contempt. Parallel enforcement actions by multiple regulators against the same target can layer civil compulsion on top of criminal investigation, creating pressure that resembles the ICAC posture.

But the Fifth Amendment runs through all of it. A witness in a CID deposition can still refuse to answer specific questions. A grand jury witness can still take the Fifth. A congressional witness can still decline. The only way to break that refusal in the American system is to grant formal immunity through a court order — and prosecutors are reluctant to do that, because it means giving up the ability to use the testimony in any later criminal case against that witness.

For readers intrigued by how wealth and legal frameworks can intersect in unexpected ways, there’s a thoughtful video by Silicon Canals examining a billionaire who managed to legally erase bankruptcy—a case study that raises similar questions about what investigative powers can and cannot compel when financial interests are at stake.

ICAC grants that immunity automatically, by statute, to everyone who walks into the hearing room. That is the difference.

What this looks like from the witness chair

For someone in Tinkler’s position, the experience was procedurally simple and personally brutal. A summons arrived. A date was set. Counsel assisting the commission asked the questions. The transcript went into the public record. Days of headlines followed. No criminal charges resulted from his evidence, and none could have, on the strength of that evidence alone.

For a hypothetical American counterpart — a coal magnate facing a federal probe into political donations — the same set of facts would have produced a years-long fight over scope, a likely Fifth Amendment invocation on the sensitive questions, possible immunity negotiation, and quite possibly no public hearing at all. Grand jury proceedings are secret. SEC depositions are not public. The mechanism for getting a billionaire on the record, under oath, in front of cameras, answering questions about who got what and when, simply does not exist in the same shape.

The design choice nobody copied

ICAC is now thirty-eight years old. Other Australian states have built their own versions. The federal National Anti-Corruption Commission, established in 2023, operates on similar principles. New Zealand, Hong Kong, and Singapore have analogous bodies with varying degrees of compulsion authority. The model has spread across the British Commonwealth.

It has not spread to the United States. Proposals for a federal anti-corruption commission with compulsion powers have surfaced periodically and gone nowhere. The Fifth Amendment is the immovable object. Any body that wanted to operate on the ICAC model would have to grant use immunity to every witness by default, and American prosecutors are not willing to surrender that much prosecutorial discretion to an investigative body operating outside their control.

Witnesses in Australia have also begun pushing back. In May 2026, several individuals refused to appear before NSW parliamentary hearings after a court ruling complicated the use of compelled evidence, suggesting that even within the Australian system the boundaries of compulsion are still being tested. The statute is not a fixed thing. It moves under pressure from the courts and from the witnesses who decide the contempt risk is worth running. But the basic architecture has held for nearly four decades, and the trade at its core remains intact: a society can have public hearings that force the powerful to answer in real time, or it can have prosecutions built on those same answers, but it cannot have both.

That is the choice Australia made in 1988 and the choice the United States has declined to make ever since. An Australian billionaire and an American billionaire, faced with similar allegations, walk into very different rooms. One is sworn in and answers. The other negotiates for months over whether the room exists at all. The bankruptcy court annulled Tinkler’s debts in 2018, and the ICAC transcripts sit in the public record, searchable, permanent — the testimony of a man who, under American law, would have had the right to say nothing at all. The American system protects that right and pays for it in opacity. The Australian system pierces it and pays for it in convictions that never come. Neither country has found a way to have the transparency without surrendering the prosecution, or the prosecution without surrendering the transparency. The trade is the system. There is no version where you get both.

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The James Webb Space Telescope may have seen the chemical fingerprint of a molecule linked to marine life on Earth in the atmosphere of K2-18b, 124 light-years away. But the signal is still tentative: it could be dimethyl sulfide, a related sulfur compound, or something else entirely, and scientists have not yet ruled out non-biological explanations.

16 June 2026 at 02:54

The James Webb Space Telescope may have picked up the faint chemical signature of a molecule that, on Earth, is made almost entirely by marine life. The molecule is dimethyl sulfide, and the planet is K2-18b, a world about 124 light-years away. If that reading held up, and if the molecule could only be made by living things, it would be one of the most consequential measurements in the history of astronomy.

Both of those conditions are in doubt.

The signal is tentative. It might be dimethyl sulfide, or a closely related sulfur compound, or a blend of ordinary gases mimicking one. Independent teams reanalysing the same observations have not found the evidence robust; in some reductions the signal weakens or disappears, and in others ordinary molecules fit the data about as well. And even if it is there, dimethyl sulfide has turned out to be a weaker sign of life than it once seemed.

The planet

K2-18b orbits a small red dwarf star in the constellation Leo, within the zone where a planet could in principle hold liquid water. It is what astronomers call a sub-Neptune, larger than Earth and smaller than Neptune, with a mass around eight and a half times Earth’s. Planets of this size are common in the galaxy and absent from our own solar system, so we have no nearby example to measure them against.

One reading of K2-18b, advanced by Nikku Madhusudhan of the University of Cambridge and colleagues, is that it is a Hycean world: a planet with a deep ocean of liquid water beneath a thick hydrogen atmosphere. That picture is attractive because such a world could be habitable. It is also contested. Other groups have modelled the same data and found it consistent with a gas-rich mini-Neptune, or with a magma ocean rather than a water one, neither of which would be friendly to life.

What Webb actually detected

The firmer part of the story is the ordinary chemistry. In 2023, Webb detected methane in K2-18b’s atmosphere at high confidence, along with carbon dioxide, in a setting rich in hydrogen. Those detections are not seriously disputed, though even methane can be produced without life.

