Have you ever experienced a severe weather event, like a hurricane or a tornado? Researchers have shown that climate change is causing such weather events to become more extreme and more frequent, destroying communities and infrastructure. To determine which areas are most at risk, researchers from Canada studied the environmental effects of a powerful flooding event that occurred in southwestern British Columbia (BC) in November 2021. 

They focused on a type of severe flooding event that is characteristic of the North American Pacific coastal region, called an atmospheric river. An atmospheric river occurs when a long, narrow vapor cloud flows toward land from the Pacific Ocean, causing heavy rainstorms. In November 2021, an atmospheric river in southwestern BC destroyed numerous regional highways, pipelines, power lines, and railways within its path. Over 18,000 people were evacuated due to flooding, and 6 people died. 

The team explained that before the storm, BC experienced a severe drought and an unprecedented heatwave, followed by widespread thunderstorm activity. In 2021, lightning and human activity caused nearly 1,000 wildfires, which led to the third-worst wildfire season ever recorded in BC, partially because trees grow back slowly in forests that have been cut down or harvested. Poor vegetation recovery makes harvested forests more vulnerable to wildfires than old-growth forests. The November atmospheric river occurred shortly after this wildfire season. 

To determine how the atmospheric river impacted southwestern BC, the researchers analyzed approximately 70,000 square kilometers (27,027 square miles) of affected area. They compared satellite images of southwestern BC from Google Earth, Sentinel, and Landsat taken before and after the event to detect changes in river channels and identify geohazards, like landslides and debris flows. They also used satellite images and Canadian government data to identify which forests had been harvested within the study area. The researchers then traversed the area to confirm their remote analyses. 

The researchers used a type of 3D remote sensing, called light detection and ranging, or lidar, to measure how the 2021 atmospheric river redistributed sediment in the Coquihalla and Coldwater River valleys. With the help of lidar, the researchers discovered that both rivers had severely unstable banks due to erosion from the flooding event. Along the Coquihalla River, approximately 53,000 cubic meters (1,871,677 cubic feet) of sediment were eroded, while nearly 50,000 cubic meters (1,765,733 cubic feet) of sediment were eroded along the Coldwater River. 

The researchers also found that hillslope geohazards increased the volume of sediment in both rivers. And in some cases, upstream areas with a history of forest harvesting and wildfires also affected stable banks downstream. For example, they identified debris flows on an unstable hillslope that triggered a landslide on a riverbank downstream. They observed that the river and stream channels shifted due to a sudden addition of sediment from hillslope geohazards and floodwater during the event.

In total, the researchers documented over 1,300 geohazards along 47 kilometers (about 30 miles) of the Coquihalla River and 19 kilometers (about 12 miles) of the Coldwater River and nearby creeks. Nearly half of the geohazards originated in an area with a history of wildfires or forest harvesting. Of the 155 geohazards at the Coquilhalla River, 43% occurred below forest harvesting resource roads, and of the 117 geohazards observed at the Coldwater River, 29% originated in areas with past wildfires.

The researchers suggested that their findings could help scientists predict where severe geohazards will occur during extreme weather events, since both watersheds had geohazards originating in harvested forests. Before 2000, clear-cutting was a widespread practice in BC, and the team’s results demonstrate that unsustainable harvesting practices like this can have lasting environmental impacts.

The researchers concluded that both forest harvesting and wildfires contributed to the severe impacts of the November 2021 atmospheric river, causing catastrophic landslides and debris flows to occur in traditionally dry regions. They suggested that more accurate risk assessments can better equip communities for severe weather events like this. While the next atmospheric river that lands in the Pacific coastal region may be worse than the last, this study can inform scientists and communities about which areas it might affect most.

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Globally, about 1 billion people live near glaciers and depend on glacial water. As temperatures continue to climb due to global warming, glaciers can become unstable and hazardous to nearby communities. These communities risk exposure to a series of linked processes, like ice collapse, flooding, and landslides, which could have life-threatening consequences. Scientists call these events catastrophic glacier hazard chains, or CGHC. So, a team of scientists in China sought to understand the driving forces behind these dangerous phenomena. 

The team focused on a CGHC event that occurred in 2018 at the Sedongpu Glacier, located in the Eastern Himalayas. During this event, the glacier obstructed the flow of 30 million square meters (more than 300 million square feet) of the Yarlung Tsanpo River, one of the main rivers within the region. 

To reconstruct the event, the team observed satellite images of the Sedongpu glacier over time, using a process called remote sensing. They used the images to calculate ice volumes, glacier velocities, and glacier movement between 1961 and 2018, to determine the glacier’s long-term physical properties and how they changed over time. They found that from 1968 to 2013, the Sedongpu Glacier shrank, or retreated, by over 6 football fields. It also lost ice and water volume and increased its velocity.

The scientists also measured earthquake waves on the Earth’s surface, or seismicity, to characterize any downslope rock or debris movements caused by the glacial retreat. They measured seismicity across 11 different seismic stations within 580 kilometers (about 350 miles) of the glacier. Then, they used this data to identify 2 distinct phases of the CGHC event on Sedongpu Glacier: the ice-rock avalanche and the debris flow.

When the ice-rock avalanche occurred, the team detected noticeable increases in seismicity, suggesting it lasted over 30 seconds. During those 30 seconds, over 8 million cubic meters (more than 280 million cubic feet) of ice fell onto the main glacier. The team recorded even more increases in seismicity during the debris flow, which lasted nearly 5 minutes. The debris from the avalanche hit the main valley glacier at nearly 300 kilometers (200 miles) per hour.

The researchers combined these data to describe how the 2018 CGHC event unfolded. First, the backward movement and shrinkage of the glacier produced an unstable sheet of ice hanging over a cliff face. The steep slope and large cracks in the ice caused an ice-rock avalanche. Debris from the avalanche then accumulated on the main glacier, causing it to move faster. As the main valley glacier moved downslope, it picked up even more debris from the bottom and sides of the glacial valley. The melting ice also increased the glacier’s velocity, and its movement eventually transitioned into a debris flow, which obstructed the Yarlung Tsangpo River. 

In total, the CGHC event in the Sedongpu Glacier travelled over 10 kilometers (6 miles) and moved down in elevation for over 3 kilometers (about 2 miles) at a velocity of about 100 kilometers (about 70 miles) per hour. The glacier accumulated enough debris and ice to fill thousands of Olympic-sized swimming pools. Imagine what this could do to a nearby village!

It’s difficult for scientists to estimate when CGHC events will occur, but this team proposed several factors that could help predict them. These factors included the size of the ice-rock avalanche and the glacier velocity, as well as the occurrence of earthquakes, temperature changes, and the melting of the glacier’s underside. They stated that these factors can combine to create a domino effect that drives the CGHC process. They recommended consistent glacial monitoring as temperatures continue to climb, in the Himalayas and globally. 

The team concluded that understanding CGHC events can help scientists mitigate glacial hazards and keep people safe, especially in mountainous areas such as the Eastern Himalayas. They stated that their findings illustrate the dangerous processes behind glacial melting, but further research is needed to accurately assess those processes and ensure nearby communities remain safe.

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