The contested part came in April 2025. Using Webb’s mid-infrared instrument, Madhusudhan’s team reported spectral features consistent with dimethyl sulfide, or a cousin molecule called dimethyl disulfide, at what they put at three-sigma confidence. They presented it as independent support for sulfur-bearing gases that, on Earth, point to biology. The team was clear that this was a tentative result rather than a discovery, and that confirming it would take more observing time.

The three-sigma figure needs unpacking. It means roughly a one-in-several-hundred chance that the signal is a fluke of noise. That sounds strong, and in everyday terms it is. But the standard for a discovery claim in this kind of physics is five-sigma, a far higher bar, and three-sigma is the level at which results often appear and then dissolve as more data arrives.

Why other scientists are not convinced

The trouble began almost immediately, and it came from people working with the same observations.

The core problem is spectral overlap. The features that dimethyl sulfide would produce sit at wavelengths very close to those of methane, carbon dioxide and other hydrocarbons, so a model can often fit the data just as well by adjusting those common gases instead. Several reanalyses found exactly that. A group led by Luke Welbanks showed that the apparent dimethyl sulfide signal could be swapped for ethylene, an unremarkable hydrocarbon, with no loss of fit, and concluded that the data do not meet the standard of evidence for life. The same work found that the choice of how to bin the raw Webb data strongly affected whether the molecule appeared at all.

A separate team combined all of Webb’s observations of the planet, across its different instruments, and reported insufficient evidence for either sulfur molecule. Another independent analysis reached a similar place: it confirmed methane and carbon dioxide, but found no statistically significant evidence for biosignatures in the planet’s atmosphere.

None of this proves the molecule is absent. It means the claim that it is present does not yet hold up when other people run the numbers, which is the test any such claim has to pass.

Even if it were there

Suppose the signal is real, and the molecule is genuinely dimethyl sulfide. That still would not settle the question, because the molecule has lost its standing as a clean fingerprint of life.

In the years since the first K2-18b reports, dimethyl sulfide has been reported in cometary material and in interstellar space, places with no life and no oceans. Laboratory work has shown it can form through ordinary chemistry. So a confident detection would no longer mean what it was once assumed to mean. It would be a molecule that life makes on Earth, found somewhere life is not required to make it.

This is roughly the position NASA itself has taken. The agency, which has promoted Webb’s exoplanet work, was careful to note that detecting a single possible biosignature would not amount to finding life, and that a real claim would need several independent lines of evidence pointing the same way.

What it would take

The honest summary is that K2-18b is one of the more interesting planets Webb has studied, and that the case for life there is weak. The methane and carbon dioxide are real and worth understanding. The dimethyl sulfide is disputed at the level of whether it is present at all, uncertain in identity even if present, and ambiguous as a sign of life even if confirmed.

Three separate doubts, stacked.

What would move this forward is more of the same patient work: additional Webb observations to lift the signal above the noise, independent confirmation from other instruments, and a search for several biosignatures together rather than one in isolation, alongside the harder task of ruling out the abiotic chemistry that can imitate them. A single molecule, read at the edge of detection on a planet we cannot visit, is not going to carry a claim this large on its own. The data will keep coming. The bar, correctly, is high.

The post The James Webb Space Telescope may have seen the chemical fingerprint of a molecule linked to marine life on Earth in the atmosphere of K2-18b, 124 light-years away. But the signal is still tentative: it could be dimethyl sulfide, a related sulfur compound, or something else entirely, and scientists have not yet ruled out non-biological explanations. appeared first on Space Daily.

When SpaceX filed the paperwork for the largest IPO in history in May 2026, the prospectus that retail investors could download ran past 300 pages, while the unredacted version sat in a classified vault inside the SEC’s Washington headquarters, readable by perhaps a dozen people with the right security clearances

16 June 2026 at 01:53
Taking a private company public requires filing an S-1 that can run past 300 pages — and for a launch provider, every classified national-security contract becomes a redaction fight with the SEC before a single share trades

On the morning SpaceX priced the largest initial public offering in history, the prospectus a retail investor could download ran past 300 pages. The complete version did not circulate. It sat on a single server inside the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Washington headquarters, blacked out in the public copy and readable in full by perhaps a dozen people holding the right security clearances. That distance — between the document anyone can open and the one almost no one can — is the peculiar problem of taking a launch company public.

The premise of an S-1, the registration statement a private American company files before its shares can trade publicly, is that the investor buying a single share at the IPO price has access to the same material information as a hedge fund putting in a nine-figure order. For most companies that goal is achievable through diligent drafting. For a launch provider it collides with federal classification regulations that govern how cleared contractors are allowed to describe their work.

The resolution is asymmetric. Sophisticated institutional buyers often have analysts with security clearances who can attend classified briefings under non-disclosure agreements. Retail buyers cannot. The prospectus is therefore the binding document for ordinary investors, and the redactions in the prospectus are the gaps in what they can know. The SEC’s job, in part, is to make sure those gaps stay narrow enough that the offering is still fair.

SpaceX Falcon 9 launch

What an S-1 actually contains

The S-1 introduces a private company to the public markets. Audited financials going back three years. A list of every executive officer and director, with their compensation. A risk factors section that can run 50 pages on its own. A discussion of material contracts. A breakdown of customer concentration — if any single customer represents more than 10 percent of revenue, that customer typically has to be named.

When Chime filed its S-1 in 2025, the document disclosed its history of losses and its reliance on partner banks, The Bancorp Bank and Stride Bank, to issue the debit cards its business runs on. That dependence on outside banks was among the most prominent risk factors in the prospectus. StubHub’s filing carried a similar disclosure burden, laying out 29 percent revenue growth to $1.8 billion in 2024 alongside a swing to a net loss. Nothing in either filing was classified. Every contract could be summarised in plain English without a security officer having to sign off.

Where launch providers diverge

A launch provider’s customer list looks different. A meaningful share of revenue comes from agencies whose mission profiles are not public. The National Reconnaissance Office does not publish the orbital parameters of its satellites. The Space Force’s Space Systems Command awards contracts whose payload descriptions are classified at the Secret or Top Secret level. Some payloads are compartmented further, accessible only to people with specific Sensitive Compartmented Information clearances.

An S-1 has to describe the business. The business is launching those payloads. The payloads cannot be described. So the document becomes a negotiation. Companies file confidential treatment requests, asking the agency to allow specific contract terms, customer names, or revenue figures to be redacted from the public version while the unredacted version sits in the SEC’s confidential files. The back-and-forth happens in writing, on the SEC’s own timeline, and every iteration delays the road show.

SEC building Washington

The SpaceX filing as a stress test

The mechanism became newly visible when SpaceX moved toward its public offering. CNBC reported in May 2026 that the filing sparked a broader rally in space-sector equities, with retail money piling into Rocket Lab, Planet Labs and the space-focused ETFs that hold them in anticipation of the listing. The bull market in space stocks ran on the same engine that powered the offering itself: scarcity. SpaceX had been private for more than two decades. Its financials had never been audited under SEC standards. Its contracts had never been laid out in a single public document.

Some of those contracts could not be laid out. Starshield, the company’s national-security division, holds awards from the NRO and the Space Force whose terms are classified. Al Jazeera’s coverage of the filing reported the headline numbers the prospectus finally put on the record: revenue of $18.6 billion in 2025 against a net loss of $4.9 billion. What that top line could not show in detail was its own composition. The split between commercial Starlink, NASA crew and cargo missions, and classified defense work is the line item Wall Street watched most closely, precisely because parts of it can only be described in aggregate. What the SEC cannot allow is hiding the existence of a material revenue stream. If classified work represents 30 percent of revenue, that 30 percent has to appear somewhere in the prospectus, even if the underlying contracts cannot be quoted.

How the redaction fight actually unfolds

For a launch provider, SEC staff comments tend to cluster around three areas. First, customer concentration: if one classified customer accounts for more than 10 percent of revenue, the company has to argue that naming the customer would compromise national security. Second, contract terms: the SEC wants material contracts filed as exhibits, and the company has to seek confidential treatment for the operative clauses. Third, risk factors: the prospectus has to describe what happens if a classified contract is cancelled or restructured, without describing the contract itself.

Each argument has to be coordinated with the contracting agency. The Defense Department’s security review process is its own bureaucracy, with its own timeline. A company cannot simply decide what to redact — it has to get the customer agency to confirm, in writing, that the proposed redaction is consistent with the security classification of the underlying program. That sign-off can take weeks for a single contract, and a launch provider may have dozens.

Some contract clauses are themselves classified. The unclassified clauses can be filed as exhibits. The classified clauses cannot. The filed contract becomes a Swiss cheese — pages with blacked-out sections, sometimes whole annexes replaced with notations indicating confidential treatment has been requested. The unredacted versions exist on a single SEC server, accessible only to a small number of staff with the appropriate clearances.

What this does to the IPO calendar

An ordinary tech IPO moves from confidential S-1 submission to first-day trading in roughly four to six months. A launch provider with significant classified revenue routinely takes longer. The interagency review of redactions adds time. The risk that a single contracting officer at the NRO or the Space Force needs to escalate a question can stall a comment-letter response for weeks.

For those interested in the mechanics behind major space sector IPOs, Silicon Canals put together a detailed examination of the financial structures and investor calculations that drive these kinds of public offerings—it’s a useful complement to understanding why the paperwork burden matters so much when billion-dollar bets meet regulatory disclosure requirements.

The downstream effect is that launch providers tend to go public later in their corporate lives than comparable commercial companies, when their balance sheets are stronger and they can absorb the delay. Space and biotech share a structural feature: the regulator that governs the science is not the regulator that governs the disclosure, and both have to be satisfied before a share trades.

Space Daily has reported on the secondary effect of the SpaceX listing — that an estimated 4,400 current and former employees crossed into millionaire territory on the first day of trading, with around 400 holding stakes worth more than $100 million. Every one of those paper fortunes was a function of a prospectus that had survived the redaction fight and made it to the printer.

The document that survives

What the public eventually reads is a document shaped by two competing imperatives — the SEC’s mandate to inform investors and the Defense Department’s mandate to protect sources and methods. The seams show. Revenue disclosures reference government customers in general terms without identifying specific agencies. Contracts are described only as being with defense agencies. Risk factors warn about the cancellation of programs the prospectus cannot describe.

The S-1 that emerges is simultaneously the most detailed public account of a launch company that will ever exist and, by design, an account with measured silences. That tension has consequences that extend well beyond any single offering. It reshapes who can credibly participate in a space IPO with full information, it lengthens the timeline that determines when private capital can finally exit, and it sets the precedent every subsequent launch provider — Rocket Lab’s classified work, Firefly’s national-security manifest, Blue Origin’s eventual filing — will inherit. A regulatory regime built on the premise that retail and institutional investors see the same prospectus runs, in this corner of the market, into a classification regime built on the opposite premise. The 300 pages a retail investor downloads on the morning of pricing are the visible portion of a document whose full form sits in a classified vault inside the SEC’s Washington headquarters, read by perhaps a dozen people on Earth. The gap between those two documents is where the fairness of a space IPO is ultimately decided, and where the next decade of public-market space investing will be defined.

The post When SpaceX filed the paperwork for the largest IPO in history in May 2026, the prospectus that retail investors could download ran past 300 pages, while the unredacted version sat in a classified vault inside the SEC’s Washington headquarters, readable by perhaps a dozen people with the right security clearances appeared first on Space Daily.

Mars can produce dust storms so vast they swallow the planet. In 2018, one of them turned day into darkness for NASA’s solar-powered Opportunity rover, cutting off the sunlight that had sustained it through more than 14 years on Mars.

16 June 2026 at 01:06

Mars produces dust storms unlike anything on Earth. The largest of them, called planet-encircling storms, can grow from a regional disturbance to a veil of dust over the entire planet in a matter of weeks. In 2018, one of these storms turned day into a dim, reddish dark over NASA’s Opportunity rover, cut off the sunlight the solar-powered machine ran on, and ended a mission that had already lasted more than fourteen years.

Opportunity was built for ninety days. It lasted nearly fifteen years. The storm is what finally stopped it, though, as is often the way with these things, exactly how it delivered the final blow is not entirely certain.

How the storm grew

The first warning did not come from the rover. On 30 May 2018, NASA’s Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter spotted a regional dust storm and alerted the team running Opportunity on the ground. Within days the storm had ballooned. It soon covered an area larger than North America, and then larger still, until it wrapped the whole planet. At its height, almost the entire surface was hidden, with only the summit caldera of Olympus Mons, the tallest volcano in the solar system, standing above the dust.

These storms grow through a feedback loop. Airborne dust absorbs sunlight and warms the surrounding air. The warm air rises, pulling in wind, and the wind lifts more dust, which warms more air. A storm that starts in one region can feed on itself until it spans the globe.

What is not well understood is why some Martian years produce a planet-encircling storm and others do not. They arrive irregularly, every few Mars years, without a reliable schedule, which makes them hard to forecast far in advance.

Why it was fatal to a solar rover

Opportunity drew its power from solar panels, which on a clear Martian day generated enough electricity to drive, run instruments, and keep the rover warm. Dust takes that away in two ways: it blocks sunlight in the air, and it settles on the panels.

Engineers track how much sunlight the dust blocks using a figure called tau, a measure of atmospheric opacity. At Opportunity’s location on the rim of Endeavour Crater, tau normally sat around 0.5. During the storm it climbed to a recorded value of roughly 10.5 to 10.8, among the highest ever measured on Mars. The rover needed tau below about 2 to gather enough light to charge its batteries. It was getting a small fraction of that.

Science operations were suspended on 8 June. The last signal arrived on 10 June 2018, a partial image and a reading showing the batteries down to about 21 or 22 watt-hours, just enough to tell the team the rover was about to drop into a low-power state in which everything but its clock shut off. Then it went quiet.

What actually finished it

The storm cut the power.

What happened next, over the months that followed, is where the certainty runs out. NASA kept trying. Over that period the agency sent more than a thousand commands, hoping that once the skies cleared the panels would catch enough light to wake the rover, and that a windy season late in 2018 might even blow the dust off them. Nothing came back. On 13 February 2019, NASA declared the mission complete. The most likely explanations are that dust coated the panels too thickly, or that the long stretch of cold and darkness during hibernation left the batteries or electronics unable to recover. Which of these it was cannot be confirmed from a rover that never spoke again.

The wind is not the threat

A common picture needs correcting here. Mars storms are often imagined as violent gales that could knock a spacecraft over, an image helped along by films. The reality is close to the opposite. Mars’s atmosphere is about one per cent as dense as Earth’s. Even a fast Martian wind would push with only a small fraction of the force of a comparable wind on Earth.

The danger is not the push of the wind. It is the dust: what it does to sunlight, and what it does once it settles on a surface. For a solar-powered machine, that is the whole problem. The storm did not blow Opportunity over.

It starved it.

Solar power against nuclear

The contrast with Mars’s nuclear-powered rovers is the clearest lesson. While the 2018 storm was darkening the sky over Opportunity, NASA’s Curiosity rover was working through the same dust on the other side of the planet, slowed but not stopped. Curiosity does not rely on sunlight. It carries a small nuclear power source, a radioisotope generator, that produces electricity regardless of the weather.

The newer Perseverance rover is powered the same way, for the same reason. Solar power is lighter and cheaper, and it served Opportunity well for fourteen years, but it leaves a machine exposed to exactly the event that ended this one. The lander InSight, also solar-powered, met a slower version of the same fate, its panels gradually buried under accumulating dust until it fell silent in 2022.

What to watch

Opportunity was meant to last ninety days and drive perhaps a kilometre. It lasted more than fourteen years and drove about forty-five, a record for any vehicle on another world. The storm that ended it was not a freak. Planet-encircling storms are a normal, if irregular, feature of the Martian climate, and another one will come. The open question for anything that has to survive on the surface, robot or eventually human, is the same one Opportunity ran into: how to keep the power on when the planet puts out the sun.

The post Mars can produce dust storms so vast they swallow the planet. In 2018, one of them turned day into darkness for NASA’s solar-powered Opportunity rover, cutting off the sunlight that had sustained it through more than 14 years on Mars. appeared first on Space Daily.

In 1946, a captured German V-2 rocket launched from White Sands carried Clyde Holliday’s 35-millimetre DeVry motion-picture camera above the Kármán line and returned the first photographs of Earth from space on film recovered after the rocket crashed in the New Mexico desert

15 June 2026 at 11:01

Every photograph of Earth ever taken from space, from Apollo 8’s Earthrise to Apollo 17’s Blue Marble to Voyager 1’s Pale Blue Dot, descends from a strip of 35-millimetre film pulled from the wreckage of a captured German V-2 rocket in the New Mexico desert in October 1946.

The camera that exposed it was a DeVry motion-picture camera modified by Clyde Holliday at the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory. It was not launched on a spacecraft, because no spacecraft existed. It was bolted into a weapon.

On October 24, 1946, V-2 No. 13 rose from White Sands Proving Ground carrying Holliday’s camera above the line now commonly treated as the edge of space. At about 105 kilometres up, it photographed Earth as a curved surface against black sky, one frame every second and a half.

The rocket did not land gently. It came back down on the desert range and was destroyed on impact, but the film cassette survived. When the frames were recovered and developed, the result was the first successful photograph of Earth taken from space.

The date matters because it is often blurred with the better-known V-2 camera flights that followed in 1947 and 1948. The first successful sequence came on October 24, 1946, more than a decade before Sputnik, and long before any human being had seen Earth from orbit.

V-2 rocket White Sands

A weapon repurposed as a camera platform

The V-2 was designed to kill. Wernher von Braun’s team at Peenemünde built it as a long-range ballistic missile, and the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum describes the weapon as having a range of about 320 kilometres and a one-ton warhead.

More than 3,000 V-2s were fired at Allied targets during the war. The program also consumed forced labour on a horrific scale, with the Smithsonian’s Air and Space Museum noting that at least 10,000 people died in the Mittelwerk production system, more than were killed by the weapon’s deployment.

After Germany’s defeat, American forces shipped captured V-2 parts to New Mexico. White Sands became one of the places where the United States learned how high-altitude rockets behaved, how instruments survived launch, and how useful the upper atmosphere could be as a laboratory.

The U.S. Army’s own history of White Sands places the range at the centre of early American rocket testing, beginning with captured German V-2 technology in 1946. That same test culture opened the nose cones to scientists from the Naval Research Laboratory, the Applied Physics Laboratory, the University of Michigan and other institutions.

Most instruments were there to measure radiation, cosmic rays, solar ultraviolet light or the upper atmosphere. Holliday’s camera did something simpler and stranger. It turned the rocket around, in effect, and made Earth itself the subject.

The camera rode above the Kármán line

The October 24 flight carried a 35-millimetre DeVry cine camera, set to expose one frame every 1.5 seconds. Contemporary accounts identify the launch as V-2 No. 13, fired from White Sands and reaching about 104.6 to 105 kilometres above the desert.

That altitude put the camera just above the 100-kilometre Kármán line, the conventional boundary often used to mark the start of space. Balloons had photographed curvature from high altitude before. Holliday’s camera crossed into a different category.

The flight itself was rough. After engine cutoff, the rocket tumbled, and its spent body eventually struck the range downrange from the launch site. One detailed reconstruction places the impact speed at about 150 metres per second, far below the 500 to 800 metres per second sometimes repeated in loose retellings.

The camera was not simply vaporised. Accounts of the recovery describe Holliday’s camera as found in usable condition except for damage such as the missing lens, while the film cassette preserved the exposed frames. The rocket was gone; the pictures remained.

What the first frames showed

The images were grainy and severe. They showed a bright, curved horizon, black sky above it, and the American Southwest flattened into pale geometry below.

Nothing in the frame looks like the blue planet photographs that later became famous. There are no oceans shining blue, no cloud swirls at global scale, no Moon in the foreground. The power of the image is that it is barely an image at all, just enough evidence to prove that Earth could be photographed from outside itself.

Smithsonian’s account of the flight notes that Holliday stitched the movie frames together into broader views, and that the V-2 photographs revealed the planet against the darkness of space. The Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory also credits its researchers in 1946 with bolting a 35-millimetre motion-picture camera onto a captured German V-2 and taking the first pictures of Earth’s curvature from space.

Holliday understood the shift almost immediately. In a 1950 National Geographic article, he wrote that the V-2 photographs showed “how our Earth would look to visitors from another planet coming in on a space ship.”

The view before Sputnik

That sentence was written seven years before Sputnik, twelve years before John Glenn orbited Earth, and eighteen years before Apollo 8 carried human eyes around the Moon. The idea of Earth as a planet among planets was already present in a strip of film recovered from military wreckage.

The camera program did not stop with one rocket. Holliday and other teams refined the mounts, lenses and recovery systems, and later V-2 flights produced clearer panoramic images from still higher altitudes, including views that covered enormous stretches of the southwestern United States and northern Mexico.

Those flights helped teach engineers how to design instruments for violent ascent, cold upper air, vibration, spin and impact. The information flowed into the wider American sounding-rocket program, including Aerobee, a smaller and cheaper research rocket that APL developed when V-2s became scarce.

The line from V-2 photography to later space images is not only emotional. It is technical. The recovery procedures, camera housings, telemetry habits and high-altitude test culture belonged to the same early chain that eventually led from sounding rockets to satellites, crewed capsules and planetary probes.

The photographs that followed

A little more than two decades later, Apollo 8 astronaut Bill Anders photographed Earthrise from lunar orbit. In 1972, the Apollo 17 crew took The Blue Marble while travelling toward the Moon.

In 1990, Voyager 1 turned back toward home and made Pale Blue Dot, photographing Earth from about 6 billion kilometres away. Space Daily has covered that image separately in its account of Carl Sagan’s long push for Voyager’s final look back.

Every one of those later images is more beautiful than Holliday’s first frames. They are richer, cleaner, more legible and more famous. But none of them came first.

The first view was black and white, scratched by motion, recovered after impact, and born from a rocket designed for war. Somewhere in that damaged sequence, the desert falls away and Earth curves into darkness for the first time a camera ever proved it could.

The post In 1946, a captured German V-2 rocket launched from White Sands carried Clyde Holliday’s 35-millimetre DeVry motion-picture camera above the Kármán line and returned the first photographs of Earth from space on film recovered after the rocket crashed in the New Mexico desert appeared first on Space Daily.

On June 9, 2026, NASA named Italian astronaut Luca Parmitano as pilot of Artemis 3, making him the first European ever assigned to an Artemis crew — and within hours ESA’s director general framed the seat not as a courtesy but as the opening move in a negotiation to put a European on the surface of the Moon

15 June 2026 at 08:43

On 9 June 2026, inside a room at NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston, the agency named the four people who will fly Artemis 3 — and one of them was not American. Italian astronaut Luca Parmitano was introduced as the mission’s pilot, the first European Space Agency astronaut ever assigned to an Artemis crew. He will sit in the right-hand seat of an Orion spacecraft partly built in Europe, on a flight that will not, in fact, land on the Moon.

Parmitano is not a symbolic pick. He has logged 366 days in orbit across two long-duration stays on the International Space Station, performed six spacewalks totalling more than 30 hours, and commanded Expedition 61 in 2019, the first Italian to do so. During a 2013 spacewalk, water from a failed cooling system flooded his helmet and nearly drowned him before he groped his way back to the airlock blind. NASA put a near-fatality survivor and a former station commander in the pilot’s seat.

That detail is the tell. A seat this visible is never just a seat.

A pilot’s chair, not a thank-you note

Within hours of the announcement, ESA Director General Josef Aschbacher made the subtext explicit. Parmitano’s assignment, he told reporters, was the first step in a wider negotiation — one aimed squarely at getting a European astronaut onto the lunar surface, not merely into Earth orbit. He noted the seat had not been settled even a couple of weeks before the announcement, a sign of how live the bargaining still is. The full exchange was reported by SpaceNews.

ESA’s exploration chief, Daniel Neuenschwander, framed it as Europe playing two roles at once: supplying both a senior astronaut and the propulsion module that drives Orion. For Europe, the crew slot matters less for what Parmitano does in orbit than for what it establishes. Once a European has flown an Artemis mission, excluding Europeans from the next ones gets politically expensive. The ESA announcement made the partnership framing official.

The real prize sits further down the manifest. ESA wants boots on the regolith, and it is treating Artemis 3 as the down payment.

Why Gateway’s collapse changed the math

The bargaining became urgent because the structure Europe had built its lunar plan around stopped existing. On 24 March 2026, NASA acting administrator Jared Isaacman announced the agency would pause the Lunar Gateway “in its current form” and redirect effort toward infrastructure on the Moon’s surface. The decision, delivered at NASA’s Ignition event and reported by The Register, sidelined the small lunar-orbit station that had anchored the program’s international architecture.

That broke a carefully negotiated European position. At its November 2025 ministerial conference, ESA had announced three guaranteed Gateway seats, assigning them to astronauts from Germany, France and Italy, with Germany flying first. Gateway was the vehicle — politically and literally — for putting Europeans into deep space on a recurring schedule.

When NASA shelved it, those three seats lost their destination. Canada’s contribution took a hit too: the Canadarm3 robotic arm had been built for a station that was no longer the centerpiece.

NASA had already reshuffled the flight plan in February, demoting Artemis 3 from the first landing to a 2027 test flight in low Earth orbit. The Orion crew will rendezvous and dock with prototype landers from Blue Origin and SpaceX, rehearsing the choreography for Artemis 4, now the first crewed South Pole landing, targeted for 2028.

So Europe arrived at the table with new currency to spend and a shorter clock to spend it on.

The hardware Europe brings to the table

Putting an Italian astronaut on Artemis 3 looks like a courtesy seat, but ESA's director general is quietly using it to reopen a much bigger fight with NASA over the Moon
Photo by Zelch Csaba on Pexels

Europe’s strongest card is one it already holds. The European Service Module, built by Airbus with Thales Alenia Space, supplies Orion’s main propulsion, power, water, oxygen and thermal control. Without it, the capsule does not fly. Artemis 3 will use ESA’s third such module — a dependency described on Airbus’s own program page. That is leverage that needs no negotiating; it is simply true.

The newer offers are surface-oriented. Aschbacher named several chips ESA is willing to play: cargo delivery via the Argonaut lunar lander, which can put up to 1,500 kg on the surface from the early 2030s; communications and navigation from the Moonlight satellite constellation; plus rovers, surface robotics, and the option of returning cargo from the Moon.

Argonaut and Moonlight are the kind of infrastructure NASA does not currently fund itself. That is precisely why ESA is dangling them.

The pitch is to bundle existing dependency and future capability into a package that is awkward to refuse.

A partner whose own schedule is slipping

Europe is negotiating with a program whose timeline keeps moving. The two landers that Artemis 3 will practice docking with are both behind. SpaceX has not yet demonstrated orbital propellant transfer, a prerequisite for the Starship lunar variant to reach the Moon with enough fuel to land. Blue Origin is still working through development on its Blue Moon lander.

Neither company has published a firm date for clearing those hurdles.

The Gateway decision was itself partly a response to ballooning costs and slipping schedules across Artemis. Some critics of the program argued the restructure was overdue. The paradox for NASA is that simplifying the architecture left it with fewer assets to trade, at the same moment it needs partners more.

That asymmetry is what gives a mid-sized agency room to push.

What a first European seat sets in motion

Three concrete markers will show whether ESA’s play is working before the year is out. Whether NASA commits to additional European Service Modules for later flights. Whether Argonaut wins a formal role in the revised surface-logistics plan. And whether any European astronaut is named to an actual landing mission rather than an orbital test.

The calendar is filling in already. France is hosting an international space summit in Paris in September, and ESA holds its next ministerial conference in December — the meeting where money and commitments get fixed. Aschbacher has flagged both as moments where the lunar question gets pressed.

For now, the fact on the manifest is fixed. A man who once felt water rising over his eyes inside a sealed helmet, 400 kilometres above the planet, will ride the next Orion into orbit as its pilot. He will not step onto the Moon on this flight. But the chair he occupies is the one Europe intends to keep occupying — and somewhere in a meeting room in Paris this autumn, that is the argument his name is already making for him.

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Apollo astronauts trying to sleep on the way to the Moon kept seeing flashes and streaks in the dark, and the cause turned out to be cosmic rays from deep space passing straight through their eyes.

14 June 2026 at 15:55

Apollo astronauts trying to rest on the way to the Moon kept noticing the same thing in the dark. With the cabin lights down and their eyes adjusted, they saw brief flashes and streaks of light, dots and lines that no one else could see and that were not there in any ordinary sense. The cause, worked out over the missions that followed, was cosmic rays from deep space passing through the visual system. The broad cause is now well supported, even if the exact biophysics of how a passing particle turns into a flash of light is still not fully pinned down.

The flashes are an example of a phosphene, a sensation of light produced by something other than light entering the eye.

In this case, the something was radiation.

What the astronauts saw

The reports began on Apollo 11. After a period of dark adaptation, with eyes open or closed, crew members saw flashes they described as pinpoints, thin streaks, or small clouds of light. They were almost always colourless. They came at a rate of roughly one-half to two a minute, often enough to be a distraction when someone was trying to sleep.

This was not confined to one crew or one flight. Flashes were reported across the Apollo missions, and later by astronauts on Skylab, on Mir, and on the International Space Station. The phenomenon even had a kind of forecast. As early as 1952, the biophysicist Cornelius Tobias had suggested that people exposed to cosmic radiation in space might see exactly this sort of thing, and the team that investigated the Apollo reports traced them back to that idea.

How they tied it to cosmic rays

Suspecting a cause and demonstrating it are different tasks. To test whether the flashes really were caused by particles passing through the head, the Apollo 16 and 17 crews carried a device called the Apollo Light Flash Moving Emulsion Detector, worn on the head during the coast to and from the Moon. It used stacked photographic emulsion to record the tracks of charged particles, so that the path of a particle could be matched against the moment an astronaut reported a flash.

The numbers were small but telling. The detector was worn for about an hour on each of the last two Apollo missions. On Apollo 17, seventeen flashes were reported during the session, and two of them were matched to heavy cosmic-ray nuclei passing through an eye. Combined with the geometry of the eye and statistical modelling, that was enough for the investigators to attribute the flashes to cosmic rays. Ground experiments pointed the same way: when volunteers had their dark-adapted eyes exposed to beams of heavy ions, they saw comparable flashes.

What is still uncertain

The confirmed part is that cosmic rays cause the flashes. The unconfirmed part is the step in between, the biophysics of how a single fast particle produces a perceived point of light. Several mechanisms have been proposed, and more than one may contribute.

The leading idea is that the particle ionises tissue directly in the retina, stimulating the light-sensing cells or the neurons behind them as it passes through. This fits the ground experiments, where heavy ions produced flashes at intensities too low for any light to have been generated. A second idea is Cherenkov radiation: a particle moving through the clear jelly of the eye faster than light moves through that medium emits a faint glow, real photons generated inside the eye itself. The trouble is that Cherenkov light should look bluish and diffuse, and most astronauts described sharp white dots and streaks, which do not match. A third possibility is that some flashes come from particles striking the optic nerve or the visual centres of the brain, bypassing the eye altogether.

Decades on, reviews of the phenomenon still describe the specific mechanism as undefined, and note that the effects on the different parts of the visual system have not been fully separated.

The cause is well established; the wiring is not.

Why it still matters

On Earth’s surface, we are mostly shielded from this by the atmosphere and the magnetic field. In low Earth orbit the shielding is reduced but not gone, which is why astronauts on stations such as Mir and the ISS have also reported the effect. The Apollo crews saw the flashes more strongly still because they left that protection behind, travelling beyond the magnetosphere. The flashes were, in effect, the radiation environment of deep space made briefly visible inside a human head.

That is why they are treated as more than a curiosity. They are a perceptible sign that high-energy particles are passing through the body, the brain included, and the same radiation is a serious concern for long missions beyond Earth. On the International Space Station, experiments have used the visual system as a way to study how cosmic radiation affects the central nervous system. For a crew bound for Mars, who would spend months outside the magnetosphere, the dose to the brain over that time is one of the open problems of the trip.

What to watch

The people who travel back to lunar distance under Artemis and later missions will almost certainly see the flashes again. They will also carry better instruments and a sharper reason to use them. Pinning down how the flashes are produced would be a small result. Understanding what months of that radiation does to the brain behind the eye is the one that matters.

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The Apollo astronauts who carried lunar dust back into the cabin kept making the same strange report — fresh Moon dust smelled like spent gunpowder — yet the smell never survived the trip home, and more than fifty years later no one has fully explained what they were breathing in up there.

14 June 2026 at 09:30

The Apollo astronauts who tracked Moon dust back into their cabin kept filing the same odd report. Fresh lunar dust, they said, smelled like spent gunpowder. The impression was immediate, and it was reported by multiple crews. Yet the smell never survived the trip home. By the time the samples were opened in laboratories on Earth, they no longer smelled like gunpowder, and more than fifty years later there is still no settled account of what the astronauts were smelling up there.

The puzzle is real, but it is narrower than it sounds. A good deal is known about why lunar dust is chemically strange. What is missing is the specific link between that chemistry and the smell.

What the astronauts actually reported

The descriptions are unusually consistent, and unusually specific. Harrison Schmitt, the geologist on Apollo 17 and the only trained scientist to walk on the Moon, said the instant impression was of spent gunpowder, not something metallic or acrid. He even noted the timing: about seven minutes passed between the start of repressurising the lander and his first remark about the smell.

Gene Cernan, his crewmate, reached for the same comparison. Buzz Aldrin, on Apollo 11, described it a little differently, closer to burnt charcoal, or wet ashes from a fireplace. John Young, on Apollo 16, went further than smelling it and reported that it did not taste half bad.

One detail matters for what follows. The astronauts were careful to say burnt gunpowder, the smell after firing, not the smell of the powder itself. The two are not the same.

Why it vanished before Earth

The most useful clue is the disappearance. There are hundreds of kilograms of lunar material in the curation lab at NASA’s Johnson Space Center in Houston, and it does not smell of gunpowder. Gary Lofgren, a NASA geologist who has handled the dusty rocks directly, sniffed them and reported plainly that they do not smell like gunpowder.

The astronauts were not imagining it. The accepted reading is that the dust was, in the word researchers use, pacified. Whatever produced the smell was a reaction that happened once, when the dust first met the air inside the cabin, and was finished long before the samples reached Earth. A smell that depends on a one-time reaction cannot be bottled and shipped.

The leading explanation, and where it stops

The reason fresh lunar dust reacts at all comes down to where it has been. The surface of the Moon has no air and no weather. For billions of years its dust has been broken down by micrometeorite impacts and bombarded by the solar wind, producing extremely fine grains with fresh, raw surfaces and, in many of them, tiny specks of metallic iron embedded in glassy coatings. Surfaces like that are chemically hungry. They carry what chemists call dangling bonds, unsatisfied bonds left exposed because the dust has never had air to react with.

Bring that dust into a cabin filled with oxygen and a little moisture, and those surfaces oxidise quickly. The reaction is a slow form of burning, too gradual for smoke or flame, and it is the most popular candidate for the smell. Schmitt himself guessed as much at the time, suspecting his nose was responding to unsatisfied bonds of the kind found in both fresh dust and just-fired gunpowder.

This is a hypothesis with broad support, not a proven result. No instrument sampled the cabin air, so the actual molecules responsible were never identified. The gunpowder comparison is an association in the human nose, not a statement about shared chemistry. Other ideas have been raised over the years, including sulphur-bearing minerals in the dust and volatiles implanted by the solar wind. None has been confirmed, because the evidence that would settle it evaporated, in effect, during the flight home.

Why this is more than a curiosity

The smell is a footnote.

The reactivity behind it is not.

The same properties that may have produced the odour, the abrasive shape of the grains and their reactive surfaces, make lunar dust a serious problem for people and equipment. It clings to everything, works its way through seals, and is fine enough to be inhaled deep into the lungs. Dust that got into the Apollo cabins left crews with eye, nose and throat irritation, an effect NASA came to call lunar hay fever, with Schmitt’s reaction the best documented. Reviews of lunar dust as a hazard link its reactive surfaces and iron content to the way it interacts with human tissue.

That has turned an Apollo-era anecdote into a present-day engineering requirement. For NASA’s Artemis programme, and for the commercial missions intending to operate on the surface for more than a few days, dust handling is now a standing line item: cabin filtration, suit design, airlock procedures, and medical monitoring all have to account for a material whose chemistry was barely understood when the first samples came home.

What to watch

The next people to bring Moon dust into a sealed cabin will arrive with instruments the Apollo crews did not have, and with reason to use them. Whether anyone finally captures the cabin chemistry, and identifies what the astronauts were smelling, is one of the smaller questions Artemis could answer. The larger one, how to live and work in the stuff without it harming lungs and hardware, is the reason the answer would be worth having.

The post The Apollo astronauts who carried lunar dust back into the cabin kept making the same strange report — fresh Moon dust smelled like spent gunpowder — yet the smell never survived the trip home, and more than fifty years later no one has fully explained what they were breathing in up there. appeared first on Space Daily.

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